Pouch PGI46L - Near Windwards - (Is invest 95L)

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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#161 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:38 pm

looks a little weaker this run. also appears to be heading for the yucatan in 216 hours
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#162 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:38 pm

Gulf closed this run

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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#163 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:40 pm

wow i think this is the first run that the gfs shows this not making it up into the gulf.
btw that is one massive high over the gulf states. no way this can make it into the gom if that is there.
Last edited by South Texas Storms on Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#164 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:40 pm

What an expansive ridge on the 00z GFS...All the way to the Pacific!

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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#165 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:40 pm

looks that way...also weaker....not showing up at 500mb level....weak 850 also....
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#166 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:42 pm

Ivanhater wrote:What an expansive ridge on the 00z GFS...All the way to the Pacific!

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its a force field.... :lol: seriously though what are the odds of that happening in late Sept...
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#167 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:42 pm

yeah rock im not buying that massive ridge this run. i still think this is a big gom threat in about 2 weeks.
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#168 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:43 pm

Florida....maybe tampa area?
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#169 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:43 pm

Uh oh..hits Belize then heading North!

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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#170 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:44 pm

uh oh is right...haha. just when we write off the gulf threat this run :lol:
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#171 Postby blp » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:45 pm

You spoke to soon this is making landfall....
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#172 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:45 pm

GFS is back to it's old ways.

Though I'm not sure it ever stopped. IMO
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#173 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:46 pm

And ends as a strong system.
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#174 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:46 pm

trof picks it up....though the high around the great lakes doesnt drop down after the trof exits the EC...
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#175 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:47 pm

Tampa

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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#176 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:48 pm

looks close to Tampa....ouch....major destruction if that panned out...

timing will be everything with this TC...if it develops....still though Texas to FL and no in between so far....
Last edited by ROCK on Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#177 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:49 pm

that would be one crazy solution...but this is not verifying. gfs stills develops it though and thats still the most important thing to take from this run. we have a long time to watch this. about 2 weeks imo.
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#178 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:49 pm

ROCK wrote:looks that way...also weaker....not showing up at 500mb level....weak 850 also....



But look at the end how strong it gets. :)
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#179 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:50 pm

and its back to fl this run...im starting to see a pattern though...it looks more and more like a rather significant trough long term that will lift this storm out of the carribean....
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Re: Pouch PGI89T - south of Julia, west of PGI45L

#180 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 15, 2010 11:52 pm

cycloneye wrote:
ROCK wrote:looks that way...also weaker....not showing up at 500mb level....weak 850 also....



But look at the end how strong it gets. :)



yeah doesnt get going until entering the SGOM on this run....937mb is a major and if this verified Tampa DT would be under some serious water....
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