#6700 Postby BZSTORM » Sun Sep 26, 2010 11:54 pm
Today where I live in seine Bight its been calm 5knts or less all day top temp was 90F, last night was nice and cool 76F, The main forcast for tmorrow calls for W/NW 5 - 15 kts winds showers/isolated thunderstorm, but have included the discussion posted by Belize Met today in this they say South East winds for monday & tuesday.
NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BELIZE
FORECAST DISCUSSION DATE: SUNDAY 26TH SEPTEMBER 2010 (AFTERNOON)
SKIES REMAINED CLOUDY ACROSS THE COUNTRY THIS MORNING. RADAR OBSERVATIONS SHOWED SHOWERS AND RAIN AFFECTING THE NE COAST OF BELIZE. WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS UPPER LEVELS TO BE VERY MOIST.
AT UPPER LEVELS, WEAK RIDGING DOMINATES, BUT, MAINTAINS UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. AT 700MB, OF COURSE IT IS ALSO MOIST. A BROAD CIRCULATION REMAINS IN THE WAKE OF MATTHEW, ENCOMPASSING THE YUCATAN, PARTS OF GUATEMALA, BELIZE AND HONDURAS. THE CIRCULATION SUPPORTS A SE'LY FLOW. THE SAME CAN BE SAID AT 850MB AND THE SURFACE.
SUN. AFTERNOON TO MON. MIDDAY;
NO MAJOR CHANGES OCCUR ALOFT DURING THIS CYCLE. AT 700MB MOISTURE LEVELS REMAIN HIGH. THE CIRCULATION ENLARGES MOVING IN TO THE GULF OF MEXICO AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD. THE CIRCULATION CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A SE'LY FLOW TODAY AND TONIGHT BUT SUPPORTS A BACKING OF THE WINDS TO THE WEST DURING MONDAY. THE SAME APPLIES AT 850MB AND THE SURFACE. HERE, MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY CONTINUES TO SUPPORT SHOWERS, THUNDERSTORMS AND PERIODS OF RAIN. THE NORTH AND SOME INLAND AREAS CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE THESE ACTIVITIES THIS AFTERNOON, AND AS THE WINDS BACK UP, SHIFT TO THE COAST AND OFFSHORE WATERS.
MON. AFTERNOON TO TUES. MIDDAY:
A POLAR TROUGH DIGS DOWN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO, ITS BASE REACHING JUST NORTH BELIZE. A WEAK ANTICYCLONE SITS OVER US. AT 700MB, MOISTURE INCREASES OVER THE SOUTH. THE FRONT MOVES FURTHER SOUTH, REACHING THE YUCATAN. A LOW FORMS EAST OF THE YUCATAN, NE OF BELIZE AND DEEPENS AS THE COLD FRONT NEARS THE AREA. THE SAME HAPPENS AT 850MB AND THE SURFACE. HERE SHOWER, THUNDERSTORM AND RAIN ACTIVITY INCREASES ACROSS THE COUNTRY, ESPECIALLY OVER COASTAL AND SOUTHERN AREAS. THE CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A W'LY FLOW AT THE LOWER LEVELS. THE LOW COULD QUITE WELL TURN OUT TO BE DEPRESSION #16.
FORECAST: GENERALLY CLOUDY SKIES; A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE COUNTRY; MOSTLY OVER THE NORTH AND SOME INLAND AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND MAINLY ALONG THE COAST TONIGHT.
EXTENDED: CLOUDY SKIES WITH SOME SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE NORTH.
MARINE: WINDS: SOUTHEAST 10-20KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS: MODERATE-ROUGH. WAVES: 5-7FT. *SMALL CRAFT CAUTION*.
FORECASTER: Wellington
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