What state do you think will see the most land-falling tropical systems this year? (hurricanes and tropical storms)
Last year Louisiana got most of the activity.
What state will see the most tropical systems this year?
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southerngale
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What state will see the most tropical systems this year?
Last edited by southerngale on Wed Feb 19, 2003 8:19 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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mf_dolphin
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Cape Hatteres to be exact -
southerngale
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Rob-TheStormChaser
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Rob-TheStormChaser
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Rob-TheStormChaser
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southerngale
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Anonymous
Hmmmmm while I usually don't start talking about landfall probabilities this early, I'm kind of leaning towards NC or somewhere along the E coast. Climatologically, years with a La Nina + easterly QBO (probably what we'll see this year) have been rowdy for the US E coast. Of course if there is a strong tropical upper tropospheric trough like in 2000, we probably won't get much landfalling systems at all. So basically, the east coast and NC seems to be under the gun this year but still too early to say for sure.
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Rainband
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Rob-TheStormChaser
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Kevin_Wx
I agree with Supercane about the EC
However, I think the whole SE over to the Florida Panhandle may be at an increased risk this year. And not just from Cape Verde storms. The "biggies" that La Nina years are notorious for usually affect the whole EC in some way, shape, or form. Therefore, I think the greastest threat is from the Florida Panhandle to the Outer Banks of NC. I also have a hunch we will see another big storm come out of the Caribbean this year. Eventually, one of these will hit the West Coast of Florida and we will see just how bad a strong cane can affect Tampa with storm surge. Even a weak category 2 could cause rather large problems.
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Well I am not sure I can deal with another one so close to having Lili, want you all to know it was around Thanksgiving before the debris from my yard (trees, fence, etc.) was even picked up from the side of the road. I will say this I will not stay around to see another one with winds over 100mph or maybe even 80 lol
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Rainband
Kevin, I agree and the real bad thing is, our level of complacency is still high here after all the near misses. I hope we are prepared when and if it happens. The worst case scenario is for a cane to move into Tampa bay the surge would be terrible. The local mets talk about this every season and say the damage would be horrific. I just hope our luck holds for another year or two or three... 
I like watching them on radar but not in my neck of the woods :o
Johnathan
I like watching them on radar but not in my neck of the woods :o
Johnathan
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