Pouch PGI50L in NW Carribean - Code Orange - (Is Invest 96L)

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otowntiger
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Re:

#21 Postby otowntiger » Fri Sep 24, 2010 10:36 am

Yeah the timing there is also bullish. Am I reading that right in that just 84 hours from now, by Tuesday, this model is projecting that a large developing storm will be just south of Cuba?
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#22 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 10:41 am

12Z GFS rolling....
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#23 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 10:49 am

H30 Broad area of low pressure over western carribean...matthew near belize...


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_030l.gif
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#24 Postby barometerJane61 » Fri Sep 24, 2010 10:51 am

Holy smokes .Never count the season over till its officially over :eek:
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Re: Hurricane possible NW carribean next week...

#25 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:03 am

H72 broad low pressure forming over Gulf of honduras





http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal072.gif
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#26 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:07 am

H78 broad area of low pressure in the gulf of honduras becomes the dominant feature....




http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal078.gif
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#27 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:08 am

this will be a very broad and large circulation to start...
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#28 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:10 am

H90 td/nicole developing over NW carribean sea...



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal090.gif
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#29 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:11 am

H96 beginning to deepen over NW carribean...


http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal096.gif
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#30 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:12 am

H102...strengthening...likely Nicole at this point over the NW carribean...



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal102.gif
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Re: Hurricane possible NW carribean next week...

#31 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:17 am

H120 stronger... near the caymans




http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal120.gif
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#32 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:18 am

H132 nearing hurricane strength near the caymans...


http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal132.gif
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#33 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:20 am

H138 moving N south of cuba...


http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal138.gif
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#34 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:21 am

H144 nearing western cuba...



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal144.gif
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Re: Hurricane possible NW carribean next week...

#35 Postby caneseddy » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:24 am

GFS seems less bullish on timing than the NAM, which has Nicole south of Cuba at 84 hrs (Tuesday) while GFS has it in the same area around Thursday

One thing to take from both is that mid-next week there will be an intensifying system south of Cuba and Florida
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#36 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:28 am

H150 nearing western cuba...




http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal150.gif
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#37 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:29 am

H156 moving off nw coast of cuba...just SW of Key west....


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_156l.gif
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#38 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:31 am

H174..just NW of Key west..strengthening hurricane...


http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal168.gif
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#39 Postby Vortex » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:32 am

H180 just sw of Tampa....strong hurricane...


http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal180.gif
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Re:

#40 Postby Bocadude85 » Fri Sep 24, 2010 11:32 am

Vortex wrote:H174..just NW of Key west..strengthening hurricane...


http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal168.gif



Looks like a NW Florida run this go around
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