Pouch PGI46L - Near Windwards - (Is invest 95L)

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ROCK
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#961 Postby ROCK » Mon Sep 20, 2010 4:24 pm

I was fixin to say Ivan you are slipping..... :lol: ensembles look like operational...

84hr NAM

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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#962 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Sep 20, 2010 4:30 pm

There are 2 different systems the models are developing. Both may indeed develop. The models might be a little messy for the next couple of days.
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#963 Postby ROCK » Mon Sep 20, 2010 4:46 pm

well actually according to the GFS is will be 3 systems.....NAM is showing 46L....then later in the period the GFS develops twins....have to take note of the EURO flip today to be in line with the NOGAPS and others........however the CMC has not bitten yet so we will see today in the ensembles and long range run later...
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#964 Postby Vortex » Mon Sep 20, 2010 4:50 pm

GFS 18Z H24 very active weather across the windward’s tonight/tuesday


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_024l.gif
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#965 Postby ROCK » Mon Sep 20, 2010 4:55 pm

Ivan post the CMC ensembles they are out but cant seem to find them updated anywhere....
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#966 Postby Vortex » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:03 pm

H54 Low just north of SA


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_054l.gif
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#967 Postby Vortex » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:10 pm

H66 Very similar to NAM


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_066l.gif
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#968 Postby expat2carib » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:20 pm

Over Dominica right now. Rain and rain.

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antilles/pack-public/animation/animMOSAIC2.html
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#969 Postby Vortex » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:24 pm

GFS looks like last nights CMC...at least for now
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#970 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:26 pm

GFS back to developing 46L in the central Caribbean now
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#971 Postby Vortex » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:28 pm

question is where and will the turn occur..if there is a turn
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#972 Postby blazess556 » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:29 pm

GFS developing 46L was what it was doing a week ago. Looks like it has went back to that idea.
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#973 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:30 pm

blazess556 wrote:GFS developing 46L was what it was doing a week ago. Looks like it has went back to that idea.


Yes,It was developing it past 50W.
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#974 Postby ColinDelia » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:33 pm

If the GFS verifies this will be approaching depression status wednesday night
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#975 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:35 pm

The duo at 174 hours.

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#976 Postby Vortex » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:35 pm

twins again...46 pulls up and sits in the gulf of honduras for some time....
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#977 Postby blazess556 » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:35 pm

cycloneye wrote:The duo at 174 hours.

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make it a trio. storm out in e atl.
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#978 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:37 pm

Yeah Trio.

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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Windward Islands

#979 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:42 pm

expat2carib wrote:Over Dominica right now. Rain and rain.

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antilles/pack-public/animation/animMOSAIC2.html

Oh you're definitely right my friend, the same here near 4PM, becoming strong, numerous areas are suffering from localized flooding.
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Lesser Antilles

#980 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:48 pm

Big bend

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