ATL: KARL - Ex-Hurricane - Discussion

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KWT
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#1081 Postby KWT » Thu Sep 16, 2010 8:19 am

The other thing to note is there is a 50% chance of this strengthening by 25kts in the next 24hrs!!

I'm thinking actually Hurakan didn't make a bad call looking at al lthe data now with a possible major at landfall, its got a good 36hrs to strengthen as well which is more then enough time as Julia proved!
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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1082 Postby alan1961 » Thu Sep 16, 2010 8:19 am

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#1083 Postby KWT » Thu Sep 16, 2010 8:29 am

Thats a really classic looking hurricane there Alan, no doubt this is going to be a decent hurricane once the eye emerges on the Vis imagery, I'm fully expecting this will continue to undergo rapid strengthening.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1084 Postby Macrocane » Thu Sep 16, 2010 8:37 am

The Gulf has been pretty active for Mexico this year, Karl is such an interesting systems to track and such a dangerous system to watch especially because some places in Mexico are already suffering from floods.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1085 Postby tolakram » Thu Sep 16, 2010 8:54 am

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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1086 Postby TheBurn » Thu Sep 16, 2010 9:05 am

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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1087 Postby bvigal » Thu Sep 16, 2010 9:18 am

So, we've had 5 hurricanes thus far, one Cat 2, and 4 Cat 4's - all since 21 August, and when Karl becomes a hurricane, that will be
Hurricanes: 6
Tropical storms: 5
Tropical depressions: 2
Named storms: 11
Major hurricanes: 4 (or 5, if Karl makes it)

Not bad for a "bust" season still in peak, LOL! :wink:
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/2010/index.html
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#1088 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Sep 16, 2010 9:27 am

Based on the dropsonde, the actual pressure is likely 982mb.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1089 Postby artist » Thu Sep 16, 2010 9:41 am

ok, everyone needs to check out s2k's newest feature courtesy of x-y-no's hard work as well as Chris's of tropicaltalantic.com
Go to this link to see an automatic update of recon data via google earth (if you don't have google earth- you just need to download the plug in) super easy peasy! Thanks to both these guys for what they have added here. Right now you can move the map to see recon for all storms in the atlantic, BOC and the gulf. Just move over to the area where recon is for each storm and voila!
thanks again guys!

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=109425
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#1090 Postby Buck » Thu Sep 16, 2010 9:53 am

If Karl is upgraded in a few minutes, when will have been the last time we've had 3 hurricanes, not just named systems, in the Atlantic basin at the same time? 2008? Weren't Gustav, Hanna and Ike all hurricanes at the same time?
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#1091 Postby Buck » Thu Sep 16, 2010 9:55 am

Hurricane Karl, 65 kts, 983 mb.
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Re:

#1092 Postby Hurricanehink » Thu Sep 16, 2010 9:59 am

Buck wrote:If Karl is upgraded in a few minutes, when will have been the last time we've had 3 hurricanes, not just named systems, in the Atlantic basin at the same time? 2008? Weren't Gustav, Hanna and Ike all hurricanes at the same time?


It hasn't happened since 1998, when there were 4 hurricanes at the same time. 2005's Ophelia missed it by 6 hours.
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Re: Re:

#1093 Postby Buck » Thu Sep 16, 2010 10:06 am

Hurricanehink wrote:
Buck wrote:If Karl is upgraded in a few minutes, when will have been the last time we've had 3 hurricanes, not just named systems, in the Atlantic basin at the same time? 2008? Weren't Gustav, Hanna and Ike all hurricanes at the same time?


It hasn't happened since 1998, when there were 4 hurricanes at the same time. 2005's Ophelia missed it by 6 hours.

You're right... Gustav and Ike missed each other's hurricane intensities by a a couple days.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1094 Postby Sanibel » Thu Sep 16, 2010 10:16 am

Karl's a little south so it might hold its potential to a category 2.


Good thing the Gaston remnants didn't develop since they were further north.


The number of majors is justifying the NHC prediction.
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Re: Re:

#1095 Postby AussieMark » Thu Sep 16, 2010 10:17 am

Hurricanehink wrote:
Buck wrote:If Karl is upgraded in a few minutes, when will have been the last time we've had 3 hurricanes, not just named systems, in the Atlantic basin at the same time? 2008? Weren't Gustav, Hanna and Ike all hurricanes at the same time?


It hasn't happened since 1998, when there were 4 hurricanes at the same time. 2005's Ophelia missed it by 6 hours.


Irony is same name set and 3 of the same letters

Georges, Ivan, Jeanne and Karl were hurricanes at same time in 1998.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1096 Postby Sanibel » Thu Sep 16, 2010 10:23 am

FYI: Karl is doing the 'fist'.
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#1097 Postby Buck » Thu Sep 16, 2010 10:25 am

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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1098 Postby weatherwindow » Thu Sep 16, 2010 10:35 am

for the board....could someone post a political map(with towns and cities)of the east coast of mainland mexica preferrably on a terrain overlay?.....would imagine that, depending on the terrain, the inland track would yeild some major orographic deluge....rich
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Re: ATL: KARL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1099 Postby x-y-no » Thu Sep 16, 2010 10:40 am

weatherwindow wrote:for the board....could someone post a political map(with towns and cities)of the east coast of mainland mexica preferrably on a terrain overlay?.....would imagine that, depending on the terrain, the inland track would yeild some major orographic deluge....rich


There's a political map and a population map posted back on page 53 of this thread.
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#1100 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Sep 16, 2010 10:41 am

Does this have a chance of regenerating on the pacific ocean side?
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