Caribbean development? (Is invest 92L)

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Vortex
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#161 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:51 pm

just the start gusty...you may get some heavy squalls out of this
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Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#162 Postby Bailey1777 » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:53 pm

getting a floater on it while not a gaurantee of developement is a sure sign of what the big dogs are thinking.
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Re:

#163 Postby Gustywind » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:56 pm

Vortex wrote:just the start gusty...you may get some heavy squalls out of this

Hope not the last ones were so strong :eek: . The Lesser Antilles want a break and even a rest. Let's wait and see Vortex.
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#164 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:00 pm

except for Hermine, the rest of the floaters say Inactive

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html
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Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#165 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:00 pm

This is like a backdoor,while all eyes are glued on Igor,this one may sneak quietly, so fellow Caribbean friends, lets follow this closely.
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Re:

#166 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:01 pm

HURAKAN wrote:except for Hermine, the rest of the floaters say Inactive

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html


#4.
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Re: Re:

#167 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:03 pm

cycloneye wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:except for Hermine, the rest of the floaters say Inactive

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html


#4.


If you look at it, it's placed over the Leeward Islands, not the Windward Islands.

It doesn't make sense to put something out of place.
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#168 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:07 pm

Barbados 4pm..Pressures continue to lower....



Grantley Adams, BR (Airport)
Updated: 4:00 PM AST on September 08, 2010
75 °F
Light Rain
Humidity: 94%
Dew Point: 73 °F
Wind: 13 mph from the NE
Pressure: 29.83 in (Falling)
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Re: Re:

#169 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:07 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:except for Hermine, the rest of the floaters say Inactive

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html


#4.


If you look at it, it's placed over the Leeward Islands, not the Windward Islands.

It doesn't make sense to put something out of place.



Agree that they have to move it a little bit more south.
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Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#170 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:13 pm

Plenty of moisture down there.

Image
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#171 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:14 pm

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#172 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:16 pm

The north wind is due to local T'storms.. and the pressure falls are typical afternoon and evening pressure changes.. no real signs of development yet still just a surge of moisture off of SA pushing the ITCZ over water.
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Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#173 Postby Gustywind » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:18 pm

cycloneye wrote:This is like a backdoor,while all eyes are glued on Igor,this one may sneak quietly, so fellow Caribbean friends, lets follow this closely.

You're right Cycloneye :oops: :roll: We should not let our guard down.
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#174 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:27 pm

18Z Nam rolling...

At H+48 beginning to develop



http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_048l.gif
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Re:

#175 Postby chrisjslucia » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:28 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/pr/flash-rgb.html


St Lucia, north of the Island. Just been on the roof to check the horizon - damn, it's complicated knowing which way to look these days - and to the East is is blue skies and to the NW the same. WSW and there is a huge bank of rain cloud emptying on the Caribbean. To the South there is a lot of low cloud but no sign of the expected level of rain from the Flash video in Aric's post. Very difficult to get a fix on the location and direction of this southern upstart.

For those further north, I'll post again if there is news to pass on.
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Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#176 Postby FireBird » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:30 pm

So THIS is why there was so much traffic this afternoon! Sheesh. I didn't get to check back weather this morning. Just knew the temps were at 35C, and the sky was weird. Eery. :double:
Then the ominous clouds, and traffic (due to warning of potential floods)! I should know better - this is September!
While this looks fairly tame at the moment, I've observed that anything with guts left in it after these low latitudes, tends to take full advantage of the Caribbean Sea. No time to turn our backs now! We might have a backdoor intruder!
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#177 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:30 pm

thanks chris, pls update us as things warrant
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#178 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:41 pm

NAM 18Z still updating and stronger...

At 72 hours



http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_072l.gif
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Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#179 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:42 pm

Euro Ensembles hot off the presses. On board as well.

Break down in the ridge similar to the operational. Position ranging from BOC to the Yucantan channel.

Image

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Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#180 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 08, 2010 3:43 pm

based on the euros ridge placement, does this look to be another west gulf event?
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