Pouch PGI47L emerging from Africa

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Weatherfreak000

Pouch PGI47L emerging from Africa

#1 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Sun Sep 19, 2010 3:01 pm

Image

Convection weak but it has good structure. GFS seems to be hinting lately at more low pressure developing in this area. The CV season may not be over yet.

Image

Vorticity is already looking nice. You can see future lisa very well in this image, as well as the developing test invest infront of it. Very active Atlantic
0 likes   
Top
Florida1118

Re: Tropical Wave emerging from Africa

#2 Postby Florida1118 » Sun Sep 19, 2010 3:03 pm

I believe NOGAPS develops this at about 126 hours. Its NOGAPS, but its a start.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
expat2carib
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 458
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2008 1:44 pm
Location: Sint Maarten

Re: Tropical Wave emerging from Africa

#3 Postby expat2carib » Sun Sep 19, 2010 3:07 pm

"Good Looking" wave. Might be the low-rider some people were expecting.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
srainhoutx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6919
Age: 67
Joined: Sun Jan 14, 2007 11:34 am
Location: Haywood County, NC
Contact:
Contact srainhoutx

Re: Tropical Wave emerging from Africa

#4 Postby srainhoutx » Sun Sep 19, 2010 3:08 pm

This feature is being tracked by the PREDICT Team as PGI47L.
0 likes   
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Wx Infinity Forums
http://wxinfinity.com/index.php

Facebook.com/WeatherInfinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Top
Weatherfreak000

#5 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Sun Sep 19, 2010 3:12 pm

^^^
If a moderator doesn't mind changing the name to that I would appreciate it, to avoid confusion. GFS suggests low pressure may keep developing in this area for potentially the next week or so.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145456
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Pouch PGI47L emerging from Africa

#6 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 19, 2010 3:19 pm

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Weatherfreak000

#7 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Sun Sep 19, 2010 3:25 pm

Looking like a low-rider wave
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#8 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Sep 19, 2010 5:19 pm

Image

Excellent pic
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#9 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 20, 2010 11:47 am

Image

about to emerge
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#10 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 20, 2010 11:51 am

Image

Looking good
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11500
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Pouch PGI47L emerging from Africa

#11 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 20, 2010 1:09 pm

Dakar time sections showing a very healthy moisture column - about the best in the last 8 days.

LIDAR sounding showing continued low-levels of dust in the air.




Image


Image


Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
weatherwindow
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Joined: Mon Sep 20, 2004 9:48 am
Location: key west/ft lauderdale

Re: Pouch PGI47L emerging from Africa

#12 Postby weatherwindow » Tue Sep 21, 2010 4:29 am

gcane...props on your thoroughgoing analysis...do you have any current numbers on the easterly jet associated with this feature?...also check your pms.....rich
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11500
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Pouch PGI47L emerging from Africa

#13 Postby GCANE » Tue Sep 21, 2010 6:53 am

weatherwindow wrote:gcane...props on your thoroughgoing analysis...do you have any current numbers on the easterly jet associated with this feature?...also check your pms.....rich


Rich:

That is a great question. I will try and find some wind vector numbers at 650mb. Also, I responded to your message. That is an interesting line of research to pursue to gain more insight on the development of AEWs.

Jerry
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#14 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 21, 2010 8:30 pm

Image

great vorticity but having Lisa so close should be favorable for development
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#15 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 22, 2010 12:42 pm

Image

Pouch 47 is gone from the predict website. It tried to form but it got sucked into the trough to the north as you can see in the loop above.

Thanks to Pedro Fernández for the loop!
0 likes   
Top
OURAGAN
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 451
Joined: Sat Aug 07, 2004 12:18 pm
Location: GUADELOUPE

Re: Pouch PGI47L emerging from Africa

#16 Postby OURAGAN » Wed Sep 22, 2010 1:02 pm

Bye bye PGI47
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5313
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2006 9:06 pm

Re: Pouch PGI47L emerging from Africa

#17 Postby Ptarmigan » Wed Sep 22, 2010 8:59 pm

Next! Looks like the trough was the RAID for cockroach PGI47L. :lol:
0 likes   
Top
pepeavilenho
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 171
Joined: Thu Jul 09, 2009 12:01 pm

#18 Postby pepeavilenho » Wed Sep 22, 2010 10:51 pm

Cape Verde season maybe over....................................... :?:
0 likes   
Top
lonelymike
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 634
Joined: Sat Jul 26, 2008 10:12 am
Location: walton county fla

Re: Pouch PGI47L emerging from Africa

#19 Postby lonelymike » Wed Sep 22, 2010 10:55 pm

Yep Pepe its over. Looks like the year of the recurve
0 likes   


GO SEMINOLES
Top
User avatar
ConvergenceZone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5194
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
Location: Northern California

#20 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Sep 22, 2010 10:56 pm

wow, that loop you posted looked like a vacuum cleaner just sucking the pouch right up......CV season coming to a close shortly.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Blown Away, Javlin, Kennethb and 25 guests