Pouch PGI46L - Near Windwards - (Is invest 95L)

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Florida1118

Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Lesser Antilles

#1121 Postby Florida1118 » Tue Sep 21, 2010 12:56 am

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS
A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Lesser Antilles

#1122 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:01 am

Now we're getting somewhere IMO.
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Lesser Antilles

#1123 Postby Florida1118 » Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:04 am

Ya, being that this is a pretty big threat, its about time they put it in.
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#1124 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:17 am

Barbados is dealing with some very squally weather...Winds sustained at 30mph at 2am with a thunderstorm.


77 °F
Thunderstorms and Rain
Humidity: 86%
Dew Point: 74 °F
Wind: 30 mph from the SE
Wind Gust: -
Pressure: 29.84
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#1125 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:25 am

00Z Euro on board at H72 heading west....



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... SLP072.gif
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Lesser Antilles

#1126 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:26 am

long range CMC

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#1127 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:27 am

H96 stronger heading for CA...All models in very good agreement on a landfall in CA now



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... SLP096.gif
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#1128 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:31 am

H+120 grazing NE tip of honduras...moving wnw now



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... SLP120.gif
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#1129 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:34 am

H144 stronger...moving NW now over open water east of the yucatan...trough digging along the east coast



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... SLP144.gif
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#1130 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:41 am

cutoff low across the ohio valley with a pretty deep trough along the east coast...not sure it will completely catch it...
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#1131 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:43 am

H168 much stronger...hurricane over the NW carribean moving slowly NNW


http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... SLP168.gif
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#1132 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:49 am

H192 powerful hurricane over NW carribean.....barely moving.....



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... SLP192.gif
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#1133 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:54 am

Major Hurricane heading NE slowly towards western Cuba.....


H216



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... SLP216.gif
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Lesser Antilles

#1134 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:57 am

Image
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#1135 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:58 am

Major Hurricane heading North over SE gulf......




http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... SLP240.gif
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#1136 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:59 am

Talk about a very large and powerful hurricane over the SE gulf.....
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Lesser Antilles

#1137 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 21, 2010 2:02 am

Wx_Warrior wrote:Image


Good grief, look at the size of that thing!
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Re:

#1138 Postby Florida1118 » Tue Sep 21, 2010 2:03 am

Vortex wrote:Talk about a very large and powerful hurricane over the SE gulf.....

I hate seeing that. I also dont like the lack of flip flopping with the models. And the fact is we are more than likely to have a cane in the gulf, in less then 250hrs...
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Lesser Antilles

#1139 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 2:07 am

Brent wrote:
Wx_Warrior wrote:Image


Good grief, look at the size of that thing!



Whats very concerning is how displaced the ridge is over the atlantic...troughiness along the east coast so if we extended this run further it would probably starting vering to the NE or towards the west coast of FL or the big bend region....
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Over Lesser Antilles

#1140 Postby Florida1118 » Tue Sep 21, 2010 2:11 am

Vortex wrote:
Brent wrote:
Wx_Warrior wrote:


Good grief, look at the size of that thing!



Whats very concerning is how displaced the ridge is over the atlantic...troughiness along the east coast so if we extended this run further it would probably starting vering to the NE or towards the west coast of FL or the big bend region....

I miss 2009! It is nearly Oct. and trends are towards the SE. Im not saying Mexico/Tex are clear, but its looking less likely.
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