ATL: IGOR - Ex Hurricane - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
Just Joshing You
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 512
Joined: Sat Nov 03, 2007 10:29 am
Location: Nova Scotia

Re: ATL: Hurricane IGOR - Discussion

#1381 Postby Just Joshing You » Tue Sep 14, 2010 1:44 pm

The last image shows a pentagram inside Igors eye. Where can I find a 1km sat view?
0 likes   

cpdaman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3131
Joined: Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:44 am
Location: SPB county (gulf stream)

Re: ATL: Hurricane IGOR - Discussion

#1382 Postby cpdaman » Tue Sep 14, 2010 1:45 pm

12z euro ....major shift W

144 hr position 34.5/ 69.5.....then out to sea hour 168

noses north central atlantic high SW late thur nite out ahead of igor....and keeps it there for a couple days
0 likes   

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 34
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#1383 Postby brunota2003 » Tue Sep 14, 2010 1:46 pm

You still need 7.0...the Dvorak charts don't break down into anything less than .5, and 6.5 is 146 mph...or Cat 4.
0 likes   

User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

Re: ATL: Hurricane IGOR - Discussion

#1384 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Sep 14, 2010 1:47 pm

canes04 wrote:If Igor continues at this pace he may get trapped by Friday.
Needs to pickup speed to catch the weakness.


From IR views the trough doesn't look all that strong.
0 likes   

cwachal

Re:

#1385 Postby cwachal » Tue Sep 14, 2010 1:47 pm

brunota2003 wrote:You still need 7.0...the Dvorak charts don't break down into anything less than .5, and 6.5 is 146 mph...or Cat 4.



I am talking about UW-CIMSS ADT which goes to every single point.
0 likes   

plasticup

Re: ATL: Hurricane IGOR - Discussion

#1386 Postby plasticup » Tue Sep 14, 2010 1:53 pm

Just Joshing You wrote:The last image shows a pentagram inside Igors eye. Where can I find a 1km sat view?

I thought that I had seen real-time high-res images from GOES-15, but I can't find the link...
0 likes   

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 34
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#1387 Postby brunota2003 » Tue Sep 14, 2010 1:54 pm

In that case, yes it would be 6.8 or 6.9, but they wouldn't upgrade most likely unless there were 7.0s across the board...or one read above 7.0.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145332
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: Hurricane IGOR - Discussion

#1388 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 14, 2010 1:57 pm

18z Best Track

AL, 11, 2010091418, , BEST, 0, 187N, 527W, 125, 933, HU

Up to 125 kts.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8359
Age: 65
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

Re: ATL: Hurricane IGOR - Discussion

#1389 Postby x-y-no » Tue Sep 14, 2010 2:06 pm

Just Joshing You wrote:The last image shows a pentagram inside Igors eye. Where can I find a 1km sat view?


There's NASA GHCC: http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/
0 likes   

plasticup

Re: ATL: Hurricane IGOR - Discussion

#1390 Postby plasticup » Tue Sep 14, 2010 2:12 pm

x-y-no wrote:
Just Joshing You wrote:The last image shows a pentagram inside Igors eye. Where can I find a 1km sat view?


There's NASA GHCC: http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/

This is the best that I could grab from that site:
Image

edit: Playing with the custom animation feature you can see a lot of detail in the eye and the eyewall.
0 likes   

User avatar
leaf blower
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 39
Joined: Mon Jul 21, 2008 8:01 am

Re: ATL: Hurricane IGOR - Discussion

#1391 Postby leaf blower » Tue Sep 14, 2010 2:21 pm

0 likes   

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

Re: Re:

#1392 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Sep 14, 2010 2:50 pm

Wthrman13 wrote:
fact789 wrote:hmm....Usually vorticies are seen in intensifying systems and in Cat 5's.


Not necessarily, at least not that I've heard. Sure, you usually see them in more intense hurricanes, but I'm not aware of any dynamical dependence on strengthening or on reaching Cat 5 status for them to appear; they have more to do with the internal dynamics of vortices (the ratio of inflow wind to rotational wind -- something known as the swirl ratio) than on the strength of the vortex. It just so happens with hurricanes that they tend to be most obvious in strong hurricanes, but I wouldn't be surprised if they showed up to some extent in lesser storms as well.


Interesting. I try to watch for warning signs (ERC, intensification, decreases in intensification), and just about every time there has been a quickly intensifying system Cat 2 or 3+, it has these vorts. As we have seen in the last few hours, intensification has occured.
0 likes   

hurricaneCW
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Wed Mar 03, 2010 6:20 am
Location: Toms River, NJ

Re: ATL: Hurricane IGOR - Discussion

#1393 Postby hurricaneCW » Tue Sep 14, 2010 2:55 pm

I wonder if his very slow movement could have a huge implication in the track. The latest gfs has also shifted a bit further to the west. If the track ends up being 100 miles to the west of Bermuda, then that's pretty good because it would be right in between the east coast and Bermuda.

Igor has really ramped up once again, he could make another run at Cat 5 today. Also, the size has really expanded as well, I'll bet tropical storm force winds are well over 200 miles out now.
0 likes   

aerology
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 56
Age: 78
Joined: Sun Oct 18, 2009 2:38 am
Location: Concordia, Kansas
Contact:

#1394 Postby aerology » Tue Sep 14, 2010 3:05 pm

Every 25 hours these tropical storms have a surge of growth as the moon passes overhead, with a more general increase in size 12.5 hours either side when the secondary bulge in the atmosphere passes through their area, this and the angle the moon and sun are off from directly overhead gives us all of the wobbles to watch.
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

Re: ATL: Hurricane IGOR - Discussion

#1395 Postby gotoman38 » Tue Sep 14, 2010 3:08 pm

Weatherfreak000 wrote:
gotoman38 wrote:Igor seen from Aqua satellite on polar orbit - Monday afternoon

:: image ::



Any wallpaper sized pictures of Igor from space?


Here's the link
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Natura ... p?id=45770
0 likes   

User avatar
WeatherLovingDoc
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 453
Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2008 10:08 pm
Location: Washington D.C.

Re: ATL: Hurricane IGOR - Discussion

#1396 Postby WeatherLovingDoc » Tue Sep 14, 2010 3:15 pm

0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

Re: ATL: Hurricane IGOR - Discussion

#1397 Postby gotoman38 » Tue Sep 14, 2010 3:19 pm

gotoman38 wrote:
Weatherfreak000 wrote:
gotoman38 wrote:Igor seen from Aqua satellite on polar orbit - Monday afternoon

:: image ::



Any wallpaper sized pictures of Igor from space?


Here's the link
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Natura ... p?id=45770


Igor's eye from this 8MB image
Image
Last edited by gotoman38 on Tue Sep 14, 2010 3:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

#1398 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Sep 14, 2010 3:19 pm

Look at that eye contract... either there it is intensifying more or the inner eyewall is contracting while and outer eyewall might be forming.. need some new microwave images.. and its wobbling back more westerly..
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

cpdaman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3131
Joined: Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:44 am
Location: SPB county (gulf stream)

Re: ATL: Hurricane IGOR - Discussion

#1399 Postby cpdaman » Tue Sep 14, 2010 3:26 pm

wobble wobble

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1

thru 415pm.......i bet that the next move is NW....looks like stair stepping?
0 likes   

Weatherfreak000

#1400 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Tue Sep 14, 2010 3:36 pm

It feels like Igor wants to trek as far west as possible.
0 likes   


Return to “2010”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest