ATL: IGOR - Ex Hurricane - Discussion

[HUC]

There is a rotating squall line now on the Swest of IGOR which is visible on the Guadeloupe radar. If this feeder band smashed the northern leewrad islands we gonna have a lot of rain, and wind...In any case wait and see,..and particulary the very rough seas in place since this morning...

[Gigsley]

Conditions at Buoy 41044 as of
(2:50 pm ADT) This is about 82 miles from the center at 290 degrees

Wind Direction (WDIR): N ( 360 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD): 52.4 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 64.1 kts
Wave Height (WVHT): 33.1 ft
Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 14 sec
Average Period (APD): 9.2 sec
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 28.84 in
Pressure Tendency (PTDY): -0.31 in ( Falling Rapidly )
Air Temperature (ATMP): 78.6 °F
Water Temperature (WTMP): 84.0 °F
Dew Point (DEWP): 78.6 °F
Heat Index (HEAT): 82.6 °F

[lostinthetriangle]

Actually to be fair the NW quadrant looks better then it did about a few hours ago so thats a good sign at least!

"A GOOD SIGN"!!!!!!!! No hurricane heading towards a small (24 square mile) island is a good sign, especially one this large!

I have been through many storms, but this one bothers me more than Fabian. Look up Emily 1987 and read how the forecasters got it all so very wrong!

Oh and yes, the NW quadrant. Does look better....

The natives are getting a bit restless!.

[Gustywind]

There is a rotating squall line now on the Swest of IGOR which is visible on the Guadeloupe radar. If this feeder band smashed the northern leewrad islands we gonna have a lot of rain, and wind...In any case wait and see,..and particulary the very rough seas in place since this morning...

[HURAKAN]

Incredible the size discrepancy between Igor and Julia

[aerology]

"Big daddy" protecting "little sister"?

[alan1961]

Yes a big difference Hurakan

[alan1961]

Was big from the space station too

[artist]

Actually to be fair the NW quadrant looks better then it did about a few hours ago so thats a good sign at least!

"A GOOD SIGN"!!!!!!!! No hurricane heading towards a small (24 square mile) island is a good sign, especially one this large!

I have been through many storms, but this one bothers me more than Fabian. Look up Emily 1987 and read how the forecasters got it all so very wrong!

Oh and yes, the NW quadrant. Does look better....

The natives are getting a bit restless!.

Be sure to report in here viewtopic.php?f=59&t=109426 when you can to let us know the conditions there and if you lose communications, once you get them back, let us know you are ok in this same thread. Our thoughts and prayers go out to all being affected by Igor.

[shell70]

Actually to be fair the NW quadrant looks better then it did about a few hours ago so thats a good sign at least!

"A GOOD SIGN"!!!!!!!! No hurricane heading towards a small (24 square mile) island is a good sign, especially one this large!

I have been through many storms, but this one bothers me more than Fabian. Look up Emily 1987 and read how the forecasters got it all so very wrong!

Oh and yes, the NW quadrant. Does look better....

The natives are getting a bit restless!.

I agree Not a Good Sign. Just know that we are thinking of you and the people in Bermuda over in the US. May God Spare the island. Please stay safe.

[dixiebreeze]

Where is the big "scoop" to the north located at this time?

[cpdaman]

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1

looking a bit more intense

bouy nearby peaked at 35 foot seas and 28 foot swell...not to shabby.....but those are not fully matured seas....i.e they didn't have time to build to maximum potential....based on the new larger fetch from igor's expansion.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41049 this bouy is probably gonna get to 45 feet sometime early sat.

[plasticup]

Pressure is still falling at station 41044. Closest point of approach is 3.4 miles (lol wut) in 14.6 hours.

And it already has 36 foot waves.

[JonathanBelles]

Taken a few hours ago, but its an amazing picture!

[sicktght311]

Starting to look a little bit more organized



EDIT - wouldnt be surprised if its up around 150mph winds

[Cyclone1]

I can't help but notice how small that eye is. Would the term "pinhole" be appropriate?

[canes101]

Nope, its not a pinhole eye Cyclone 1

[abajan]

Actually to be fair the NW quadrant looks better then it did about a few hours ago so thats a good sign at least!

"A GOOD SIGN"!!!!!!!! No hurricane heading towards a small (24 square mile) island is a good sign, especially one this large!

I have been through many storms, but this one bothers me more than Fabian. Look up Emily 1987 and read how the forecasters got it all so very wrong!

Oh and yes, the NW quadrant. Does look better....

The natives are getting a bit restless!.

“Does look better”? Get my point? Is it possible that KWT simply meant that it was a good sign for the hurricane itself and didn’t mean it in the sense you thought? I’m just saying it could have been a misunderstanding. But then again, if I were in your situation, I would probably think what you did.

However, staying more on topic, Igor does seem to be becoming more organized for the umpteenth time but thankfully the winds are weaker than what was stated in the 11 a.m. update. However, hurricane force and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles and 290 miles respectively! In short, it’s big. I certainly hope it passes to your east — far to your east but right now that seems pretty unlikely. Just keep closely monitoring the situation, be safe and let us know how things go as much as you can. BTW, my neighbor here in Barbados is a senator from Bermuda and although I haven’t spoken with her in a while, I know she must be quite worried too.

[rsmith40]

Julia and Igor seem to be getting closer together, looks like more potential for a Fujiwhara here. Not sure what the ultimate impact on Igor would be, but definitely would affect the track and models.

[cyclonic chronic]

when was the last time we had a fujiwhara effect with two hurricanes in the atl.? i'd assume it would be rarer than in the west pac. because the atl. is soooo much smaller than the pac. have there been any studies about it in recent years(pre 85)?