abajan wrote:Yep. There has been no marked change in the synoptic setup to suggest that the turn will not occur. As a matter of fact, looking at the latest loops, it seems that turn may have already begun but I will need to see more frames to confirm that it’s not just a wobble.plasticup wrote:I don't understand what people are so worked up about. Yes, it traveled west all day, but it wasn't supposed to turn until tonight. The synoptics are verifying and the storm is on track.
Presently, assuming the official 5 pm track verifies, the closest Igor’s eye will get to any of the islands in the archipelago is 432.6 miles. That’s pretty far, even for a large system like Igor. Rough and dangerous surf should be our main focus. Of course, this is not to say that the Leewards shouldn’t monitor the situation at all. That would be foolhardy. After all, this is weather we are discussing — the quintessential inexact science.
At this juncture, the only place that really needs to be concerned is Bermuda. From the looks of things, it’s gonna be a rough Saturday night there!
The preceding post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
It irritates me that my brain can not compete with 15+ data centers with only a few thousand servers the models use. It's irritating
Some chess player managed to beat the machines.
Big Igor. Small, small islands. 
