EPAC: GEORGETTE - Tropical Depression

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#41 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:16 am

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#42 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 22, 2010 1:40 pm

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#43 Postby lester » Wed Sep 22, 2010 5:17 pm

TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122010
200 PM PDT WED SEP 22 2010

..TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE NEAR THE COAST OF SONORA
MOST THE
WEATHER IS ALREADY INLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.0N 111.1W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SE OF BAHIA KINO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM HUATABAMPITO NORTHWARD TO BAHIA
KINO

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
GEORGETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.1
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH...26
KM/HR AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION
ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN A FEW RAINBANDS. THE DEPRESSION SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS
SOON AS THE ENTIRE CIRCULATION MOVES INLAND SOON.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN GUSTS WITHIN
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA TODAY DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

RAINFALL...GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
STATE OF SONORA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MOISTURE FROM GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO
SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.



SATELLITE IMAGES AND RADAR FROM THE MEXICAN WEATHER SERVICE INDICATE
THAT A LARGE PORTION OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION HAS MOVED INLAND OVER THE STATE OF
SONORA. THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS LOCATED ON THE SOUTH SIDE
OF THE CONVECTION AND IS STILL VERY NEAR THE COAST WHERE WINDS ARE
GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS. A GRADUAL WEAKENING HAS ALREADY BEGUN AND
ONCE THE CIRCULATION MOVES COMPLETELY INLAND...ADDITIONAL WEAKENING
IS ANTICIPATED. GEORGETTE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON
THURSDAY.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING NORTHWARD OR 355 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION IN
ABOUT A DAY. THERE IS POSSIBILITY THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER
REMAINS MEANDERING OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND DISSIPATES THERE
IF THE SOUTHERLY SHEAR REMOVES ALL THE CONVECTION SOONER THAN
ANTICIPATED.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO WILL LIKELY DISCONTINUE THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AS SOON AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 22/2100Z 28.0N 111.1W 30 KT
12HR VT 23/0600Z 30.5N 111.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 23/1800Z 33.0N 111.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED
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Re: EPAC: GEORGETTE - Tropical Depression

#44 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 22, 2010 7:19 pm

WTPZ32 KNHC 222344
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122010
500 PM PDT WED SEP 22 2010

...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE MOVING INLAND JUST WEST
OF GUAYMAS...MOST THE WEATHER IS ALREADY WELL INLAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.1N 111.0W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NW OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SE OF BAHIA KINO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE
CENTER OF GEORGETTE HAS MOVED INLAND JUST WEST OF GUAYMAS
MEXICO. AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION GEORGETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 111.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH
NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE
UNTIL DISSIPATION TONIGHT OR THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN A FEW RAINBANDS. A WIND GUST TO 39 MPH...63 KM/HR...WAS
RECENTLY REPORTED AT GUAYMAS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
COAST OF MEXICO NEAR GUAYMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

RAINFALL...GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
STATE OF SONORA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MOISTURE FROM GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO
SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Re: EPAC: GEORGETTE - Tropical Depression

#45 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 22, 2010 9:39 pm

Last Advisory

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 230237
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122010
800 PM PDT WED SEP 22 2010

...GEORGETTE MOVING FARTHER INLAND...BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.7N 110.9W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM N OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM E OF BAHIA KINO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA INDICATE THAT GEORGETTE HAS BECOME A
REMNANT LOW. AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANT
LOW OF GEORGETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE
110.9 WEST. THE LOW IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/HR. A NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED UNTIL DISSIPATION LATER
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
STATE OF SONORA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MOISTURE FROM GEORGETTE WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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#46 Postby lester » Wed Sep 22, 2010 9:42 pm

Goodbye Georgette..see you in 2016! lol
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