ATL: MATTHEW - Ex-Tropical Storm - Discussion

[psyclone]

even if matthew commits suicide over central america, we probably won't have much downtime before another cyclone cranks. CA is like a casino for TCs... easy to get into and tough to get out of. although far eastern nicaragua and northeastern honduras are flat...recall last year's ida had no trouble traversing that territory.

[Sanibel]

I think it is a mistake to discount anything that has a good tropical head start and heads north into the Gulf. IMO, shear is that only thing that will stop it now.

[Ivanhater]

[Swimdude]

Ok 11 p.m. advisory, it's bed time, let's go.

[cjrciadt]

shaping to strengthen possibly rapidly, here are the heat potential maps http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/cyclone/data/ca.html

[Aquawind]

I think it is a mistake to discount anything that has a good tropical head start and heads north into the Gulf. IMO, shear is that only thing that will stop it now.

Heading north is the question with Matthew right? Other than that yes anything heading into the Gulf this time of year would be foolish to discount.

[gatorcane]

The cone is out, shift to the west, looks like it gets buried in the Yucatan...................no NE turn

[Aquawind]

shaping to strengthen possibly rapidly, here are the heat potential maps http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/cyclone/data/ca.html

But Matthew is way south of the real heat for now..

[psyclone]

interesting gatorcane and I'm not surprised. i thought there was a good chance the northeast turn would disappear.

[Aquawind]

The cone is out, shift to the west, looks like it gets buried in the Yucatan...................no NE turn

Sorry Mexico..but good for South Florida..

[Swimdude]

GOOD NEWS forecasted in the 11 p.m. advisory! I like this track change very, very much!

[gatorcane]

The cone is out, shift to the west, looks like it gets buried in the Yucatan...................no NE turn

Sorry Mexico..but good for South Florida..

Mexico and Central America certainly are the targets in 2010 it seems for these Caribbean systems........I'm really not concerned here in South FL at least not now....

[cycloneye]

[PTrackerLA]

There won't be much left of Matthew if that track verifies.

[TheDreamTraveler]

The cone is out, shift to the west, looks like it gets buried in the Yucatan...................no NE turn

No NE turn? I sure see one.

[BigB0882]

Wow, the new cone has it sitting in the middle of the Yucatan for 48 hours at least. That would have to be the end of Matthew, even a strong hurricane would be hard pressed to sit over land for 48+ hours without dying off. If it were continuing to move then it would be no problem, but that's not what the NHC thinks will happen.

[HURAKAN]

Sorry to burst people bubbles but do you think that track will hold? I really don't know what will happen but people seem happy to see it over Yucatan for a few days and yeah, Yucatan kills cyclones. Seems to be the most common misconception out there.

[Sanibel]

New NHC map calls for hurricane on Honduras landfall.

[ROCK]

The cone is out, shift to the west, looks like it gets buried in the Yucatan...................no NE turn

what did you expect....they havent a real good idea either after 5 days. This was the safest bet to bury in in the Yucatan....

[Aric Dunn]

Dont get over excited yet.. it still turns the forecast is highly uncertain past 3 days right now.. it also is now forecast to be hurricane tomorrow..