ATL: JULIA - Ex-TC - Discussion

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leanne_uk
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm JULIA - Discussion

#141 Postby leanne_uk » Mon Sep 13, 2010 3:39 pm

:uarrow:
Stunning image of a little beauty :-)
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#142 Postby fci » Mon Sep 13, 2010 3:43 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image

Nice pic


Looks impressive in this picture!
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#143 Postby KWT » Mon Sep 13, 2010 3:44 pm

Julia is really looking better, its really wrapped itself round with deep convection now and thats a good sign that this may well be a hurricane in the next 24hrs....
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm JULIA - Discussion

#144 Postby TheBurn » Mon Sep 13, 2010 4:39 pm

16Z - 20Z

Image
Image
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm JULIA - Discussion

#145 Postby expat2carib » Mon Sep 13, 2010 4:55 pm

leanne_uk wrote::uarrow:
Stunning image of a little beauty :-)


It's the ugly duckling becoming a beautiful swan. And not hurting anybody.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm JULIA - Discussion

#146 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 13, 2010 5:05 pm

Floater is now with Julia. Looks very good.

Image
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#147 Postby KWT » Mon Sep 13, 2010 6:28 pm

Yeah thats a very large convective region, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if this was 50-55kts right now, prbably strengthening at a decent clip....chance of a hurricane before 30W?
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm JULIA - Discussion

#148 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 13, 2010 6:31 pm

KWT, you brought the hurricane before 30W posibility. And I have a question for those who have the stats. When was the last hurricane that was classified east of 30W?
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#149 Postby KWT » Mon Sep 13, 2010 6:48 pm

Hurricane Jeanne from 1998 became a hurricane at just 25.2W...that may well be close to a record I'd imagine actually...indeed it was a category 2 at 31W!
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#150 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 13, 2010 7:16 pm

Image

Latest
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm JULIA - Discussion

#151 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 13, 2010 7:42 pm

00z Best Track

AL, 12, 2010091400, , BEST, 0, 154N, 275W, 45, 1000, TS
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#152 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 13, 2010 8:56 pm

Image

Latest
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#153 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 13, 2010 9:15 pm

Image

Loop
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#154 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 13, 2010 9:15 pm

Image

Looks great tonight .. appears to be coiling, could be a little stronger than 45 knots
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#155 Postby Buck » Mon Sep 13, 2010 9:32 pm

Certainly starting to get her act together. I expect a little higher in a few minutes and a hurricane by sometime tomorrow.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm JULIA - Discussion

#156 Postby blazess556 » Mon Sep 13, 2010 10:45 pm

2010SEP14 030000 3.4 995.2/ +0.0 / 53.0 3.4 3.9 5.4 0.5T/hour OFF OFF -23.68 -61.29 EYE 15 IR 15.60 28.00 FCST
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm JULIA - Discussion

#157 Postby Macrocane » Mon Sep 13, 2010 11:01 pm

Does anyone else see an eye like feature? or is it an illusion and it's just a dry spot?
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#158 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 13, 2010 11:02 pm

yes macro, looks like an eye-like feature

Image
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#159 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Sep 13, 2010 11:05 pm

Three intensity estimates from CIMSS has it at:
ADT: 994 mb 55 kt (03:15Z)
AMSU: 994 mb 58 kt (20Z)
SATCON: 994 mb 57 kt (20Z)
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#160 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 13, 2010 11:06 pm

Image

quite impressive
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