2010 ACE: Atlantic=159.8625 / EPAC=48.44 / WPAC=118.6700

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=100.0975 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=39.8775

#221 Postby Swimdude » Thu Sep 16, 2010 7:23 am

Igor will steal 1st place from Danielle later this afternoon...
0 likes   
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

#222 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Sep 16, 2010 9:54 am

Although I dont care much for the ACE predictions or their actual relevance. what is interesting is the extremely slow west pac season.
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145295
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=100.0975 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=39.8775

#223 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 16, 2010 11:21 am

Atlantic ACE update as of 1500z

Igor,Julia and Karl

Code: Select all

11L.Igor
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 8 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
2 8 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
3 8 September 11 pm EDT 40 0.1600
4 9 September 5 am EDT 35 0.1225
5 9 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
6 9 September 5 pm EDT 30 0
7 9 September 11 pm EDT 30 0
8 10 September 5 am EDT 30 0
9 10 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
10 10 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
11 10 September 11 pm EDT 45 0.2025
12 11 September 5 am EDT 60 0.3600
13 11 September 11 am EDT 60 0.3600
14 11 September 5 pm EDT 60 0.3600
15 11 September 11 pm EDT 65 0.4225
16 12 September 5 am EDT 70 0.4900
17 12 September 11 am EDT 90 0.8100
18 12 September 2:30 pm EDT 115 Special
19 12 September 5 pm EDT 120 1.4400
20 12 September 11 pm EDT 130 1.6900
21 13 September 5 am EDT 130 1.6900
22 13 September 11 am EDT 130 1.6900
23 13 September 5 pm EDT 130 1.6900
24 13 September 11 pm EDT 120 1.4400
25 14 September 5 am EDT 115 1.3225
26 14 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
27 14 September 5 pm EDT 125 1.5625
28 14 September 11 pm EDT 135 1.8225
29 15 September 5 am EDT 125 1.5625
30 15 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
31 15 September 5 pm EDT 115 1.3225
32 15 September 11 pm EDT 115 1.3225
33 16 September 5 am EDT 125 1.5625
34 16 September 11 am EDT 120 1.4400
Total       28.1775

[edit] 12L.Julia
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 12 September 11 am EDT 30 0
2 12 September 5 pm EDT 30 0
3 12 September 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
4 13 September 5 am EDT 35 0.1225
5 13 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
6 13 September 5 pm EDT 45 0.2025
7 13 September 11 pm EDT 45 0.2025
8 14 September 5 am EDT 65 0.4225
9 14 September 11 am EDT 75 0.5625
10 14 September 5 pm EDT 75 0.5625
11 14 September 11 pm EDT 90 0.8100
12 15 September 1:30 am EDT 110 Special
13 15 September 5 am EDT 115 1.3225
14 15 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
15 15 September 5 pm EDT 110 1.2100
16 15 September 11 pm EDT 100 1.0000
17 16 September 5 am EDT 90 0.8100
18 16 September 11 am EDT 85 0.7225
Total       9.5175

[edit] 13L.Karl
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 14 September 5 pm EDT 35 0.1225
2 14 September 11 pm EDT 40 0.1600
3 15 September 5 am EDT 55 0.3025
4 15 September 11 am EDT 50 0.2500
5 15 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
6 15 September 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
7 16 September 5 am EDT 45 0.2025
8 16 September 8:30 am EDT 55 Special
9 16 September 11 am EDT 65 0.4225
Total       1.7425

Season Total

Code: Select all

Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Alex) Operational 6.7825
03L (Bonnie) Operational 0.3675
04L (Colin) Operational 1.9450
06L (Danielle) Operational 21.7950
07L (Earl) Operational 27.7750
08L (Fiona) Operational 2.9400
09L (Gaston) Operational 0.3675
10L (Hermine) Operational 1.2725
11L (Igor) Operational 28.1775
12L (Julia) Operational 9.5175
13L (Karl) Operational 1.7425
Total  102.6825

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145295
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=100.0975 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=39.8775

#224 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 16, 2010 11:28 am

Swimdude wrote:Igor will steal 1st place from Danielle later this afternoon...



Igor is #1 in ACE this season as it surpassed both Danielle and Earl.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145295
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=102.6825 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=39.8775

#225 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 16, 2010 4:43 pm

Atlantic ACE update at 2100z

Igor,Julia and Karl

Code: Select all

11L.Igor
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 8 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
2 8 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
3 8 September 11 pm EDT 40 0.1600
4 9 September 5 am EDT 35 0.1225
5 9 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
6 9 September 5 pm EDT 30 0
7 9 September 11 pm EDT 30 0
8 10 September 5 am EDT 30 0
9 10 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
10 10 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
11 10 September 11 pm EDT 45 0.2025
12 11 September 5 am EDT 60 0.3600
13 11 September 11 am EDT 60 0.3600
14 11 September 5 pm EDT 60 0.3600
15 11 September 11 pm EDT 65 0.4225
16 12 September 5 am EDT 70 0.4900
17 12 September 11 am EDT 90 0.8100
18 12 September 2:30 pm EDT 115 Special
19 12 September 5 pm EDT 120 1.4400
20 12 September 11 pm EDT 130 1.6900
21 13 September 5 am EDT 130 1.6900
22 13 September 11 am EDT 130 1.6900
23 13 September 5 pm EDT 130 1.6900
24 13 September 11 pm EDT 120 1.4400
25 14 September 5 am EDT 115 1.3225
26 14 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
27 14 September 5 pm EDT 125 1.5625
28 14 September 11 pm EDT 135 1.8225
29 15 September 5 am EDT 125 1.5625
30 15 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
31 15 September 5 pm EDT 115 1.3225
32 15 September 11 pm EDT 115 1.3225
33 16 September 5 am EDT 125 1.5625
34 16 September 11 am EDT 120 1.4400
35 16 September 5 pm EDT 110 1.2100
Total       29.3875

[edit] 12L.Julia
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 12 September 11 am EDT 30 0
2 12 September 5 pm EDT 30 0
3 12 September 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
4 13 September 5 am EDT 35 0.1225
5 13 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
6 13 September 5 pm EDT 45 0.2025
7 13 September 11 pm EDT 45 0.2025
8 14 September 5 am EDT 65 0.4225
9 14 September 11 am EDT 75 0.5625
10 14 September 5 pm EDT 75 0.5625
11 14 September 11 pm EDT 90 0.8100
12 15 September 1:30 am EDT 110 Special
13 15 September 5 am EDT 115 1.3225
14 15 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
15 15 September 5 pm EDT 110 1.2100
16 15 September 11 pm EDT 100 1.0000
17 16 September 5 am EDT 90 0.8100
18 16 September 11 am EDT 85 0.7225
19 16 September 5 pm EDT 75 0.5625
Total       10.08

[edit] 13L.Karl
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 14 September 5 pm EDT 35 0.1225
2 14 September 11 pm EDT 40 0.1600
3 15 September 5 am EDT 55 0.3025
4 15 September 11 am EDT 50 0.2500
5 15 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
6 15 September 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
7 16 September 5 am EDT 45 0.2025
8 16 September 8:30 am EDT 55 Special
9 16 September 11 am EDT 65 0.4225
10 16 September 5 pm EDT 70 0.4900
Total       2.2325


Season Total

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Alex) Operational 6.7825
03L (Bonnie) Operational 0.3675
04L (Colin) Operational 1.9450
06L (Danielle) Operational 21.7950
07L (Earl) Operational 27.7750
08L (Fiona) Operational 2.9400
09L (Gaston) Operational 0.3675
10L (Hermine) Operational 1.2725
11L (Igor) Operational 29.3875
12L (Julia) Operational 10.0800
13L (Karl) Operational 2.2325
Total  104.945

Need WPAC ACE update as Tyohoon Fanapi is racking up ACE there.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145295
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re:

#226 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 16, 2010 8:08 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:Although I dont care much for the ACE predictions or their actual relevance. what is interesting is the extremely slow west pac season.


Well, the WPAC finnally is getting good ACE units as a typhoon that is getting stronger is there now. But the basin that really is dead is the EPAC.

By the way,who can bring WPAC ACE updates every day, while the typhoon is active?
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Migle
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 203
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 27, 2010 5:30 pm
Location: New Orleans

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=104.945 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=39.8775

#227 Postby Migle » Thu Sep 16, 2010 9:06 pm

One reason why I don't like the ACE numbers though is how Colin has more than Hermine. It doesn't really show what the storm was really about, it just matters how long it was alive for.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=104.945 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=39.8775

#228 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Sep 16, 2010 9:12 pm

Migle wrote:One reason why I don't like the ACE numbers though is how Colin has more than Hermine. It doesn't really show what the storm was really about, it just matters how long it was alive for.


ACE is "an approximation of the energy used by a tropical system over its lifetime." Colin lasted a lot more than Hermine
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

Re: Re:

#229 Postby AussieMark » Thu Sep 16, 2010 9:32 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:Although I dont care much for the ACE predictions or their actual relevance. what is interesting is the extremely slow west pac season.


Well, the WPAC finnally is getting good ACE units as a typhoon that is getting stronger is there now. But the basin that really is dead is the EPAC.

By the way,who can bring WPAC ACE updates every day, while the typhoon is active?


I can :)

May pinch your formatting you use for Atlantic :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145295
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=104.945 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=39.8775

#230 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 16, 2010 10:19 pm

Atlantic ACE Update at 0300z

Igor,Julia and Karl

Code: Select all

11L.Igor
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 8 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
2 8 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
3 8 September 11 pm EDT 40 0.1600
4 9 September 5 am EDT 35 0.1225
5 9 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
6 9 September 5 pm EDT 30 0
7 9 September 11 pm EDT 30 0
8 10 September 5 am EDT 30 0
9 10 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
10 10 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
11 10 September 11 pm EDT 45 0.2025
12 11 September 5 am EDT 60 0.3600
13 11 September 11 am EDT 60 0.3600
14 11 September 5 pm EDT 60 0.3600
15 11 September 11 pm EDT 65 0.4225
16 12 September 5 am EDT 70 0.4900
17 12 September 11 am EDT 90 0.8100
18 12 September 2:30 pm EDT 115 Special
19 12 September 5 pm EDT 120 1.4400
20 12 September 11 pm EDT 130 1.6900
21 13 September 5 am EDT 130 1.6900
22 13 September 11 am EDT 130 1.6900
23 13 September 5 pm EDT 130 1.6900
24 13 September 11 pm EDT 120 1.4400
25 14 September 5 am EDT 115 1.3225
26 14 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
27 14 September 5 pm EDT 125 1.5625
28 14 September 11 pm EDT 135 1.8225
29 15 September 5 am EDT 125 1.5625
30 15 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
31 15 September 5 pm EDT 115 1.3225
32 15 September 11 pm EDT 115 1.3225
33 16 September 5 am EDT 125 1.5625
34 16 September 11 am EDT 120 1.4400
35 16 September 5 pm EDT 110 1.2100
36 16 September 11 pm EDT 110 1.2100
Total       30.5975

[edit] 12L.Julia
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 12 September 11 am EDT 30 0
2 12 September 5 pm EDT 30 0
3 12 September 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
4 13 September 5 am EDT 35 0.1225
5 13 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
6 13 September 5 pm EDT 45 0.2025
7 13 September 11 pm EDT 45 0.2025
8 14 September 5 am EDT 65 0.4225
9 14 September 11 am EDT 75 0.5625
10 14 September 5 pm EDT 75 0.5625
11 14 September 11 pm EDT 90 0.8100
12 15 September 1:30 am EDT 110 Special
13 15 September 5 am EDT 115 1.3225
14 15 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
15 15 September 5 pm EDT 110 1.2100
16 15 September 11 pm EDT 100 1.0000
17 16 September 5 am EDT 90 0.8100
18 16 September 11 am EDT 85 0.7225
19 16 September 5 pm EDT 75 0.5625
20 16 September 11 pm EDT 70 0.4900
Total       10.57

[edit] 13L.Karl
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 14 September 5 pm EDT 35 0.1225
2 14 September 11 pm EDT 40 0.1600
3 15 September 5 am EDT 55 0.3025
4 15 September 11 am EDT 50 0.2500
5 15 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
6 15 September 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
7 16 September 5 am EDT 45 0.2025
8 16 September 8:30 am EDT 55 Special
9 16 September 11 am EDT 65 0.4225
10 16 September 5 pm EDT 70 0.4900
11 17 September 11 pm EDT 85 0.7225
Total       2.955

Season Total

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Alex) Operational 6.7825
03L (Bonnie) Operational 0.3675
04L (Colin) Operational 1.9450
06L (Danielle) Operational 21.7950
07L (Earl) Operational 27.7750
08L (Fiona) Operational 2.9400
09L (Gaston) Operational 0.3675
10L (Hermine) Operational 1.2725
11L (Igor) Operational 30.5975
12L (Julia) Operational 10.5700
13L (Karl) Operational 2.9550
Total  107.3675
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Florida1118

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=107.3675 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=39.8775

#231 Postby Florida1118 » Thu Sep 16, 2010 10:39 pm

47 more ACE and we go Hyperactive. Seems quite reasonable to reach given its only the 16th of Sept in La Nina.
0 likes   
Top
hurricaneCW
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Wed Mar 03, 2010 6:20 am
Location: Toms River, NJ

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=107.3675 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=39.8775

#232 Postby hurricaneCW » Thu Sep 16, 2010 10:41 pm

Florida1118 wrote:47 more ACE and we go Hyperactive. Seems quite reasonable to reach given its only the 16th of Sept in La Nina.


Half of that (47 ACE units) if not more is likely to be fulfilled from Igor, Karl, and Julia.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
somethingfunny
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 3926
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
Location: McKinney, Texas

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=104.945 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=39.8775

#233 Postby somethingfunny » Fri Sep 17, 2010 12:47 am

HURAKAN wrote:
Migle wrote:One reason why I don't like the ACE numbers though is how Colin has more than Hermine. It doesn't really show what the storm was really about, it just matters how long it was alive for.


ACE is "an approximation of the energy used by a tropical system over its lifetime." Colin lasted a lot more than Hermine


We'll see what the post-season adjustments bring regarding these two. Hermine may have been stronger, Colin may not have been a cyclone for the entire time it had advisories written for it.
0 likes   
I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145295
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=107.3675 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=39.8775

#234 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 17, 2010 5:44 am

Atlantic ACE update at 0900z

Igor,Julia and Karl

Code: Select all

11L.Igor
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 8 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
2 8 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
3 8 September 11 pm EDT 40 0.1600
4 9 September 5 am EDT 35 0.1225
5 9 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
6 9 September 5 pm EDT 30 0
7 9 September 11 pm EDT 30 0
8 10 September 5 am EDT 30 0
9 10 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
10 10 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
11 10 September 11 pm EDT 45 0.2025
12 11 September 5 am EDT 60 0.3600
13 11 September 11 am EDT 60 0.3600
14 11 September 5 pm EDT 60 0.3600
15 11 September 11 pm EDT 65 0.4225
16 12 September 5 am EDT 70 0.4900
17 12 September 11 am EDT 90 0.8100
18 12 September 2:30 pm EDT 115 Special
19 12 September 5 pm EDT 120 1.4400
20 12 September 11 pm EDT 130 1.6900
21 13 September 5 am EDT 130 1.6900
22 13 September 11 am EDT 130 1.6900
23 13 September 5 pm EDT 130 1.6900
24 13 September 11 pm EDT 120 1.4400
25 14 September 5 am EDT 115 1.3225
26 14 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
27 14 September 5 pm EDT 125 1.5625
28 14 September 11 pm EDT 135 1.8225
29 15 September 5 am EDT 125 1.5625
30 15 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
31 15 September 5 pm EDT 115 1.3225
32 15 September 11 pm EDT 115 1.3225
33 16 September 5 am EDT 125 1.5625
34 16 September 11 am EDT 120 1.4400
35 16 September 5 pm EDT 110 1.2100
36 16 September 11 pm EDT 110 1.2100
37 17 September 5 am EDT 110 1.2100
Total       31.8075

[edit] 12L.Julia
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 12 September 11 am EDT 30 0
2 12 September 5 pm EDT 30 0
3 12 September 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
4 13 September 5 am EDT 35 0.1225
5 13 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
6 13 September 5 pm EDT 45 0.2025
7 13 September 11 pm EDT 45 0.2025
8 14 September 5 am EDT 65 0.4225
9 14 September 11 am EDT 75 0.5625
10 14 September 5 pm EDT 75 0.5625
11 14 September 11 pm EDT 90 0.8100
12 15 September 1:30 am EDT 110 Special
13 15 September 5 am EDT 115 1.3225
14 15 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
15 15 September 5 pm EDT 110 1.2100
16 15 September 11 pm EDT 100 1.0000
17 16 September 5 am EDT 90 0.8100
18 16 September 11 am EDT 85 0.7225
19 16 September 5 pm EDT 75 0.5625
20 16 September 11 pm EDT 70 0.4900
21 17 September 5 am EDT 75 0.5625
Total       11.1325

[edit] 13L.Karl
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 14 September 5 pm EDT 35 0.1225
2 14 September 11 pm EDT 40 0.1600
3 15 September 5 am EDT 55 0.3025
4 15 September 11 am EDT 50 0.2500
5 15 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
6 15 September 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
7 16 September 5 am EDT 45 0.2025
8 16 September 8:30 am EDT 55 Special
9 16 September 11 am EDT 65 0.4225
10 16 September 5 pm EDT 70 0.4900
11 17 September 11 pm EDT 85 0.7225
12 17 September 5 am EDT 105 1.1025
Total       4.0575

Season Total

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Alex) Operational 6.7825
03L (Bonnie) Operational 0.3675
04L (Colin) Operational 1.9450
06L (Danielle) Operational 21.7950
07L (Earl) Operational 27.7750
08L (Fiona) Operational 2.9400
09L (Gaston) Operational 0.3675
10L (Hermine) Operational 1.2725
11L (Igor) Operational 31.8075
12L (Julia) Operational 11.1325
13L (Karl) Operational 4.0575
Total  110.2425
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

Re:

#235 Postby AussieMark » Fri Sep 17, 2010 6:30 am

Western Pacific ACE Update at 0600z

Fanapi

Code: Select all

Fanapi
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
09/14/18Z   30   0
09/15/00Z   30   0
09/15/06Z   30   0
09/15/12Z   35   0.1225
09/15/12Z   35   0.1225
09/15/18Z   45   0.2025
09/16/00Z   55   0.3025
09/16/06Z   55   0.3025
09/16/12Z   65   0.4225
09/16/18Z   70   0.49
09/17/00Z   75   0.5625
09/17/06Z   75   0.5625
Total       3.0900

Season Total

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm ACE
OMAIS - 2.0075
CONSON - 8.3225
CHANTHU - 3.5775
DIANMU - 2.4225
MINDULLE - 1.7000
LIONROCK - 4.2075
KOMPASU - 11.5325
NAMTHEUN - 0.6875
MALOU - 2.4725
MERANTI - 2.2825
FANAPI - 3.0900

Total  42.3025
Last edited by AussieMark on Fri Sep 17, 2010 6:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145295
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=110.2425 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=42.3025

#236 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 17, 2010 6:34 am

Thank you Aussie for posting the WPAC. When you can of course,as long Fanapi is active, post the updated ACE. :) It will surpass the dead EPAC shortly.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145295
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=110.2425 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=42.3025

#237 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 17, 2010 10:06 am

Atlantic ACE update at 1500z

Igor,Julia and Karl

Code: Select all

11L.Igor
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 8 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
2 8 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
3 8 September 11 pm EDT 40 0.1600
4 9 September 5 am EDT 35 0.1225
5 9 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
6 9 September 5 pm EDT 30 0
7 9 September 11 pm EDT 30 0
8 10 September 5 am EDT 30 0
9 10 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
10 10 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
11 10 September 11 pm EDT 45 0.2025
12 11 September 5 am EDT 60 0.3600
13 11 September 11 am EDT 60 0.3600
14 11 September 5 pm EDT 60 0.3600
15 11 September 11 pm EDT 65 0.4225
16 12 September 5 am EDT 70 0.4900
17 12 September 11 am EDT 90 0.8100
18 12 September 2:30 pm EDT 115 Special
19 12 September 5 pm EDT 120 1.4400
20 12 September 11 pm EDT 130 1.6900
21 13 September 5 am EDT 130 1.6900
22 13 September 11 am EDT 130 1.6900
23 13 September 5 pm EDT 130 1.6900
24 13 September 11 pm EDT 120 1.4400
25 14 September 5 am EDT 115 1.3225
26 14 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
27 14 September 5 pm EDT 125 1.5625
28 14 September 11 pm EDT 135 1.8225
29 15 September 5 am EDT 125 1.5625
30 15 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
31 15 September 5 pm EDT 115 1.3225
32 15 September 11 pm EDT 115 1.3225
33 16 September 5 am EDT 125 1.5625
34 16 September 11 am EDT 120 1.4400
35 16 September 5 pm EDT 110 1.2100
36 16 September 11 pm EDT 110 1.2100
37 17 September 5 am EDT 110 1.2100
38 17 September 11 am EDT 105 1.1025
Total       32.91

[edit] 12L.Julia
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 12 September 11 am EDT 30 0
2 12 September 5 pm EDT 30 0
3 12 September 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
4 13 September 5 am EDT 35 0.1225
5 13 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
6 13 September 5 pm EDT 45 0.2025
7 13 September 11 pm EDT 45 0.2025
8 14 September 5 am EDT 65 0.4225
9 14 September 11 am EDT 75 0.5625
10 14 September 5 pm EDT 75 0.5625
11 14 September 11 pm EDT 90 0.8100
12 15 September 1:30 am EDT 110 Special
13 15 September 5 am EDT 115 1.3225
14 15 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
15 15 September 5 pm EDT 110 1.2100
16 15 September 11 pm EDT 100 1.0000
17 16 September 5 am EDT 90 0.8100
18 16 September 11 am EDT 85 0.7225
19 16 September 5 pm EDT 75 0.5625
20 16 September 11 pm EDT 70 0.4900
21 17 September 5 am EDT 75 0.5625
22 17 September 11 am EDT 75 0.5625
Total       11.695

[edit] 13L.Karl
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 14 September 5 pm EDT 35 0.1225
2 14 September 11 pm EDT 40 0.1600
3 15 September 5 am EDT 55 0.3025
4 15 September 11 am EDT 50 0.2500
5 15 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
6 15 September 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
7 16 September 5 am EDT 45 0.2025
8 16 September 8:30 am EDT 55 Special
9 16 September 11 am EDT 65 0.4225
10 16 September 5 pm EDT 70 0.4900
11 17 September 11 pm EDT 85 0.7225
12 17 September 5 am EDT 105 1.1025
13 17 September 11 am EDT 105 1.1025
Total       5.16


Season Total

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Alex) Operational 6.7825
03L (Bonnie) Operational 0.3675
04L (Colin) Operational 1.9450
06L (Danielle) Operational 21.7950
07L (Earl) Operational 27.7750
08L (Fiona) Operational 2.9400
09L (Gaston) Operational 0.3675
10L (Hermine) Operational 1.2725
11L (Igor) Operational 32.9100
12L (Julia) Operational 11.6950
13L (Karl) Operational 5.1600
Total  113.01
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145295
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=113.01 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=42.3025

#238 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 17, 2010 1:31 pm

How the Atlantic seasons since 1950 rank on ACE

2010 Atlantic hurricane season is approaching the hyperactivity line of 150+

Source=Wikipedia. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accumulated_Cyclone_Energy

Code: Select all

Season                        ACE TS HR MH Classification
2005 Atlantic hurricane season 248 28 15 7 Above normal (hyperactive)
1950 Atlantic hurricane season 243 13 11 8 Above normal (hyperactive)
1995 Atlantic hurricane season 228 19 11 5 Above normal (hyperactive)
2004 Atlantic hurricane season 225 14 9 6 Above normal (hyperactive)
1961 Atlantic hurricane season 205 11 8 7 Above normal (hyperactive)
1955 Atlantic hurricane season 199 12 9 6 Above normal (hyperactive)
1998 Atlantic hurricane season 182 14 10 3 Above normal (hyperactive)
1999 Atlantic hurricane season 177 12 8 5 Above normal (hyperactive)
2003 Atlantic hurricane season 175 16 7 3 Above normal (hyperactive)
1964 Atlantic hurricane season 170 12 6 6 Above normal (hyperactive)
1996 Atlantic hurricane season 166 13 9 6 Above normal (hyperactive)
1969 Atlantic hurricane season 158 17 12 5 Above normal (hyperactive)
1980 Atlantic hurricane season 147 11 9 2 Above normal
1966 Atlantic hurricane season 145 11 7 3 Above normal
2008 Atlantic hurricane season 145 16 8 5 Above normal
1951 Atlantic hurricane season 137 10 8 5 Above normal
1989 Atlantic hurricane season 135 11 7 2 Above normal
1967 Atlantic hurricane season 122 8 6 1 Near normal
1958 Atlantic hurricane season 121 10 7 5 Above normal
1963 Atlantic hurricane season 118 9 7 2 Near normal
2000 Atlantic hurricane season 116 14 8 3 Above normal
1954 Atlantic hurricane season 113 11 8 2 Above normal
2010 Atlantic hurricane season 113 11 6 5 In Progress
2001 Atlantic hurricane season 106 15 9 4 Above normal
1953 Atlantic hurricane season 104 14 6 4 Above normal
1988 Atlantic hurricane season 103 12 5 3 Above normal
1971 Atlantic hurricane season 97 13 6 1 Near normal
1981 Atlantic hurricane season 93 11 7 3 Near normal
1979 Atlantic hurricane season 91 8 5 2 Near normal
1990 Atlantic hurricane season 91 14 8 1 Near normal
1960 Atlantic hurricane season 88 7 4 2 Near normal
1985 Atlantic hurricane season 88 11 7 3 Near normal
1952 Atlantic hurricane season 87 7 6 3 Near normal
1965 Atlantic hurricane season 84 6 4 1 Near normal
1957 Atlantic hurricane season 84 8 3 2 Near normal
1976 Atlantic hurricane season 81 8 6 2 Near normal
2006 Atlantic hurricane season 79 10 5 2 Near normal
1959 Atlantic hurricane season 77 11 7 2 Near normal
1992 Atlantic hurricane season 75 6 4 1 Near normal
1975 Atlantic hurricane season 73 8 6 3 Near normal
2007 Atlantic hurricane season 72 15 6 2 Near normal
1984 Atlantic hurricane season 71 12 5 1 Near normal
2002 Atlantic hurricane season 65 12 4 2 Below normal
1978 Atlantic hurricane season 62 11 5 2 Below normal
1974 Atlantic hurricane season 61 7 4 2 Below normal
1956 Atlantic hurricane season 54 8 4 2 Below normal
2009 Atlantic hurricane season 51 9 3 2 Below normal
1973 Atlantic hurricane season 43 7 4 1 Below normal
1997 Atlantic hurricane season 40 7 3 1 Below normal
1993 Atlantic hurricane season 39 8 4 1 Below normal
1962 Atlantic hurricane season 36 5 3 1 Below normal
1986 Atlantic hurricane season 36 6 4 0 Below normal
1968 Atlantic hurricane season 35 7 4 0 Below normal
1970 Atlantic hurricane season 34 10 5 2 Below normal
1987 Atlantic hurricane season 34 7 3 1 Below normal
1991 Atlantic hurricane season 34 8 4 2 Below normal
1994 Atlantic hurricane season 32 7 3 0 Below normal
1982 Atlantic hurricane season 29 5 2 1 Below normal
1972 Atlantic hurricane season 28 4 3 0 Below normal
1977 Atlantic hurricane season 25 6 5 1 Below normal
1983 Atlantic hurricane season 17 4 3 1 Below normal
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145295
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=113.01 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=42.3025

#239 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 17, 2010 4:14 pm

Atlantic ACE update at 2100z

Igor,Julia and Karl

Code: Select all

11L.Igor
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 8 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
2 8 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
3 8 September 11 pm EDT 40 0.1600
4 9 September 5 am EDT 35 0.1225
5 9 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
6 9 September 5 pm EDT 30 0
7 9 September 11 pm EDT 30 0
8 10 September 5 am EDT 30 0
9 10 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
10 10 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
11 10 September 11 pm EDT 45 0.2025
12 11 September 5 am EDT 60 0.3600
13 11 September 11 am EDT 60 0.3600
14 11 September 5 pm EDT 60 0.3600
15 11 September 11 pm EDT 65 0.4225
16 12 September 5 am EDT 70 0.4900
17 12 September 11 am EDT 90 0.8100
18 12 September 2:30 pm EDT 115 Special
19 12 September 5 pm EDT 120 1.4400
20 12 September 11 pm EDT 130 1.6900
21 13 September 5 am EDT 130 1.6900
22 13 September 11 am EDT 130 1.6900
23 13 September 5 pm EDT 130 1.6900
24 13 September 11 pm EDT 120 1.4400
25 14 September 5 am EDT 115 1.3225
26 14 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
27 14 September 5 pm EDT 125 1.5625
28 14 September 11 pm EDT 135 1.8225
29 15 September 5 am EDT 125 1.5625
30 15 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
31 15 September 5 pm EDT 115 1.3225
32 15 September 11 pm EDT 115 1.3225
33 16 September 5 am EDT 125 1.5625
34 16 September 11 am EDT 120 1.4400
35 16 September 5 pm EDT 110 1.2100
36 16 September 11 pm EDT 110 1.2100
37 17 September 5 am EDT 110 1.2100
38 17 September 11 am EDT 105 1.1025
39 17 September 5 pm EDT 90 0.8100
Total       33.72

[edit] 12L.Julia
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 12 September 11 am EDT 30 0
2 12 September 5 pm EDT 30 0
3 12 September 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
4 13 September 5 am EDT 35 0.1225
5 13 September 11 am EDT 35 0.1225
6 13 September 5 pm EDT 45 0.2025
7 13 September 11 pm EDT 45 0.2025
8 14 September 5 am EDT 65 0.4225
9 14 September 11 am EDT 75 0.5625
10 14 September 5 pm EDT 75 0.5625
11 14 September 11 pm EDT 90 0.8100
12 15 September 1:30 am EDT 110 Special
13 15 September 5 am EDT 115 1.3225
14 15 September 11 am EDT 115 1.3225
15 15 September 5 pm EDT 110 1.2100
16 15 September 11 pm EDT 100 1.0000
17 16 September 5 am EDT 90 0.8100
18 16 September 11 am EDT 85 0.7225
19 16 September 5 pm EDT 75 0.5625
20 16 September 11 pm EDT 70 0.4900
21 17 September 5 am EDT 75 0.5625
22 17 September 11 am EDT 75 0.5625
23 17 September 5 pm EDT 65 0.4225
Total       12.1175

[edit] 13L.Karl
Adv. Date Time Maximum Sustained Winds (kt) ACE (104 kt2)
1 14 September 5 pm EDT 35 0.1225
2 14 September 11 pm EDT 40 0.1600
3 15 September 5 am EDT 55 0.3025
4 15 September 11 am EDT 50 0.2500
5 15 September 5 pm EDT 40 0.1600
6 15 September 11 pm EDT 35 0.1225
7 16 September 5 am EDT 45 0.2025
8 16 September 8:30 am EDT 55 Special
9 16 September 11 am EDT 65 0.4225
10 16 September 5 pm EDT 70 0.4900
11 17 September 11 pm EDT 85 0.7225
12 17 September 5 am EDT 105 1.1025
13 17 September 11 am EDT 105 1.1025
14 17 September 5 pm EDT 80 0.6400
Total       5.8


Season Total

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Alex) Operational 6.7825
03L (Bonnie) Operational 0.3675
04L (Colin) Operational 1.9450
06L (Danielle) Operational 21.7950
07L (Earl) Operational 27.7750
08L (Fiona) Operational 2.9400
09L (Gaston) Operational 0.3675
10L (Hermine) Operational 1.2725
11L (Igor) Operational 33.7200
12L (Julia) Operational 12.1175
13L (Karl) Operational 5.8000
Total  114.8825
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
hurricaneCW
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Wed Mar 03, 2010 6:20 am
Location: Toms River, NJ

Re: 2010 ACE: Atlantic=114.8825 / EPAC=48.64 / WPAC=42.3025

#240 Postby hurricaneCW » Fri Sep 17, 2010 4:47 pm

The ACE increase per day will gradually be decreasing now, Karl and Julia are gradually dissipating, Igor is not as strong as before but should still provide a further ACE boost for another 3 days or so. By the time the current activity is all said and done, I expect the ACE to get up to 120-125 units, which is quite a run in only a few short weeks.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: gib, Hurricane2022, HurricaneFan, RomP and 35 guests