Caribbean - Central America Weather

[cycloneye]

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC001-073-081-083-113-131-141-012115-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0089.101001T1821Z-101001T2115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
221 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
JAYUYA
ADJUNTAS
SAN SEBASTIAN
UTUADO
LAS MARIAS
LARES
PONCE

* UNTIL 515 PM AST

* AT 212 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS
THESE MUNICIPALITIES. ALSO...U.S.G.S SENSOR INDICATES OVER 3 INCHES
HAS FALLEN ACROSS THESE AREAS DURING THE LAST 2 HOURS AND CONTINUE
TO RAIN. PEOPLE LIVING ALONG RIO GRANDE DE ARECIBO...RIO
GUAJATACA...RIO ANASCO...RIO CULEBRINAS AND RIO BLANCO ACROSS THESE
MUNICIPALITIES SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPID RISES IN THESE RIVERS WHICH
COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

IN MOUNTAINOUS OR HILLY TERRAIN...THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER
CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT
ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES
AWAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1835 6697 1827 6657 1811 6657 1824 6705

$$

CASTRO

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN

[cycloneye]

Flash Flood Watch for all of Puerto Rico / Virgin Islands

LOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
242 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-020645-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.A.0011.101001T1900Z-101002T1400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
242 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN
ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN PUERTO RICO...
CENTRAL INTERIOR...CULEBRA...EASTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND
VICINITY...NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST...NORTHWEST...PONCE AND
VICINITY...SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...SOUTHEAST...SOUTHWEST...
VIEQUES AND WESTERN INTERIOR. IN VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST CROIX AND
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS.

* THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* ABUNDANT MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION IN COMBINATION WITH
FAVORABLE DYNAMICS WILL SUSTAIN ORGANIZED AREAS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA THIS WEEKEND INTO
NEXT WEEK. WITH SOILS BEGINNING TO APPROACH SATURATION AND
RISING RIVER AND STREAM LEVELS...THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS HIGH.

* THIS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY TO TORRENTIAL RAINFALL ACROSS
THE WATCH AREA. THIS RAINFALL EVENT POSES A THREAT OF AT LEAST
MODERATE FLOODING. MODERATE FLOODING MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING
AS WELL AS FLOODING OF LARGER RIVERS WITH INUNDATION OF
STRUCTURES AND ROADS NEAR STREAMS AND RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR THIS EVENT...ARE ON THE ORDER OF 6 TO 10
INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS. IN ADDITION...MUDSLIDES
ARE POSSIBLE OVER AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU
ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED
OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE
HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR
CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$

ER/AAS/EM

[cycloneye]

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
230 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

...PERSISTENT RAINS INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK...

ABUNDANT MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION IN COMBINATION WITH FAVORABLE
DYNAMICS WILL SUSTAIN ORGANIZED AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF
VIEQUES AND CULEBRA THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. WITH SOILS
BEGINNING TO APPROACH SATURATION AND RISING RIVER AND STREAM
LEVELS...THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS HIGH.

A MORE SIGNIFICANT AND PROLONGED PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL APPEARS
POSSIBLE FOR NEXT WEEK BEGINNING MONDAY...WHICH COULD LAST
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. THIS LARGE AND COMPLEX AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST NORTHWEST AND MOVE INTO THE
CARIBBEAN SEA ON MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE HEAVY AND PERSISTENT RAINS...AS IT TRACKS SLOWLY WESTWARD
OR WEST NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

AT THIS TIME...EXPECT LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL TO CONTINUE INTO
THE WEEKEND PRIMING THE REGION FOR SOME SIGNIFICANT FLOODING TO
OCCUR LATER ON THIS WEEKEND...INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...ACROSS
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO INCLUDING VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR THIS PROLONGED EVENT...ARE
ON THE ORDER OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS.
HIGHER OR LESSER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK
AND HOW LONG IT TAKES FOR THE SYSTEM TO TRACK ACROSS THE AREA.

GIVEN THE PROLONGED NATURE OF THIS EVENT...AND THE VERY WET
ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS...THIS EVENT POSES A THREAT OF AT LEAST
MODERATE FLOODING. MODERATE FLOODING MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING AS
WELL AS FLOODING OF LARGER RIVERS WITH INUNDATION OF STRUCTURES
AND ROADS NEAR STREAMS AND RIVERS IS POSSIBLE.

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED WITH THE LATEST INFORMATION
THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER SOURCE FOR INFORMATION IS THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AVAILABLE FROM OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN.

[Macrocane]

Here's the map with the total precipitation between September 24 and October 1, the highest amount in this period was 543.8 mm/21.4 inches in the town of Ataco:

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
353 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

PRC015-035-057-095-109-123-129-151-012245-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0447.101001T1953Z-101001T2245Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAYEY PR-SAN LORENZO PR-ARROYO PR-PATILLAS PR-MAUNABO PR-GUAYAMA PR-
SALINAS PR-YABUCOA PR-
353 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CAYEY...SAN LORENZO...ARROYO...PATILLAS...MAUNABO...GUAYAMA...
SALINAS AND YABUCOA

* UNTIL 645 PM AST

* AT 345 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL MOVING ACROSS THESE
MUNICIPALITIES OF PUERTO RICO FROM THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. THESE
STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY LEAD TO RAPID
WATER RISES IN SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS...AS WELL AS MINOR
FLOODING ALONG ROADWAYS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS UNTIL AT LEAST 645
PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1813 6590 1802 6584 1794 6621 1807 6624

$$

FIGUEROA

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
243 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL LOW SOUTH OF BERMUDA WILL LIFT NORTH AND
GET ABSORBED BY POLAR TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. OVER THE NEXT
24 HRS. MID-UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS TO BUILD NORTH OF THE REGION WHILE
AT THE SURFACE AN INVERTED TROUGH PATTERN IS TO SET UP ACROSS THE
LEEWARDS ON SATURDAY AND MOVE OVER PUERTO RICO U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
ON SUNDAY. A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC MAY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT TRACKS WEST NORTHWEST.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO
AFFECT THE USVI DURING THE MORNING HOURS. ONCE AGAIN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED OVER THE INTERIOR AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO...GENERATING RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF BETWEEN 2 TO 4
INCHES. THESE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO AFFECT THIS
SECTIONS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS WILL SLOWLY DRIFT
NORTHWARD AND AFFECT THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL DRIFT WEST...WITH
ASSOCIATED ACTIVITY TO REACH THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE INFLUX OF TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED TO THIS WAVE
IN COMBINATION OF FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS WILL GENERATE A
VERY ACTIVE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

THE FORECAST FROM MONDAY THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND
ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE TROPICAL WAVE NOW LOCATED ABOUT 900
MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. MODELS SUGGEST SOME DEVELOPMENT
WITH THIS SYSTEM...ALTHOUGH NO FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OCCURS...THIS
SYSTEM PROMISES LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL ACCUMULATION.

&&

.AVIATION...BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS TIST AND TISX. ALSO MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS EXPECTED
ACROSS TJBQ...TJMZ AND POSSIBLE TJPS AND TJSJ IN SHRA/TSRA THIS
EVENING. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL BE VERY SIMILAR FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

&&

.MARINE....MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS TONIGHT. THESE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONCENTRATE OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND THE MONA
PASSAGE. FROM NOW THROUGH THE INCOMING WEEK...UNSETTLE WEATHER
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS.


&&

[cycloneye]

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
359 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-020600-
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO OUT
10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
359 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE LOCAL ATLANTIC...
SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN WATERS AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS AND THE DOPPLER WEATHER
RADAR ESTIMATED AREAS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 30 OR MORE KNOTS...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL DEVELOPING AND MOVING NORTHWARDS AROUND 15
KNOTS... OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST ATLANTIC...THE ANEGADA
PASSAGE AND ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS. AT LEAST UNTIL 2 AM
AST...ISOLATED BUT STRONG THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE WATERS.

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS...LOCALLY HIGHER
WAVES...LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. BOATERS SHOULD
SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY UNTIL THESE STORM PASSES.

INTENSE LIGHTNING MAY BE OCCURRING WITH SOME OF THESE STORMS. IF
CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY
FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS.

STAY TUNED FOR ANY ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN
JUAN.

$$

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
451 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

PRC023-055-067-079-097-121-125-153-012245-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0448.101001T2051Z-101001T2245Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HORMIGUEROS PR-SABANA GRANDE PR-SAN GERMAN PR-YAUCO PR-GUANICA PR-
CABO ROJO PR-MAYAGUEZ PR-LAJAS PR-
451 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
HORMIGUEROS...SABANA GRANDE...SAN GERMAN...YAUCO...GUANICA...
CABO ROJO...MAYAGUEZ AND LAJAS

* UNTIL 645 PM AST

* AT 445 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL MOVING ACROSS THESE
MUNICIPALITIES OF PUERTO RICO. THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY LEAD TO RAPID WATER RISES IN SMALL
STREAMS AND CREEKS...AS WELL AS MINOR FLOODING ALONG ROADWAYS AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS UNTIL AT LEAST 645 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1795 6722 1822 6719 1813 6689 1793 6693

$$

FIGUEROA

[cycloneye]

Flash Flood Warning

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC001-073-081-083-113-131-141-012315-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.W.0089.000000T0000Z-101001T2315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
455 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
JAYUYA
ADJUNTAS
SAN SEBASTIAN
UTUADO
LAS MARIAS
LARES
PONCE

* UNTIL 715 PM AST

* AT 450 PM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAIN
ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES. ALSO THE U.S.G.S SENSOR INDICATES
OVER 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS THESE AREAS DURING THE
LAST 2 HOURS AND CONTINUE TO RAIN. PEOPLE LIVING ALONG RIO GRANDE
DE ARECIBO...RIO GUAJATACA...RIO ANASCO...RIO CULEBRINAS AND RIO
BLANCO ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPID RISES
IN THESE RIVERS WHICH COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN
JUAN.

LAT...LON 1835 6697 1827 6657 1811 6657 1824 6705

$$

FIGUEROA

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN

[Jgirlspic]

We will be in St Maartin on Weds 10/6 , Puerto Rico on Thursday 10/7 , and haiti on Friday 10/8 ... I am scared will our vacation be ruined and our lives in danger?

Thanks,

Jamia

[cycloneye]

We will be in St Maartin on Weds 10/6 , Puerto Rico on Thursday 10/7 , and haiti on Friday 10/8 ... I am scared will our vacation be ruined and our lives in danger?

Thanks,

Jamia

First,welcome to Storm2k. About your vacation, I think you may have to stay tuned to what is going on in the NE Caribbean as bad weather will be in the area for most of next week. The question is, will that bad weather go away in time when you start your vacation? Keep visiting this thread for the up to the minute details of what is going on in the islands weatherwise and to see how things are evolving.

[msbee]

We will be in St Maartin on Weds 10/6 , Puerto Rico on Thursday 10/7 , and haiti on Friday 10/8 ... I am scared will our vacation be ruined and our lives in danger?

Thanks,

Jamia

Are you going to be on a cruise ship?

It is difficult to tell what the weather will be like a week from but as Cycloneye says, stay tuned.
Do not worry about your lives being in danger though.
If you are on a cruise ship, the ships are very up to date with the latest weather information and they steer clear of really dangerous weather.
When Igor passed North of us 2 weeks ago, the seas were high and the cruise ships scheduled for St. Maarten canceled and went to other ports.

They take no chances.

[expat2carib]

We will be in St Maartin on Weds 10/6 , Puerto Rico on Thursday 10/7 , and haiti on Friday 10/8 ... I am scared will our vacation be ruined and our lives in danger?

Thanks,

Jamia

Are you going to be on a cruise ship?

It is difficult to tell what the weather will be like a week from but as Cycloneye says, stay tuned.
Do not worry about your lives being in danger though.
If you are on a cruise ship, the ships are very up to date with the latest weather information and they steer clear of really dangerous weather.
When Igor passed North of us 2 weeks ago, the seas were high and the cruise ships scheduled for St. Maarten canceled and went to other ports.

They take no chances.

I second this. They are paying professional mets lots of "well earned" money to keep them clear of bad weather.

There are some bad examples but they are all in the Baltic Sea. I have no knowledge of any Cruise ship in problems, in this part of the world, in the last 15/20 years.

Don't worry and enjoy.

[cycloneye]

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
637 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

PRC011-083-097-131-020430-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.W.0027.101001T2237Z-101002T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN SEBASTIAN PR-LAS MARIAS PR-MAYAGUEZ PR-ANASCO PR-
637 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
ANASCO MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
LAS MARIAS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MAYAGUEZ MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
SAN SEBASTIAN MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...

* UNTIL 1230 AM AST

* AT 630 PM AST...U.S.G.S RIVER SENSORS INDICATED RIO GRANDE DE
ANASCO AT MUNICIPALITIES OF ANASCO...LAS MARIAS...MAYAGUEZ AND SAN
SEBASTIAN WAS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND CONTINUING RISING. THE RIVER
WAS AT 12.59 FEET AND THE FLOOD STAGE IS AT 11.0 FEET. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH WILL ALSO CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO UNTIL
SATURDAY MORNING

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN
REPORTED. STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT
EXPECTED. HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY
PRECAUTIONS IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

&&

LAT...LON 1829 6720 1831 6700 1826 6700 1824 6718

$$

FIGUEROA

[cycloneye]

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
738 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

PRC013-141-020530-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.W.0028.101001T2338Z-101002T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UTUADO PR-ARECIBO PR-
738 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
ARECIBO MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
UTUADO MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...

* UNTIL 130 AM AST

* AT 730 PM AST...U.S.G.S RIVER SENSORS INDICATED RIO GRANDE DE
ARECIBO AT MUNICIPALITIES OF ARECIBO AND UTUADO WAS ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE...AND CONTINUING RISING. AT 730 PM AST...THE RIVER WAS 0.04
FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

&&

LAT...LON 1848 6674 1848 6667 1831 6662 1830 6670

$$

FIGUEROA

[cycloneye]

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
744 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

PRC003-005-099-020545-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.W.0029.101001T2344Z-101002T0545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MOCA PR-AGUADILLA PR-AGUADA PR-
744 PM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
AGUADA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
AGUADILLA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MOCA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...

* UNTIL 145 AM AST SATURDAY

* AT 740 PM AST...U.S.G.S RIVER SENSORS INDICATED RIO CULEBRINAS AT
MUNICIPALITIES OF AGUADA...AGUADILLA AND MOCA WAS ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE...AND CONTINUING RISING. THE RIVER WAS AT 24.57 FEET AND THE
FLOOD STAGE IS AT 24.0 FEET.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

&&

LAT...LON 1843 6716 1840 6710 1836 6701 1833 6703
1839 6719

$$

FIGUEROA

[Jgirlspic]

We will be in St Maartin on Weds 10/6 , Puerto Rico on Thursday 10/7 , and haiti on Friday 10/8 ... I am scared will our vacation be ruined and our lives in danger?

Thanks,

Jamia

Are you going to be on a cruise ship?

It is difficult to tell what the weather will be like a week from but as Cycloneye says, stay tuned.
Do not worry about your lives being in danger though.
If you are on a cruise ship, the ships are very up to date with the latest weather information and they steer clear of really dangerous weather.
When Igor passed North of us 2 weeks ago, the seas were high and the cruise ships scheduled for St. Maarten canceled and went to other ports.

They take no chances.

I second this. They are paying professional mets lots of "well earned" money to keep them clear of bad weather.

There are some bad examples but they are all in the Baltic Sea. I have no knowledge of any Cruise ship in problems, in this part of the world, in the last 15/20 years.

Don't worry and enjoy.

We will be on a cruise.. I have been on cruises in lighter storms but I guess this one makes me nervous because this storm basically takes up the entire area where all of our ports are scheduled. I was a little leery as to how they will be able to circumvent the storm, outside of simply steering clear of it dropping achor and sitting in the middle ocean for a week.
I guess it's just a wait and see kinda deal.. and to think I was worried about Nicole..lol

[tropicana]

Regional Highs and Rainfall for
Fri Oct 1 2010 (rainfall period is 8pm Thurs-8pmET Fri)

Piarco Airport, Trinidad 31.6C 89F 2.0mm
Crown Point, Tobago 31.1C 88F 1.7mm

Point Salines, Grenada 29.0C 84F 43.0mm
Grantley Adams Airport, Barbados 30.9C 88F 35.0mm
Rockley, S. Barbados 31.6C 89F 26.4mm
Long Beach, SE Barbados 23.6mm

Golden Rock, St Kitts 29.8C 86F 16.7mm
San Juan, Puerto Rico 29.4C 85F 9.0mm
Owen Roberts, Grand Cayman 30.6C 87F 1.2mm
Kingston, Jamaica 30.0C 86F 27.0mm
Havana, Cuba 30.3C 86F

Nassau, Bahamas 31.8C 89F
Hamilton, Bermuda 27.4C 81F

-justin-

[Gustywind]

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... ivi_gd.pdf
Regional service of Guadeloupe
Meteorological attentiveness Guadeloupe
YELLOW LEVEL for " STRONG RAINS / THUNDERSTORMS"
Current situation And Observations
Some thundery showers crossed the archipelago today, spreading mainly the region the Basse-Terre where it was reported 20mm from rain. Somewhere else, the quantities were more weaker. ( 1 mm = 1 liter per square meter).
Forecasts
In spite of a light calm today, the risk is always brought up on Guadeloupe and its close islands.
Rains and thunderstorms become more intense from tomorrow, and stay enough frequent till the beginning of the next week. Accumulations sometimes important are again expected, in particular in mountain and on them foothills is from the Basse-Terre, where we can exceed 100 mm in 24 hours. The strong electric activity associated to these thunderstorms also entraine of frequent impacts of lightning.
Comments/
Consequences
The last weeks were watered well and grounds are thus quickly saturated during strong rains. Attention in the usually easily flooded zones.
Summarized
The phenomenon is in progress
The expected impact is moderated
Validity - a duration of phenomenon
Until Monday at least
Next bulletin: tomorrow on Saturday at about 06 am
INDIVIDUAL MEASURES OF BEHAVIOR VALIDATED
IN THE SPECIFIC MEASURES " METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA " ORSEC
" BE CAREFUL " YELLOW ATTENTIVENESS STRONG RAINS
PREFECTURE OF GUADELOUPE
Inquire of the meteorological situation and be particularly careful:
- If you have to practise sports at outdoor risk
- If your outdoor activities are situated in an exposed zone, on ground, in particular in mountain, near streams, as offshore also
- If you have to circulate in flood-risk areas exceeded

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... ivi_ma.pdf
BULLETIN OF ATTENTIVENESS
METEOROLOGICAL in MARTINIQUE
Bulletin of follow-up N°14-4 from 01/10/10 till local 5 pm (local time = hours UTC - 4 hours)
COLOR: YELLOW DANGER: " stormy precipitation "
Current situation
The atmosphere remains wet and unstable on the West Indian Arc. A pluvio-stormy degradation is expected in the passage of a tropical wave tomorrow to approach Lesser Antilles at the end of the next night.
Forecasts
In the evening and the beginning of the next night we keep an overcast weather sometimes accompanied with very scattered rains. The pluvio-stormy activity should strengthen at the end of night and tomorrow morning. Consequently it is very wet and rainy Saturday in perspective. Of locally stormy downpours show themselves in the day and the rainy accumulations are to be watched. This unstable and rainy situation is going to continue for the rest of the Weekend.
No frank improvement on Monday and Tuesday, if the stormy trend eases rains stay of current events.
Coded data
- Even if the cloud layer was important all day long rains remained rather weak and very scattered today. Accumulations of 5 in 15mm were recorded these last 12 hours between Robert and St Pierre. Rains more consequent are expected from tomorrow with blades of water bordering locally 60 in 80mm in 24 hours tomorrow evening.
Comments / consequences
Grounds are saturated locally by water and sudden rises of stream and possible overflowing is to be afraid, as well as movements of ground.
Summarized
Risk: moderate Impact: moderate
(Weak, moderate, strong, certain) (Weak, moderate, important, major)
Lasted validity planned by the episode:
Until Monday, 4/10/10 in the morning.
Next bulletin: tomorrow on Saturday at local 06:00 am.
/// = not informed or Groundless

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... ivi_in.pdf
Regional service of Guadeloupe
BP 451 - 97183 ABYMES
Meteorological attentiveness in the Northern Leewards Sint Marteen and Sint Barth
YELLOW LEVEL for " STRONG RAINS / THUNDERSTORMS "
Current situation
And Observations
A vast perturbed area crosses the Lesser Antilles Arc and will concern us current of weekend.
Forecasts
Till the beginning of the next week at least, a risk of thunderstorms and of strong rains is going to concern the islands of St-Martin and St-Barth.
Summarized
The risk of emergence of the phenomenon is moderated.
The expected impact is weak in moderated.
Validity - lasted of the phenomenon
Until Monday at least.
Next bulletin: tomorrow on Saturday at about 06 am.
INDIVIDUAL MEASURES OF BEHAVIOR VALIDATED
IN THE SPECIFIC MEASURES " METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA " ORSEC
" BE CAREFUL " YELLOW ATTENTIVENESS STRONG RAINS PREFECTURE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS
Inquire of the meteorological situation and be particularly careful:
- If you have to practise sports at outdoor risk
- If your outdoor activities are situated in an exposed zone, on ground, in particular in mountain, near streams, as offshore also
- If you have to circulate in flood-risk areas exceeded.

[expat2carib]

Great job Gusty! Thanks for the difficult task to translate the text from French to English.

With other words..... bad weather in the next 3-4 days in the whole of the Caribbean.

Take care Islanders! We are used to it but this might bring some surprises. Monsoon like weather with tropical waves in it to make it a little more messy ones in a while in the next days.

Strange weather pattern. Be vigilant and take care......... I will