ATL: KARL - Ex-Hurricane - Discussion

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brunota2003
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#941 Postby brunota2003 » Wed Sep 15, 2010 12:51 pm

So...what happens when/if Karl gets back over water and has not weakened to a depression?
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#942 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 15, 2010 12:53 pm

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This is what was waiting for Karl. A very nice beach!!

Also, in case you had not seen how flat Yucatan was, here is a view!!
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#943 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 15, 2010 12:54 pm

brunota2003 wrote:So...what happens when/if Karl gets back over water and has not weakened to a depression?


I think it will be a depression, still has like 10-13 hours to spend over land. If it doesn't weaken to depression, then it will a little stronger at the other landfall.
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#944 Postby Aquawind » Wed Sep 15, 2010 12:55 pm

brunota2003 wrote:So...what happens when/if Karl gets back over water and has not weakened to a depression?



The board goes crazy calling for another Major Hurricane of course.. :wink:
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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#945 Postby tolakram » Wed Sep 15, 2010 1:16 pm

Are we sure it's going to make it to the BOC? Looks like due west to me. Maybe an illusion?
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#946 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 15, 2010 1:18 pm

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Karl doing very well over land
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#947 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 15, 2010 1:26 pm

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Latest steering currents
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#948 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 15, 2010 1:31 pm

18z

AL, 13, 2010091518, , BEST, 0, 188N, 888W, 45, 994, TS

down to 50 mph
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Re:

#949 Postby plasticup » Wed Sep 15, 2010 1:34 pm

brunota2003 wrote:So...what happens when/if Karl gets back over water and has not weakened to a depression?

More important than strength is structure. Even if its winds are light, an intact structure can re-intensify much more quickly than a strong but ragged blob. That is why a few tall mountains are hard on cyclones, but wide, flat plains are survivable.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#950 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 15, 2010 1:38 pm

Sandy,there are not many mountains on the track right? I ask because you have a graphic that shows the terrain of Yucatan.
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#951 Postby wxman57 » Wed Sep 15, 2010 1:38 pm

HURAKAN wrote:http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real-time/dlm/atlantic/dlm1.GIF

Latest steering currents


What the current steering flow doesn't show is the projected strengthening of the ridge over Texas the next few days - enough to drive Karl south of west as it reaches the central BoC.
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#952 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 15, 2010 1:42 pm

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Luis, here it is.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#953 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 15, 2010 1:43 pm

Almost flat land. :uarrow:
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#954 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 15, 2010 2:16 pm

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latest
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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#955 Postby TheBurn » Wed Sep 15, 2010 2:25 pm

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Image
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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#956 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Sep 15, 2010 2:33 pm

Wow that is one small TC!!! I didn't realize how small it was.
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#957 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 15, 2010 2:46 pm

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Loop
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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#958 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 15, 2010 2:48 pm

JB says between Tampico or Brownsville as Cat 1-2, could creep a little further north.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#959 Postby alanstover » Wed Sep 15, 2010 3:08 pm

vbhoutex wrote:Wow that is one small TC!!! I didn't realize how small it was.



Well, all of us here in CA are glad its small and hope it just stays that way. Guatemala is still digging roads out of landslides from what became Hermine.

Early this morning we could just see the cloud tops of Karl´s Tstorms on the northern horizon. (It is very unusual to see high cloud tops in the morning, and especially to the north. Tstorms usually only form around noon.) By this afternoon it was clouding up and is now overcast as he pulls more moisture up across our mountains.

Thanks again to all those who keep us posted on these storms.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#960 Postby JtSmarts » Wed Sep 15, 2010 3:25 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:JB says between Tampico or Brownsville as Cat 1-2, could creep a little further north.


I have a hard time imagining that but we'll see. :D
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