Caribbean development? (Is invest 92L)

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked
Message
Author
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

#321 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:45 pm

No evidence of a LLC at all.. yet
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#322 Postby Bailey1777 » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:48 pm

vortex could you give me a link t o the radar you are using. thanks
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#323 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:49 pm

here ya go...martinique radar




http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... SAIC2.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11160
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#324 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:54 pm

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
Wx_Warrior
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2718
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
Location: Beaumont, TX

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#325 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:54 pm

36hrs

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#326 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:55 pm

If you look at this sat image it easy to make put where the center may try to develop...



http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#327 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:18 pm

IMO, GFS appears to be to weak and slow. It's more organized at 60 hrs than 102hr...I highly doubt that which leads to a more west traack
0 likes   
Top
Wx_Warrior
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2718
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
Location: Beaumont, TX

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#328 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:22 pm

Yep, you notice the storm behind Igor is stronger than 18z as well.

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11160
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#329 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:23 pm

GF is portraying fantastic conditions..I doubt it takes as long as the GFS shows to get going

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
Wx_Warrior
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2718
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
Location: Beaumont, TX

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#330 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:29 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
Wx_Warrior
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2718
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
Location: Beaumont, TX

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#331 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:30 pm

That's why its Good For Somethin'! LOL
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11160
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#332 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:33 pm

Takes 204 hours for the GFS to start wrapping it up..we'll see 8-)

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11160
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#333 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:35 pm

288

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11160
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#334 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:37 pm

As I suspected...Ridge???

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11160
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#335 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:38 pm

Houston

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#336 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:41 pm

I think the gfs is too weak and slow...turns it north in the central gulf....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#337 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:43 pm

00Z Nogaps at H60 slowly moving NW



https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#338 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:53 pm

H+90 headed towards DR



https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11160
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#339 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Sep 09, 2010 12:01 am

Canadian takes a trip through all the Islands
0 likes   
Michael
Top
Weatherfreak000

#340 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Thu Sep 09, 2010 12:03 am

We may have a player with the J storm...
0 likes   
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cpv17 and 20 guests