ATL: IGOR - Ex Hurricane - Discussion

[TheBurn]

[Aquawind]

Whata beauty..CAT 5 looks reasonable..

[Scorpion]

Very beautiful, reminds me of a mini Katrina almost.

[Tstormwatcher]

Wow, beautiful storm.

[KWT]

No denying its a pretty amazing storm, this very likely will be the strongest hurricane since Gustav windwise and possible even Felix if it does manage to become a 5...

If someone said this may make a run for a cat-5 this time yesterday I'd never have believed it!

[Shuriken]

BTW, why do the experts think it will take so long for Igor to reach the upper end of Cat 4/lower end of Cat 5? I think it can easily become a solid Cat 5 (160 mph) by 5 AM tomorrow or even sooner.

Me too. As a quick-moving big-eye'd hurricane in a uniform environment, I think Igor will top-end fast, then maintain cat-5 as a steady-state annular 165mph for several days (barring shear-induced episodes like Isabel).

[ozonepete]

The first mention of the "A" word. LOL. (I think it's funny in a positive way.) And there is a good chance it could. It clearly reminds me of Isabel in a lot of ways.

[KWT]

Yeah if this one is gonna go cat-5 it'll probably have to do it before it tries to undergo any EWRC which will fatten it out and spread the energy out wider which would make a 5 much harder to get to out in this part of the basin.

[stormhunter7]

boom goes the dynamite!

[plasticup]

Yeah if this one is gonna go cat-5 it'll probably have to do it before it tries to undergo any EWRC

Igor hasn't wasted any time so far. This was a Cat-1 when I woke up!

[Macrocane]

I was tempted to mention the possibility of an annular hurricane too, obviously is not annular yet but maybe later in its life. I'm sorry I know the annular word is controversial on this board

[Squarethecircle]

Didn't get the NW side, but looks good nonetheless.

[KWT]

Igor looks amazing in that loop, thanks for posting it, you can really see the eye really clearly!

No doubt this is about 130kts IMO...

[brunota2003]

It wouldn't surprise me if it is a cat 5 right now...but we'll never know without recon.

[JonathanBelles]

With the latest microwave imagery, there is no sign of any EWRC coming, and based on that alone I do think this has a pretty good shot at becoming a Category 5 hurricane. T values have been steadily increasing, and if this rate continues there could be a T7.0 rating coming in the next 6-12 hours. After this time I would expect some deceleration to the rate of intensification. If there was any use for the Hurricane Drones, this would be the perfect opportunity since recon can't get out there. Perfect conditions may lead to a perfect storm (without landfall in the short term).

The A word has been mentioned, so I will quietly use it here. Igor has never had any really large feeder bands. I haven't been able to see the Annular percentages, but I would be close to saying the annular flag should be up soon, if not already.

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[Cainer]

If Igor becomes a Cat 5 before reaching 49.8 W, it'll be the easternmost forming Cat 5 on record, beating Cleo of '58.

[KWT]

Whilst it may just be the Microwave imagery, the NE section doesn't look quite as perfect as it did a little while ago...but as I said that may just be the image.

Still a formidable hurricane, wonder how high the NHC will go next time round!

[neospaceblue]

If Igor becomes a Cat 5 before reaching 49.8 W, it'll be the easternmost forming Cat 5 on record, beating Cleo of '58.

I doubt it. It's approaching 47 W right now, so unless the NHC decides to upgrade at or before 11 PM, Cleo will still hold the record.

[alan1961]

Zooming in on Igor's eye he appeared to have a monsters face
to go with is strength

[ozonepete]

Since we're discussing cat 5 possibilities and there are similarities, I thought this great CIMSS satellite history of Isabel would be interesting to look at...



BTW it was cat 5 on the 11th and 12th