13.9N/48.0W--Hmmmm

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Vortex
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13.9N/48.0W--Hmmmm

#1 Postby Vortex » Mon Aug 18, 2003 6:04 pm

latest imagery looks abit more interesting. Consolidating abit more and even maybe some curvature near the above mentioned Lat/Lon. Opinions welcome.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
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cycloneye
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 18, 2003 6:13 pm

If there is a low forming there then 92L wont be far away from being up.
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wxman57
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Agree

#3 Postby wxman57 » Mon Aug 18, 2003 6:34 pm

I agree that the convection is organizing on the western edge of the disturbance. However, it will need to persist for a while if this thing is to develop. If it's still consolidating around that western point in the morning, then I think we'll have 92L.
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chadtm80

#4 Postby chadtm80 » Mon Aug 18, 2003 7:41 pm

Improvements continue at this hour as well... Lets see what happens.. Nothing realy seems to be fighting against it all that much
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#5 Postby ameriwx2003 » Mon Aug 18, 2003 7:52 pm

Yes, it looks like that area approaching 50W now seems to be the focus point. It will be interesting to see how the models initialize this system and what the forecast strength and path may be.The 18Z GFS had this system at about 42 W in 24 hrs:) Lets see if this further West position ( meaning its at about 50W now) makes a difference:)

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _024.shtml
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ColdFront77

#6 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Aug 18, 2003 8:01 pm

The convection has persisted for at least 24 hours, although it was very elongated yesterday.
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