ATL: OTTO - Post-tropical - Discussion

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HURAKAN
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#581 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 1:47 pm

AL, 17, 2010100818, , BEST, 0, 263N, 631W, 70, 977

80 mph
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Re: ATL: Hurricane OTTO - Discussion

#582 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Fri Oct 08, 2010 1:50 pm

75 knots should be 85 mph. No?
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Re: ATL: Hurricane OTTO - Discussion

#583 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 1:52 pm

FLpanhandle91 wrote:75 knots should be 85 mph. No?


yes
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#584 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 2:09 pm

Image

Latest
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#585 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 2:15 pm

Image

Nice pic!
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#586 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 2:19 pm

Image

Otto's eye
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#587 Postby KWT » Fri Oct 08, 2010 2:45 pm

Looks like its wrapping round and trying to become a category-2 as well. Quite an impressive cane considering its subtropical origins.
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#588 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 3:44 pm

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Looking good
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#589 Postby HurricaneStriker » Fri Oct 08, 2010 4:17 pm

Latest pic:

Image
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217 Miles from the Texas Shore
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Re: ATL: Hurricane OTTO - Discussion

#590 Postby Cleveland Kent Evans » Fri Oct 08, 2010 6:01 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Florida1118 wrote:Not bad...8 Hurricanes and 9 or 10 could be possible...Pretty good forcast made early.


We may well end up with about 17 named storms, 10 hurricanes and 5-6 majors - almost precisely as forecast. Yet most in the U.S. consider the seasonal forecast a big bust because no hurricane made landfall along the U.S. Coast. The public judge whether a season is "active" by one thing alone - if they're hit. No hits = forecast bust as far as U.S. citizens are concerned. Stories are already coming out about how bad the seasonal forecast was for the year.


Heck, it seems to me that there are posters on this site who feel that way, given some of the comments I see in posts on the Talking Tropics board. :)
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Re: ATL: Hurricane OTTO - Discussion

#591 Postby pepeavilenho » Fri Oct 08, 2010 6:08 pm

OTTO on his bus....

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:lol:
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Re: ATL: Hurricane OTTO - Discussion

#592 Postby x-y-no » Fri Oct 08, 2010 6:11 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Florida1118 wrote:Not bad...8 Hurricanes and 9 or 10 could be possible...Pretty good forcast made early.


We may well end up with about 17 named storms, 10 hurricanes and 5-6 majors - almost precisely as forecast. Yet most in the U.S. consider the seasonal forecast a big bust because no hurricane made landfall along the U.S. Coast. The public judge whether a season is "active" by one thing alone - if they're hit. No hits = forecast bust as far as U.S. citizens are concerned. Stories are already coming out about how bad the seasonal forecast was for the year.

Otto appears to be accelerating off to the NE and out to sea now. Doesn't appear to have much chance of intensifying beyond Cat 1.


Sounds good to me ... my preseason prediction was 17/11/5 ACE=175
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#593 Postby HurricaneStriker » Fri Oct 08, 2010 7:05 pm

Is Otto still a Cat 1? Is there an 8:00 advisory?
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#594 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 7:11 pm

HurricaneStriker wrote:Is Otto still a Cat 1? Is there an 8:00 advisory?


There are no tropical storm or hurricane warnings, so there are no intermediate advisories.
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#595 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 7:11 pm

Image

Latest
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#596 Postby HurricaneStriker » Fri Oct 08, 2010 7:13 pm

:uarrow: Looks like an eye may be forming, as is evident in most satellite imagery.
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#597 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Oct 08, 2010 8:02 pm

Based on that eye and trends I would go up to 75 kt.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane OTTO - Discussion

#598 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 08, 2010 8:04 pm

Crazy, you are right.

AL, 17, 2010100900, , BEST, 0, 272N, 617W, 75, 972, HU

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest

Up to 85 mph.
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#599 Postby supercane » Fri Oct 08, 2010 10:32 pm

Not vertically stacked on latest microwave:
Image
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#600 Postby supercane » Fri Oct 08, 2010 11:06 pm

Latest ASCAT:
Image
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