sandyb wrote:can someone explain the models to me they are making Nichole stronger as it comes into the carolinas
sandy - here is the last forecast from the NHC which was just east of your area-
INITIAL 29/0300Z 21.9N 81.9W 30 KT
12HR VT 29/1200Z 23.3N 81.2W 35 KT
24HR VT 30/0000Z 26.3N 80.2W 40 KT
36HR VT 30/1200Z 30.6N 79.3W 40 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 01/0000Z 36.3N 78.0W 35 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPthey are saying the most winds just to your east should be up to around 40 mph.
the last GFDL model run for your area had around 34 mph for your area.
and the ukmet model has it at very weak for your area. Hope this helps. Of course you will probably be getting more rain with this.