ATL: KARL - Ex-Hurricane - Discussion

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Re: ATL: KARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#1281 Postby weatherwindow » Fri Sep 17, 2010 4:22 am

a link for veracruz radar?....sorry if i missed it earlier....thx
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#1282 Postby AussieMark » Fri Sep 17, 2010 4:26 am

Cyclenall wrote:Not only do we have our 5th major hurricane of the season which as of recent is extremely impressive, but Mexico could get hit by a category 4 rapidly strengthening hurricane that just displayed the fastest intensification over the BOC I have ever seen. Over the last two years Mexico has been ravaged by hurricanes/TC's big time.


only 1999 and 2005 had 5 category 4+ hurricanes.
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#1283 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 17, 2010 4:27 am

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#1284 Postby Aquawind » Fri Sep 17, 2010 4:33 am

Nasty Baby Eyewall...
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Re: Re:

#1285 Postby canes101 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 4:36 am

AussieMark wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:Not only do we have our 5th major hurricane of the season which as of recent is extremely impressive, but Mexico could get hit by a category 4 rapidly strengthening hurricane that just displayed the fastest intensification over the BOC I have ever seen. Over the last two years Mexico has been ravaged by hurricanes/TC's big time.


only 1999 and 2005 had 5 category 4+ hurricanes.

Well lets see.. So far we are sitting at four category 4+ hurricanes.. We have DANIELLE, EARL, IGOR, and JULIA.. So if if IF Karl would make it to Cat 4 he would be our 5th.. He should be inland in less then 12 hours I believe though.
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2010 Archive: HURRICANE ALEX, TD TWO, TS BONNIE, TS COLIN, TD FIVE, HURRICANE DANIELLE, HURRICANE EARL, TS FIONA, TS GASTON, TS HERMINE, HURRICANE IGOR, HURRICANE JULIA, HURRICANE KARL, HURRICANE LISA, TS MATTHEW, TS NICOLE, HURRICANE OTTO, HURRICANE PAULA (Active)

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Re: Re:

#1286 Postby AussieMark » Fri Sep 17, 2010 4:38 am

canes101 wrote:
AussieMark wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:Not only do we have our 5th major hurricane of the season which as of recent is extremely impressive, but Mexico could get hit by a category 4 rapidly strengthening hurricane that just displayed the fastest intensification over the BOC I have ever seen. Over the last two years Mexico has been ravaged by hurricanes/TC's big time.


only 1999 and 2005 had 5 category 4+ hurricanes.

Well lets see.. So far we are sitting at four category 4+ hurricanes.. We have DANIELLE, EARL, IGOR, and JULIA.. So if if IF Karl would make it to Cat 4 he would be our 5th.. He should be inland in less then 12 hours I believe though.


NHC has it forcasted prior to landfall.
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Re: Re:

#1287 Postby Hurricanewatcher2007 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 4:39 am

canes101 wrote:
AussieMark wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:Not only do we have our 5th major hurricane of the season which as of recent is extremely impressive, but Mexico could get hit by a category 4 rapidly strengthening hurricane that just displayed the fastest intensification over the BOC I have ever seen. Over the last two years Mexico has been ravaged by hurricanes/TC's big time.


only 1999 and 2005 had 5 category 4+ hurricanes.

Well lets see.. So far we are sitting at four category 4+ hurricanes.. We have DANIELLE, EARL, IGOR, and JULIA.. So if if IF Karl would make it to Cat 4 he would be our 5th.. He should be inland in less then 12 hours I believe though.


As of the 5am advisory Karl is now forecast to get up to cat 4 before landfall. 120kts is the peak strength currently forecasted.
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#1288 Postby canes101 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 4:42 am

Yes I did see its forecasted to be a cat 4.. Just saying we will see..
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2010 Archive: HURRICANE ALEX, TD TWO, TS BONNIE, TS COLIN, TD FIVE, HURRICANE DANIELLE, HURRICANE EARL, TS FIONA, TS GASTON, TS HERMINE, HURRICANE IGOR, HURRICANE JULIA, HURRICANE KARL, HURRICANE LISA, TS MATTHEW, TS NICOLE, HURRICANE OTTO, HURRICANE PAULA (Active)

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Re:

#1289 Postby Hurricanewatcher2007 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 4:51 am

canes101 wrote:Yes I did see its forecasted to be a cat 4.. Just saying we will see..


For all we know it may already be a cat 4. We will just have to wait and see what recon finds when it makes its first pass.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#1290 Postby CapeCod1995 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 4:52 am

I'm already satisfied with this season. Back in July, I thought this was going to be a repeat 2009 season. I'm calling for 6 more major hurricanes because each storm since Igor has formed into a major hurricane.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#1291 Postby alan1961 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 4:53 am

A few more hours till landfall :eek:

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Re: ATL: KARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#1292 Postby Hurricanewatcher2007 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 4:56 am

alan1961 wrote:A few more hours till landfall :eek:



Based on last nights 11pm advisory I believe it will be sometime around 5 this afternoon that it makes landfall.
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#1293 Postby bob rulz » Fri Sep 17, 2010 4:58 am

This really is one of the most phenomenal storms I have yet tracked. If this was bearing down on the U.S. the media would be having a field day.
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Re:

#1294 Postby AussieMark » Fri Sep 17, 2010 5:02 am

bob rulz wrote:This really is one of the most phenomenal storms I have yet tracked. If this was bearing down on the U.S. the media would be having a field day.


Charley is the closest US has had to this in recent times
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Re: ATL: KARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#1295 Postby Hurricanewatcher2007 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 5:03 am

If it were to move straight west and keep it's forward motion of 9mph then it would be making landfall in about 9.8 hours:

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#1296 Postby AussieMark » Fri Sep 17, 2010 5:05 am

in Karl case what is the strongest quad?

SW?
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Re:

#1297 Postby Hurricanewatcher2007 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 5:06 am

AussieMark wrote:in Karl case what is the strongest quad?

SW?


Based on the last recon mission it's been the north-east.
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Re: Re:

#1298 Postby AussieMark » Fri Sep 17, 2010 5:08 am

Hurricanewatcher2007 wrote:
AussieMark wrote:in Karl case what is the strongest quad?

SW?


Based on the last recon mission it's been the north-east.


Looking at your Google Earth map Veracruz may escape the worst of it
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Re:

#1299 Postby Simone Lussardi » Fri Sep 17, 2010 5:10 am

AussieMark wrote:in Karl case what is the strongest quad?

SW?


Storm advancing westward, with symmetrical convection, strongest winds are usually in the NE quadrant, as the flight recon found.
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#1300 Postby bob rulz » Fri Sep 17, 2010 5:10 am

Even a slight dip to the southwest would bring the worst conditions to Veracruz, I would say it's still too close for comfort, at least for those on the northern end of the city.
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