Pouch PGI46L - Near Windwards - (Is invest 95L)

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srainhoutx
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#141 Postby srainhoutx » Wed Sep 15, 2010 8:26 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:What is a Kelvin wave?


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelvin_wave
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#142 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 15, 2010 8:53 pm

Look between Igor and Julia to the south and there is what may be the starting area for development.But until Igor and Julia get out of the way,nothing will happen rapidly.

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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#143 Postby srainhoutx » Wed Sep 15, 2010 8:59 pm

Just remember these ITCZ disturbances take time. With that said I am impressed with guidance, both op and ensemble. These research missions are a great learning tool for the Tropical Enthusiest IMO. :wink:
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#144 Postby Florida1118 » Wed Sep 15, 2010 9:48 pm

Im guessing there is no way to tell if the High will keep on shielding us a long ways out?
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#145 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 15, 2010 10:12 pm

00z gfs out in 20 mins. im interested to see where in the gom landfall will be on this run
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#146 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 15, 2010 10:16 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:00z gfs out in 20 mins. im interested to see where in the gom landfall will be on this run


Not going to matter much other than for entertainment purposes. :D
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#147 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 15, 2010 10:20 pm

haha yep i know. i need some entertainment right now ivan! been studying a lot lately.
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#148 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:08 pm

Ivanhater wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:00z gfs out in 20 mins. im interested to see where in the gom landfall will be on this run


Not going to matter much other than for entertainment purposes. :D



Please I know you'll be watching..... :lol:

out 54hr

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_054l.gif
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#149 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:10 pm

rock i think we are about to start a good 2 week period of late night model watching together :lol:
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#150 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:15 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:rock i think we are about to start a good 2 week period of late night model watching together :lol:



no doubt...


90hr

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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#151 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:19 pm

114 hours

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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#152 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:23 pm

nice big fat high sitting over LA.....a lot of "L"'s in the carib.....
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#153 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:23 pm

132 hours

00z GFS showing an organized system for the Islands

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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#154 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:28 pm

150 hours

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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#155 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:32 pm

Image

about as low as you can go......
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#156 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:33 pm

yeah its riding very low in the central caribbean in 174 hours. lets see if it can make it up into the gulf...
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#157 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:33 pm

OT- but hard to believe we are still watching IGOR for 8 more days...sheesh...
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#158 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:35 pm

174

Image

Very large high

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#159 Postby shah8 » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:35 pm

Igor is much slower with roughly the same path. The weekend is going to be very long for Bermuda if this holds.
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#160 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:36 pm

However, a trough digging out west

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