The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (NO MAJOR LANDFALLS!

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Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (UGH! SO BORING!)

#261 Postby Category 5 » Tue Sep 07, 2010 3:46 pm

Earl missed land and didn't kill 100,000, ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ.......

Hermine? Huh? this is boring as heck.
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Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (NO MAJOR LANDFALLS!

#262 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Tue Sep 07, 2010 4:29 pm

I didn't get hit by a Category 5 yet. What a boring season. LOL.
(for random people coming across this thread- this post is a joke).
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#263 Postby DanKellFla » Tue Sep 07, 2010 6:55 pm

Cyclone1 wrote:2 Cat 4's? Pssh, I've seen more impressive hurricane seasons in the Mediterranean Sea.

What was her name(s)?
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Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (NO MAJOR LANDFALLS!

#264 Postby StormClouds63 » Tue Sep 07, 2010 8:06 pm

I'm sticking with my original prediction of 13/7/3. That leaves 5/4/1 ... still some activity left. BTW, is Ike the last U.S. landfalling hurricane? What's the last "major" U.S. landfall? Doesn't go all the way back to Wilma, does it? Gustave was a 2, I think.

We are likely to see a bit of a lull close to home as the MJO moves into a negative phase and little promise of activity except off the African coast. The recurve scenario has been firmly established so far.

The much-anticipated name of the season is next ... Igor.
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Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (NO MAJOR LANDFALLS!

#265 Postby Migle » Tue Sep 07, 2010 10:39 pm

Ugh. Hermine wasn't a Hurricane? Gulf of Mexico season cancel :P
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Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (NO MAJOR LANDFALLS!

#266 Postby thetruesms » Wed Sep 08, 2010 8:35 am

Migle wrote:Ugh. Hermine wasn't a Hurricane? Gulf of Mexico season cancel :P
Indeed - I'm really starting to doubt we'll see anything truly worthwhile until the onslaught of cataclysmic storms leading up to the end of the universe in 2012.
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Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (NO MAJOR LANDFALLS!

#267 Postby sandyb » Wed Sep 08, 2010 9:47 am

thetruesms wrote:
Migle wrote:Ugh. Hermine wasn't a Hurricane? Gulf of Mexico season cancel :P
Indeed - I'm really starting to doubt we'll see anything truly worthwhile until the onslaught of cataclysmic storms leading up to the end of the universe in 2012.[/quote
the universe is not gonna end in 2012 no one knows when the end of time is not even Jesus only the father knows
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#268 Postby psyclone » Wed Sep 08, 2010 9:54 am

Looks like our "significant lull" has lasted a fraction of one day. history shows there is a 90% probability of a named storm on Sept 10. don't bet against those odds.
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#269 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:03 am

On a sidenote, why does the NHC even waste their time giving predictions on how many storms are going to
affect the USA. Personally that's the most absurd prediction I've ever heard...They might as well just
draw numbers from a hat.....That's what gives their prediction center a bad name. Nobody that lives in
hurricane prone areas even focus on the number of storms they predict. They focus on the number of majors
affecting land as well as other landfalling storms...But why even predict something that you aren't going to get right away??? When it comes to their landfalling predictions, I never pay any attention to those forecasts anymore,
because they are going to be wrong much more often than not.
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Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (NO MAJOR LANDFALLS!

#270 Postby thetruesms » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:32 am

sandyb wrote:
thetruesms wrote:
Migle wrote:Ugh. Hermine wasn't a Hurricane? Gulf of Mexico season cancel :P
Indeed - I'm really starting to doubt we'll see anything truly worthwhile until the onslaught of cataclysmic storms leading up to the end of the universe in 2012.

the universe is not gonna end in 2012 no one knows when the end of time is not even Jesus only the father knows
Apparently all the sarcasm I layered on there wasn't quite dripping enough. Maybe I should have tossed in a reference to The Day After Tomorrow to have made it a little more clear :P
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Re:

#271 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Sep 08, 2010 1:47 pm

Great post.

Like I've said many times before in addition to where they end up making landfall
if at all. It's the "quality" and not the "quantity" of the storms that matters most
each season.



ConvergenceZone wrote:On a sidenote, why does the NHC even waste their time giving predictions on how many storms are going to
affect the USA. Personally that's the most absurd prediction I've ever heard...They might as well just
draw numbers from a hat.....That's what gives their prediction center a bad name. Nobody that lives in
hurricane prone areas even focus on the number of storms they predict. They focus on the number of majors
affecting land as well as other landfalling storms...But why even predict something that you aren't going to get right away??? When it comes to their landfalling predictions, I never pay any attention to those forecasts anymore,
because they are going to be wrong much more often than not.
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#272 Postby Frank2 » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:01 pm

So true - 1992 was a slow Atlantic hurricane season - except for Andrew - so to the public that was a very bad season...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:1992_ ... ummary.jpg

Frank
Last edited by Frank2 on Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#273 Postby aerology » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:01 pm

OK satire it is then; From the Lunar perspective:

Sunday, August 15, 2010

2010 detailed Hurricane forecast
Current mood: adventurous
Today I climbed out on a big limb, with chainsaw in tow, with this forecast?

There are four ingredients needed to make a large storm, available heat energy, moisture to change phase states to generate the low pressure zone, ion potentials to drive the “precipitation” (not just condensation), and a global lunar tidal effect to drive the wind patterns that tighten up, as the tropical air mass that becomes the tropical storm, moves off of the ITCZ and further away from the equator, the Coriolis effect kicks in and strengthens, to assist the formation of the cyclonic circulation along with the associated ionic drives.

We have been having three of these ingredients showing up in the three named disturbances so far. However the global “pole to equator ion charge gradient” is currently stagnating, all of the seasonal drivers of these shifts in charge gradients will occur later in the year than is the”Normal” (although nonrandom pattern of distribution.)

The solar cycle has been slow, but is starting to pick up as we approach the heliocentric conjunctions of three of the four outer planets that drive the global ion potentials that create and drive these large storms. I have posted a detailed forecast of the dates to expect these storms to be produced several time over the past year.

Due to the geomagnetic effects of the increased coupling, of the solar fields extended out from flares and coronal holes, as the Earth passes through the focused area that lines up heliocentrically with the outer planets:
Neptune on the 20th of August, the Earth will have an increased homopolar generator charge potential inducted into it, then relaxed over the next two weeks (till end of August 2010) that will induce the typical discharge pattern that generates the large flows of ions that allow the global tropical storms to attain sizable effects above cat 1 – cat 2 levels, because of increased wind and precipitation production, powered by the enhanced action of the opposing ion charges swept into the cyclonic flow structure.

September 21st through 24th 2010 will see the bigger set of conjunctions that will do a much better job of driving the intensity of resultant global tropical and extra-tropical storms, that form on the discharge side of the ion flux patterns, after these dates.

No the season is not over yet.

The lunar declinational tides that peak at the culmination of the declinational sweep occur at Maximum South on 19th August then heads North with tropical moisture in tow until the effects has run its course by the 2nd to 4th of September 2010, is the window of opportunity for the first weaker outbreak of global TS.

The lunar declination is Maximum South again on the 15th of September 2010, ahead of the peak of charging of the Uranus / Jupiter heliocentric conjunction of the 24th of September 2010, and it should be in phase with the movement of tropical moisture laden warm air crossing the equator following the moon, as it moves North across the equator on the 23rd of September.

The same day of the peak charging effects of the homopolar generator as the Earth responds to the increased inductive effects carried on the solar wind to affect the coupling through to the outer planets from the sun out of a large coronal hole created on the sun just for the purpose of providing the magnetic field energy needed. This powers up the cycle of positive ion charging along the ITCZ, by pushing more moisture into the lower atmosphere, to then add drive to the ion discharging phase, driving the resultant outbreak of global wide intense tropical storms, that will occur post conjunction.

By the time the Moon reaches maximum North declination on the 29th of September 2010, the global ACE values will be close to peak for the year. Inertial momentum of the global systems should carry on the enhanced zonal flow through the next two weeks.

With the continual decreasing electromagnetic coupling as the Earth moves past these outer planets the severe weather activity levels, will drop with continued attempted recovery enhancements at the lunar declinational culminations, until by the time of the synod conjunction of Venus and Earth on the 29th of October 2010, we will see a last hurrah, then a slow shift into the storms of a deep cold NH winter.
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#274 Postby Migle » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:25 pm

Sarcasm really is a lost art now a days :lol:
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Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (NO MAJOR LANDFALLS!

#275 Postby Cookie » Wed Sep 08, 2010 4:12 pm

PIndeed - I'm really starting to doubt we'll see anything truly worthwhile until the onslaught of cataclysmic storms leading up to the end of the universe in 2012.
the universe is not gonna end in 2012 no one knows when the end of time is not even Jesus only the father knows
Apparently all the sarcasm I layered on there wasn't quite dripping enough. Maybe I should have tossed in a reference to The Day After Tomorrow to have made it a little more clear :P


So I can still run outside in boxers shouting the end is coming?
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Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (NO MAJOR LANDFALLS!

#276 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Sep 08, 2010 4:31 pm

Hermine was a wimp. Earl and Danielle only got to Categoy 4's...Totally Lame
What a Loser Season.
:lol:
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Re:

#277 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Sep 08, 2010 5:52 pm

Migle wrote:Sarcasm really is a lost art now a days :lol:


Oh... yeah....... sure... it is.... :roll:
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Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (NO MAJOR LANDFALLS!

#278 Postby Migle » Wed Sep 08, 2010 6:19 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
Migle wrote:Sarcasm really is a lost art now a days :lol:


Oh... yeah....... sure... it is.... :roll:


I guess I should of quoted thetruesms there. I was talking about Sandyb's response to his post, not the whole thread.
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#279 Postby Jinkers » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:31 pm

What only one named system by the Cape Verde Islands....pfffft, and it's just a TS, season is over.... :spam:
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#280 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Sep 09, 2010 2:53 pm

As of September 9, 2010, I declare the season over. Eureka....It is snowing. Woo hoo....well in Eureka, Nunavit...


Current Conditions
-4 °C
Observed at: Eureka
Date: 2:00 PM CDT Thursday 9 September 2010
Condition:Light Snow
Pressure:102.0 kPa
Tendency:falling
Visibility:5 km

Temperature:-3.5°C
Dewpoint:-5.5°C
Humidity:86 %
Wind:WSW 4 km/h
Wind Chill: -


http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/forecast ... -22&unit=i
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