Caribbean development? (Is invest 92L)

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Gustywind
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#381 Postby Gustywind » Thu Sep 09, 2010 6:30 am

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cycloneye
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Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#382 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 09, 2010 6:37 am

Up to 40%

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ARE SHOWING SOME SIGNS
OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT AS THE LOW MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. THERE IS
A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

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Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#383 Postby ColinDelia » Thu Sep 09, 2010 6:41 am

850 mb vorticity. 11z
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Re: Caribbean development?-Code Orange

#384 Postby Vortex » Thu Sep 09, 2010 6:45 am

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Re: Caribbean development?-Code Orange

#385 Postby ColinDelia » Thu Sep 09, 2010 6:52 am

Vortex wrote:6Z NAM hit on PR at H+84
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_084l.gif


As a strong TS or maybe even a weak category 1.
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#386 Postby KWT » Thu Sep 09, 2010 6:58 am

Yeah convection is increasing in that zone...exactly the same place Gustav started to get going again in 2008 and so its certainly possible this is the area to watch, though I think its got a little way to go yet still...

40% probably means an invest is around the corner...
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Re: Caribbean development? (Is invest 92L)

#387 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 09, 2010 6:59 am

KWT, what about right now. :P Yes,invest 92L is here. Thread is locked.
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#388 Postby southerngale » Thu Sep 09, 2010 11:04 am

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