NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked
Message
Author
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#1 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:06 am

Well this is different from the GFS/ Euro/Canadian and associated ensemble member's system they develop later on. This is another system sooner.

Canadian and Nogaps want to develop this in a couple days

Image

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#2 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:08 am

nice.....a non-pouch thread.... :lol:

NOGAPS still running at 120hr....waiting on update...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#3 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:10 am

00z Canadian out to 120 hours

strengthening off the tip of the Yucatan

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#4 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:13 am

Nogaps..in the BOC

180 hours

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#5 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:13 am

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

NOGAPS pulls a Karl at 180hr.....looks at all the other things popping up in the carib.... :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#6 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:15 am

the BOC again is unrealistic IMO.....come on now....we have what 3 storms now in the BOC....sheesh...the ssts have got to be cooling off....

take that back....the BOC is juiced as is the GOM....

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4227
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#7 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:17 am

wont the ridge be weaker by then over texas?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#8 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:19 am

144 Canadian

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#9 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:20 am

168hr the CMC destroys Houston.....nice
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4227
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#10 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:22 am

can i see that rock?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#11 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:27 am

South Texas Storms wrote:can i see that rock?



Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#12 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:28 am

and that my friend is considered in the short range.....not good with the GOM being untouched all year...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4227
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#13 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:28 am

oh wow thanks. is it heading nw at the time?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#14 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:28 am

That's last nights run Rock..new one will be out in 2 minutes :D

144 canadian

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#15 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:31 am

oh thanks Ivan you could have told me before I posted a old run and wasted all this bandwidth...... :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#16 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:31 am

168 00z Canadian

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#17 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:34 am

mid- lower Texas coast....

edit it more like around Corpus and moving NW at 196 brings the remains north of Houston...
Last edited by ROCK on Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4227
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#18 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:36 am

is it north of the border?
0 likes   
Top
Florida1118

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#19 Postby Florida1118 » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:37 am

South Texas Storms wrote:is it north of the border?

To me it looks just south of the Border
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

#20 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 18, 2010 12:41 am

that would still be a nasty run if the CMC was to verify....really to close for comfort....we need to be watching the carib closely for development...the CMC is not the GFS.....
0 likes   
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: cainjamin, Cutt, Hurricane2000, Hurricane2022, NotSparta, psyclone, riapal, Sunnydays and 28 guests