Pouch PGI46L - Near Windwards - (Is invest 95L)

[Wx_Warrior]

Gotcha, that's the one that takes off north, I would assume?

[cycloneye]

Yes WW.

[Vortex]

The trend looks more and more like development may hold off until the western carribean...Classic late september/october set-up with lowering pressures across the western carribean and strong ridging over the western atlantic....Often these types of systems move very slowly over the western carribean. Usually slowly nw/n.

[Ivanhater]

Through 126 hours..it is basically not trackable.

[Wx_Warrior]

As bad as the gfs has been, I just have a hard time buying into the gfs and putting eggs into its basket.

[ROCK]

Through 126 hours..it is basically not trackable.

is that it there in the carib..at 850mb

[ROCK]

As bad as the gfs has been, I just have a hard time buying into the gfs and putting eggs into its basket.

the EURO has been showing it as is the NOGAPS and long range CMC....many eggs in many baskets...

[Ivanhater]

That is it in the far eastern Caribbean

[Wx_Warrior]

Im referring to the final solution the GFS has suggested: Mexico to Florida

[Vortex]

It would appear the energy from this wave will push west with a weak disorganized area of low pressure...Likely bring squally weather to the windwards in about 5 days....Once reaching the western carribean it should slow and organize....

[ROCK]

Im referring to the final solution the GFS has suggested: Mexico to Florida

just giving you the business bro....

150hr....nada

[Ivanhater]

150 hours...I doubt it develops this run

[ROCK]

with those lower pressures in the carib something has go to give though.....

[Florida1118]

with those lower pressures in the carib something has go to give though.....

I agree. Alot of Lows with plenty of Moisture and in their favored region for Development.

[South Texas Storms]

wow in the past runs from a couple days ago it showed this start to blow up in the central caribbean and was trackable pretty much starting by the islands. seems to be losing it lately...

[Ivanhater]

180 hours..still not much with the current wave

[South Texas Storms]

yeah i still dont see it at 180 hours... is it even trackable?

[Vortex]

here we go...energy arrives in the sw carribean....strong ridging over the eastern seaboard....classic early fall pattern....should see this strengthen now and lift nw/n

[Ivanhater]

What could happen is the wave mixes with the SW Caribbean low and develops..still don't think it develops this run

192 hours

[South Texas Storms]

doesnt looks like it ivan. i dont think it will either. just like you said in your previous post, some runs will show no development at all