ATL: IGOR - Ex Hurricane - Discussion

[Migle]

I am watching the game AND Igor

The convection with this system is continuing to grow, for sure we will see a TS at 11.

[OURAGAN]

best track 15,2N /27,3 W AT NRL, the 16N position was wrong

[cycloneye]

Finnally the floater for IGOR.

[SouthFLTropics]

Talk about some awesome convection...What a blowup!!!

BTW, love the laptop...Can sit and watch football and surf S2K at the same time!

SFT

[Weatherfreak000]

No way that's a depression!

[gatorcane]

Looks like a fairly significant south shift in the track for this advisory

[cycloneye]

[Florida1118]

If it hits the lower end of the current track it looks like another hit for the islands

[Florida1118]

Looks like a fairly significant south shift in the track for this advisory

...THE REFORMATION OF THE CENTER AND A NOTABLE
SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD SHIFT TO THE GUIDANCE HAS PROMPTED A FAIRLY
SIGNIFICANT THE OFFICIAL NHC TRACK FORECAST IN THAT DIRECTION...
THOUGH THE TRACK FORECAST REMAINS ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THE
GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.

[hurricaneCW]

I think the islands will be okay, should be much further NE from the islands than Earl but that's not a certainty.

[Florida1118]

Until He stops meandering around the track is still going to shift. hopefully he will star again to the NW or at least start W on his track.

[bvigal]

Looks like a fairly significant south shift in the track for this advisory

Yeah, and it's eerily reminiscent of Earl's track evolution, the westward shifts, from feeling like it was going to miss us by a comfortable margin, to oh ___! Is it even possible we could be going through this again after only 2 weeks?

[SFLcane]

I just dont see how being at 15-16N this makes the trek...Some westward shifts in this evenings model plots but i dont think it will be significant enough to threaten the U.S. coastline.

[bvigal]

I just dont see how being at 15-16N this makes the trek...Some westward shifts in this evenings model plots but i dont think it will be significant enough to threaten the U.S. coastline.

Er, I wasn't talking about the US coastline but the islands.

[SFLcane]

I just dont see how being at 15-16N this makes the trek...Some westward shifts in this evenings model plots but i dont think it will be significant enough to threaten the U.S. coastline.

Er, I wasn't talking about the US coastline but the islands.

Wasn't quoting your post....Think this will stay north of the islands.

Edit: Thanks for posting that earl footage.

[bvigal]

Hope you're right SFLcane!

There's more video over in the 'aftermath and recover' forum.

[JonathanBelles]

When posting the satellite without visible you must note that the circulation isn't under the convection.

[HURAKAN]

like fact says, it's exposed but center relocation is possible

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[caribepr]

Jost Van Dyke still doesn't have phone or internet back from Earl, Culebra has barely any transportation via ferry or plane due to Earl...hope Igor goes back to his master by way of the North basement stairs