ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm GASTON - Discussion
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- Fego
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Re: ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm GASTON - Discussion
My bad... It has been there all this time.
(TD Gaston on Monterey website ... wxman57)
(TD Gaston on Monterey website ... wxman57)
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm GASTON - Discussion
For me is not a surprise the not upgrading at 11 because it looks unhealthy at the moment.


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Re: ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm GASTON - Discussion
I get the impression that if the Caribbean hostile upper doesn't do this one in it will be the type of system that makes it into an untapped Atlantic area to boom later on.
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Re: ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm GASTON - Discussion
Looks like it lost all of its convection thanks to the dry air. Looks like we have to wait to later tonight to see Gaston again.
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It's not a matter of ASCAT:

Microwave showed a ball of convection without much banding:

Buoy 41041 south of the center had winds shift from typical NE trades yesterday to SW currently peaking at around 16kt sustained earlier. NDBC Buoy 41041 site

Microwave showed a ball of convection without much banding:

Buoy 41041 south of the center had winds shift from typical NE trades yesterday to SW currently peaking at around 16kt sustained earlier. NDBC Buoy 41041 site
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- Tstormwatcher
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- ColinDelia
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Re: ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm GASTON - Discussion
It seems like Gaston is for us in guadeloupe as this Forecast points
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Re: ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm GASTON - Discussion
The ULL over the Caribbean should affect the SST climatology as it progresses past 50W. Perhaps the system will transfer directly from dry air inhibition to ULL. I get the feeling that since we are in prime time the system should do better against hostile conditions. If a more north track materializes Gaston would tap the north of Antilles waters that sometimes breed Florida-bound monsters. The seasonal timing is right for such a storm. But if you follow the trend the track is sliding north so I would be concerned about any east coast location.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm GASTON - Discussion
Convection has to increase over the circulation to then get the upgrade.

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- Typhoon_Willie
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Re: ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm GASTON - Discussion
Looks like convection maybe trying to wrap around the western side of the circulation. The key word is trying.
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