Caribbean - Central America Weather
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145308
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - CA - Big rain event in Eastern Caribbean
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
VIC010-081915-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1224 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 315 PM AST FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING
ISLAND
IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST AND GROVE PLACE
AT 1214 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS MOVING
TO THE NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN SAINT CROIX BY 130 PM. THIS LINE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY 30 MPH WINDS AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WITH A QUICK
INCH OR TWO OF RAIN IN JUST 30 MINUTES. THIS COULD CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
VIC010-081915-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1224 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 315 PM AST FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING
ISLAND
IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST AND GROVE PLACE
AT 1214 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS MOVING
TO THE NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN SAINT CROIX BY 130 PM. THIS LINE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY 30 MPH WINDS AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WITH A QUICK
INCH OR TWO OF RAIN IN JUST 30 MINUTES. THIS COULD CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145308
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - CA - Big rain event in Eastern Caribbean
Here is the latest news and many photos of the flooding event in Puerto Rico. This is translated to english. See the 16 photos where it says,(See the ravages of the floods)
http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 32127.html
http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 32127.html
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145308
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - CA - Big rain event in Eastern Caribbean
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
VIC010-082045-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0126.101008T1653Z-101008T2045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1253 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS REPLACING THE PREVIOUS WARNING TO EXPAND
GEOGRAPHIC AREA...
THE FOLLOWING ISLAND
IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX
* UNTIL 445 PM AST
* AT 1247 PM AST..NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS MOVING
TO THE NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN SAINT CROIX BY 130 PM OR BEFORE. THIS LINE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY 30 MPH WINDS AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WITH A
QUICK INCH OR TWO OF RAIN IN JUST 30 MINUTES. ANY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL WILL COMPOUND THE ALREADY FLOODING AND LANDSLIDE PROBLEMS
ON THIS ISLAND. THEREFORE...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR SAINT CROIX...UNTIL AT LEAST 445 PM AST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1766 6465 1764 6491 1768 6493 1779 6492
1780 6490 1783 6472 1778 6455 1773 6455
$$
CASTRO
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
VIC010-082045-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0126.101008T1653Z-101008T2045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1253 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS REPLACING THE PREVIOUS WARNING TO EXPAND
GEOGRAPHIC AREA...
THE FOLLOWING ISLAND
IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX
* UNTIL 445 PM AST
* AT 1247 PM AST..NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS MOVING
TO THE NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN SAINT CROIX BY 130 PM OR BEFORE. THIS LINE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY 30 MPH WINDS AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WITH A
QUICK INCH OR TWO OF RAIN IN JUST 30 MINUTES. ANY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL WILL COMPOUND THE ALREADY FLOODING AND LANDSLIDE PROBLEMS
ON THIS ISLAND. THEREFORE...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR SAINT CROIX...UNTIL AT LEAST 445 PM AST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1766 6465 1764 6491 1768 6493 1779 6492
1780 6490 1783 6472 1778 6455 1773 6455
$$
CASTRO
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145308
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - CA - Big rain event in Eastern Caribbean
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
141 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
PRC003-005-099-131-082330-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.W.0052.101008T1741Z-101008T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MOCA PR-SAN SEBASTIAN PR-AGUADILLA PR-AGUADA PR-
141 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
AGUADA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF AGUADA...
AGUADILLA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MOCA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
SAN SEBASTIAN MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SAN SEBASTIAN...
* UNTIL 730 PM AST
* AT 136 PM AST
THE CULEBRINAS RIVER AT MOCA STILL ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. AT 136 PM AST
THE RIVER WAS AT 16.17 FEET. THE FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET. RIO
CULEBRINAS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OR NEAR FLOOD
STAGE AT LEAST THROUGH 730 PM AST.
* MUCH OF THE COLOSO VALLEY LOWLANDS ARE COVERED WITH WATER AND THE
RIVER IS CLOSE TO HIGHWAYS 418 AND 115. WATER IS EXPECTED TO RECEDE
SLOWLY TONIGHT. HOWEVER...ANOTHER BAND OF SHOWERS COULD MOVE ACROSS
THESE AREAS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST
FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING
WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.
TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
&&
LAT...LON 1832 6707 1839 6725 1844 6717 1837 6699
1826 6689
$$
CASTRO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
141 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
PRC003-005-099-131-082330-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.W.0052.101008T1741Z-101008T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MOCA PR-SAN SEBASTIAN PR-AGUADILLA PR-AGUADA PR-
141 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
AGUADA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF AGUADA...
AGUADILLA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MOCA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
SAN SEBASTIAN MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SAN SEBASTIAN...
* UNTIL 730 PM AST
* AT 136 PM AST
THE CULEBRINAS RIVER AT MOCA STILL ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. AT 136 PM AST
THE RIVER WAS AT 16.17 FEET. THE FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET. RIO
CULEBRINAS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OR NEAR FLOOD
STAGE AT LEAST THROUGH 730 PM AST.
* MUCH OF THE COLOSO VALLEY LOWLANDS ARE COVERED WITH WATER AND THE
RIVER IS CLOSE TO HIGHWAYS 418 AND 115. WATER IS EXPECTED TO RECEDE
SLOWLY TONIGHT. HOWEVER...ANOTHER BAND OF SHOWERS COULD MOVE ACROSS
THESE AREAS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST
FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING
WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.
TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
&&
LAT...LON 1832 6707 1839 6725 1844 6717 1837 6699
1826 6689
$$
CASTRO
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: Caribbean - CA=92L brings some squally weather to NE Carib
The northerly winds have diminished in Central America and this mroning was not as cold as yesterday wich was the coolest day of the week except for the eastern part of the country, here you have yesterday observations:
Temperatures
Strongest Wind Gusts
Ishuatan 60 km/h (37.5 mph)
Santa Ana 20 km/h (12.5 mph)
San Salvador 36 km/h (22.5 mph)
San Miguel 21 km/h (13.1 mph)
Temperatures
Code: Select all
Santa Ana min:18.6°C/65.5°F max:28.4°C/83.1°F
San Salvador min:16.7°C/62.1°F max:28.7°C/83.7°F
Las Pilas min:9.1°C/48.4°F max:21.9°C/71.4°F
San Miguel min:22.0°C/71.6°F max:33.5°C/92.3°F
Strongest Wind Gusts
Ishuatan 60 km/h (37.5 mph)
Santa Ana 20 km/h (12.5 mph)
San Salvador 36 km/h (22.5 mph)
San Miguel 21 km/h (13.1 mph)
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145308
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - CA - Big rain event in Eastern Caribbean
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
110 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS
IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT JOHN
SAINT THOMAS
* UNTIL 500 PM AST
* AT 105 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF
SAINT THOMAS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH THAT SHOULD
ARRIVE INTO SAINT THOMAS AROUND 2 PM. THIS LINE WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING AN INCH OR TWO IN JUST 30 MINUTES OR TWO TO THREE INCHES
IN AN HOUR. THIS WILL BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF URBAN
AREAS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1827 6470 1827 6498 1830 6509 1839 6511
1843 6510 1840 6500 1844 6488 1840 6467
1834 6462
$$
ROSA
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
110 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS
IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT JOHN
SAINT THOMAS
* UNTIL 500 PM AST
* AT 105 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF
SAINT THOMAS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH THAT SHOULD
ARRIVE INTO SAINT THOMAS AROUND 2 PM. THIS LINE WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING AN INCH OR TWO IN JUST 30 MINUTES OR TWO TO THREE INCHES
IN AN HOUR. THIS WILL BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF URBAN
AREAS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1827 6470 1827 6498 1830 6509 1839 6511
1843 6510 1840 6500 1844 6488 1840 6467
1834 6462
$$
ROSA
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145308
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - CA - Big rain event in Eastern Caribbean
Rainfall totals until noon EDT since October 5 in Puerto Rico / U.S Virgin Islands
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju/?n=record101001
And is not over yet as still fragments of the tail from Hurricane Otto are still moving thru the area.
2010 continues to consolidate as the wettest year on record in Puerto Rico.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju/?n=record101001
And is not over yet as still fragments of the tail from Hurricane Otto are still moving thru the area.
2010 continues to consolidate as the wettest year on record in Puerto Rico.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145308
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - CA - Big rain event in Eastern Caribbean
This discussion in general has great news for all of us who live in the Eastern Caribbean islands.
As things look to be returning to normal, I fixed the title of thread to have it as it's normal title (Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread)
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
438 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
.SYNOPSIS...RECENTLY UPGRADED HURRICANE OTTO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
AWAY FROM THE REGION TONIGHT. MID-UPPER LVL RIDGING WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND HOLD THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. A
TROPICAL WAVE EAST OF THE WINDWARDS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN
WATERS SUN.
&&
.DISCUSSION...SIG IMPROVEMENT TO THE WX CONDITIONS HAS BEEN NOTED
THIS AFTERNOON WITH MOST OF THE STEADY RAIN DISSIPATED.
HOWEVER...A LINE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE IS STARTING TO
MOVE ONTO THE WEST COAST OF PR. IR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CLOUD TOPS
HAVE BEEN WARMING SUGGESTING THAT THE CONVECTION COULD DISSIPATE
SOON. HOWEVER...WILL MAINTAIN THE FLOOD WATCH UNTIL ITS CURRENT EXPIRATION
TIME IN CASE OF ANY UNEXPECTED CHANGES IN CONVECTION BUT BELIEVE
THAT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE TONIGHT AS MID UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE AREA.
GOOD WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR SAT AND SUN AS STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND
DRYING TAKES PLACE. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY OF
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS OR TSRA MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN PR.
OTHERWISE...HOT UNDER A SOUTHERLY FLOW.
TROPICAL WAVE A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARDS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH WAVE AXIS EXPECTED
TO REACH 70W SUN MORNING. HOWEVER...MODELS SHOW MOST ACTIVE WX
OCCURRING ON MON. AT THIS TIME...IT IS UNCERTAIN IF CONVECTION
WILL PERSIST AS MODELS SUGGEST WAVE WILL BREAK UP AS IT APPROCHES
THE LOCAL AREA. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS. AT
ANY RATE...NOTHING ANYWHERE CLOSE TO WHAT JUST WE EXPERIENCED PAST
SVRL DAYS.
OVERALL...NEXT WEEK LOOKS DRIER THAN NORMAL UNDER STRONG MID-UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE AND WITH MJO AMPLIFLYING ACROSS THE WRN
PACIFIC/MARITIME CONTINENT THAT SHOULD FAVOR SUPPRESSED CONVECTION
ACROSS THE WRN HEMISPHERE.
&&
.AVIATION...TEMPO MVFR CIGS AT JMZ/JBQ REST OF THIS AFTERNOON WITH
SHRA/TSRA. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS XPCD.
&&
.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS AS OTTO PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 76 87 78 89 / 40 20 10 20
STT 79 88 80 89 / 80 10 10 10






As things look to be returning to normal, I fixed the title of thread to have it as it's normal title (Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread)
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
438 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
.SYNOPSIS...RECENTLY UPGRADED HURRICANE OTTO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
AWAY FROM THE REGION TONIGHT. MID-UPPER LVL RIDGING WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND HOLD THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. A
TROPICAL WAVE EAST OF THE WINDWARDS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN
WATERS SUN.
&&
.DISCUSSION...SIG IMPROVEMENT TO THE WX CONDITIONS HAS BEEN NOTED
THIS AFTERNOON WITH MOST OF THE STEADY RAIN DISSIPATED.
HOWEVER...A LINE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE IS STARTING TO
MOVE ONTO THE WEST COAST OF PR. IR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CLOUD TOPS
HAVE BEEN WARMING SUGGESTING THAT THE CONVECTION COULD DISSIPATE
SOON. HOWEVER...WILL MAINTAIN THE FLOOD WATCH UNTIL ITS CURRENT EXPIRATION
TIME IN CASE OF ANY UNEXPECTED CHANGES IN CONVECTION BUT BELIEVE
THAT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE TONIGHT AS MID UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE AREA.
GOOD WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR SAT AND SUN AS STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND
DRYING TAKES PLACE. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY OF
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS OR TSRA MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN PR.
OTHERWISE...HOT UNDER A SOUTHERLY FLOW.
TROPICAL WAVE A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARDS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH WAVE AXIS EXPECTED
TO REACH 70W SUN MORNING. HOWEVER...MODELS SHOW MOST ACTIVE WX
OCCURRING ON MON. AT THIS TIME...IT IS UNCERTAIN IF CONVECTION
WILL PERSIST AS MODELS SUGGEST WAVE WILL BREAK UP AS IT APPROCHES
THE LOCAL AREA. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS. AT
ANY RATE...NOTHING ANYWHERE CLOSE TO WHAT JUST WE EXPERIENCED PAST
SVRL DAYS.
OVERALL...NEXT WEEK LOOKS DRIER THAN NORMAL UNDER STRONG MID-UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE AND WITH MJO AMPLIFLYING ACROSS THE WRN
PACIFIC/MARITIME CONTINENT THAT SHOULD FAVOR SUPPRESSED CONVECTION
ACROSS THE WRN HEMISPHERE.
&&
.AVIATION...TEMPO MVFR CIGS AT JMZ/JBQ REST OF THIS AFTERNOON WITH
SHRA/TSRA. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS XPCD.
&&
.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS AS OTTO PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 76 87 78 89 / 40 20 10 20
STT 79 88 80 89 / 80 10 10 10
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145308
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
721 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
PRC003-005-099-131-090530-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.W.0052.000000T0000Z-101009T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MOCA PR-SAN SEBASTIAN PR-AGUADILLA PR-AGUADA PR-
721 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
AGUADA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
AGUADILLA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MOCA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
SAN SEBASTIAN MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
* UNTIL 130 AM AST SATURDAY
* AT 718 PM AST...USGS RIVER SENSOR ON THE RIO CULEBRINAS INDICATES
THAT THE RIVER IS SLOWLY RECEDING BUT STILL REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE...FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET...THE CURRENT RIVER STAGE IS 15.80
FEET AND FALLING. SINCE THE RIVER REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...THE FLOOD
WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED AT LEAST THROUGH 01:30 AM AST SATURDAY
MORNING.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST
FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING
WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.
TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
&&
LAT...LON 1832 6707 1839 6725 1844 6717 1837 6699
1826 6689
$$
OMS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
721 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
PRC003-005-099-131-090530-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.W.0052.000000T0000Z-101009T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MOCA PR-SAN SEBASTIAN PR-AGUADILLA PR-AGUADA PR-
721 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
AGUADA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
AGUADILLA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MOCA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
SAN SEBASTIAN MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
* UNTIL 130 AM AST SATURDAY
* AT 718 PM AST...USGS RIVER SENSOR ON THE RIO CULEBRINAS INDICATES
THAT THE RIVER IS SLOWLY RECEDING BUT STILL REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE...FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET...THE CURRENT RIVER STAGE IS 15.80
FEET AND FALLING. SINCE THE RIVER REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...THE FLOOD
WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED AT LEAST THROUGH 01:30 AM AST SATURDAY
MORNING.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST
FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING
WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.
TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
&&
LAT...LON 1832 6707 1839 6725 1844 6717 1837 6699
1826 6689
$$
OMS
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145308
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
852 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
PRC017-039-091-090700-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.W.0044.000000T0000Z-101009T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CIALES PR-BARCELONETA PR-MANATI PR-
852 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
BARCELONETA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
CIALES MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MANATI MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BARCELONETA...
* UNTIL 300 AM AST SATURDAY
* AT 850 PM AST...USGS RIVER SENSOR ON THE RIO GRANDE DE MANATI
INDICATES THAT THE RIVER IS SLOWLY RECEDING BUT STILL REMAINS ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE...FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET...THE CURRENT RIVER STAGE IS
28.51 FEET AND FALLING. SINCE THE RIVER REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
AND SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...THE
FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED AT LEAST THROUGH 3:00 AM AST
SATURDAY MORNING.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST
FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING
WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 1842 6654 1849 6656 1848 6650 1845 6651
1835 6644 1834 6648
$$
OMS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
852 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
PRC017-039-091-090700-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.W.0044.000000T0000Z-101009T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CIALES PR-BARCELONETA PR-MANATI PR-
852 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
BARCELONETA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
CIALES MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MANATI MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BARCELONETA...
* UNTIL 300 AM AST SATURDAY
* AT 850 PM AST...USGS RIVER SENSOR ON THE RIO GRANDE DE MANATI
INDICATES THAT THE RIVER IS SLOWLY RECEDING BUT STILL REMAINS ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE...FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET...THE CURRENT RIVER STAGE IS
28.51 FEET AND FALLING. SINCE THE RIVER REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
AND SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...THE
FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED AT LEAST THROUGH 3:00 AM AST
SATURDAY MORNING.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST
FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING
WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 1842 6654 1849 6656 1848 6650 1845 6651
1835 6644 1834 6648
$$
OMS
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145308
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
908 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
PRC055-059-079-111-113-153-090300-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0494.101009T0108Z-101009T0300Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
YAUCO PR-GUAYANILLA PR-GUANICA PR-PONCE PR-PENUELAS PR-LAJAS PR-
908 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
YAUCO...GUAYANILLA...GUANICA...PONCE...PENUELAS AND LAJAS
* UNTIL 1100 PM AST
* AT 907 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS...AS WELL AS MINOR FLOODING ALONG ROADWAYS...THROUGH AT LEAST
THOUGH 11:00 PM AST.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 1805 6709 1806 6700 1804 6691 1808 6692
1809 6689 1812 6666 1800 6662 1796 6675
1796 6708
$$
OMS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
908 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
PRC055-059-079-111-113-153-090300-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0494.101009T0108Z-101009T0300Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
YAUCO PR-GUAYANILLA PR-GUANICA PR-PONCE PR-PENUELAS PR-LAJAS PR-
908 PM AST FRI OCT 8 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
YAUCO...GUAYANILLA...GUANICA...PONCE...PENUELAS AND LAJAS
* UNTIL 1100 PM AST
* AT 907 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS...AS WELL AS MINOR FLOODING ALONG ROADWAYS...THROUGH AT LEAST
THOUGH 11:00 PM AST.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 1805 6709 1806 6700 1804 6691 1808 6692
1809 6689 1812 6666 1800 6662 1796 6675
1796 6708
$$
OMS
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145308
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
Good morning. Finnally, after a few days without the sun,is here.
But a Tropical Wave may arrive by Monday causing more showers.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
649 AM AST SAT OCT 9 2010
.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY FLATTEN
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC AS HURRICANE OTTO LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST
AND AWAY FROM THE LOCAL AREA. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
REGIONAL WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.DISCUSSION...AS THE HURRICANE OTTO ACCELERATES TO THE NORTHEAST
AND MOVING AWAY FROM THE FA...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
PUERTO RICO AND THE LOCAL ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE
CONSIDERABLY. AS RESULT...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...
BECAUSE THE THREAT OF WIDESPREAD FLOODING HAS ENDED.
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
DESPITE...THE MID-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA AND THE
RELATIVELY DRIER AIR THAT WILL ADVECT FROM THE SOUTHEAST...AHEAD
OF THE TROPICAL WAVE...AFTERNOON SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
ACROSS PUERTO RICO EACH AFTERNOON. IN FACT...THE MOISTURE LEFT
BEHIND DEPARTING HURRICANE OTTO WILL INTERACT WITH THE DAYTIME
HEATING...SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE AND LOCAL EFFECTS...TO PRODUCE
SOME ADDITIONAL CLOUDINESS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS EACH AFTERNOON. THE
PREVAILING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST TRADE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE FA WILL
FAVOR THE AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER INTERIOR AND
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
EARLY NEXT WEEK...A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE
LOCAL REGION. THIS WILL BRING INCREASING MOISTURE WITH HIGHER
PWAT VALUES ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AND ALSO INCREASE THE
CHANCES FOR ACTIVE AND SQUALLY WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING WATERS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THEN...
NUMERICAL MODELS SUGGEST A DRYING TREND ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN BY MID-WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 09/15Z ACROSS ALL
TAF SITES. CONVECTION FROM SOLAR HEATING IS EXPECTED TO CREATE MTN
OBSCURATIONS AND SOME MVFR CONDS OVER THE INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO
BUT THESE CONDS WILL BE BRIEF OVER TJSJ AND TJMZ. VFR CONDS ARE
EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT TIST...TISX...TNCM AND TKPK AS MOISTURE FROM
HURRICANE OTTO IS LIFTED NORTHWARD. LLVL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TURN
FROM SW TO SE NEXT 24 HOURS.
&&
.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR SO...AS THE HURRICANE OTTO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST NORTHEAST
AND AWAY FROM THE REGIONAL WATERS. MARINERS CAN EXPECT WINDS OF 15 KNOTS
OR LESS AND SEAS FROM 3 TO 6 FEET. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR
THE OFF SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS HAS EXPIRED. SMALL BOAT OPERATORS
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION IN THE OUTER WATERS.



AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
649 AM AST SAT OCT 9 2010
.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY FLATTEN
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC AS HURRICANE OTTO LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST
AND AWAY FROM THE LOCAL AREA. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
REGIONAL WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.DISCUSSION...AS THE HURRICANE OTTO ACCELERATES TO THE NORTHEAST
AND MOVING AWAY FROM THE FA...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
PUERTO RICO AND THE LOCAL ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE
CONSIDERABLY. AS RESULT...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...
BECAUSE THE THREAT OF WIDESPREAD FLOODING HAS ENDED.
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
DESPITE...THE MID-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA AND THE
RELATIVELY DRIER AIR THAT WILL ADVECT FROM THE SOUTHEAST...AHEAD
OF THE TROPICAL WAVE...AFTERNOON SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
ACROSS PUERTO RICO EACH AFTERNOON. IN FACT...THE MOISTURE LEFT
BEHIND DEPARTING HURRICANE OTTO WILL INTERACT WITH THE DAYTIME
HEATING...SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE AND LOCAL EFFECTS...TO PRODUCE
SOME ADDITIONAL CLOUDINESS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS EACH AFTERNOON. THE
PREVAILING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST TRADE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE FA WILL
FAVOR THE AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER INTERIOR AND
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
EARLY NEXT WEEK...A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE
LOCAL REGION. THIS WILL BRING INCREASING MOISTURE WITH HIGHER
PWAT VALUES ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AND ALSO INCREASE THE
CHANCES FOR ACTIVE AND SQUALLY WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING WATERS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THEN...
NUMERICAL MODELS SUGGEST A DRYING TREND ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN BY MID-WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 09/15Z ACROSS ALL
TAF SITES. CONVECTION FROM SOLAR HEATING IS EXPECTED TO CREATE MTN
OBSCURATIONS AND SOME MVFR CONDS OVER THE INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO
BUT THESE CONDS WILL BE BRIEF OVER TJSJ AND TJMZ. VFR CONDS ARE
EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT TIST...TISX...TNCM AND TKPK AS MOISTURE FROM
HURRICANE OTTO IS LIFTED NORTHWARD. LLVL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TURN
FROM SW TO SE NEXT 24 HOURS.
&&
.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR SO...AS THE HURRICANE OTTO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST NORTHEAST
AND AWAY FROM THE REGIONAL WATERS. MARINERS CAN EXPECT WINDS OF 15 KNOTS
OR LESS AND SEAS FROM 3 TO 6 FEET. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR
THE OFF SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS HAS EXPIRED. SMALL BOAT OPERATORS
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION IN THE OUTER WATERS.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145308
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
Here is a summary of all of what occured in Puerto Rico with the rain event. The best news of all is that no fatalities occured. The information at link has been translated to english.
http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 32331.html
http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 32331.html
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
cycloneye wrote:Here is a summary of all of what occured in Puerto Rico with the rain event. The best news of all is that no fatalities occured. The information at link has been translated to english.
http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 32331.html
Thanks Cycloneye that's pretty amazing


0 likes
- Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE


The information at link has been translated to english.
Here is the link:

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... -96763.php
0 likes
- tropicana
- Category 5
- Posts: 8056
- Joined: Sat Sep 27, 2003 6:48 pm
- Location: Niagara Falls, Ontario, Canada
- Contact:
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
Interesting reads on Guadeloupe and in Puerto Rico, and thanks for the translations.
I am glad to see the general improvement of weather conditions across the Caribbean on the satellite pictures this morning. A cluster of thunderstorms did develop near to Aruba overnight and dropped 7.6mm of rain to the airport there, but that too was moving away westwards.
The first cooler air (not rain-enhanced) of the young new season brought comfortably cooler air to Havana, Cuba 64F ( 17.5C) and to Nassau, Bahamas 69F (20.8C) overnight.
-justin-
I am glad to see the general improvement of weather conditions across the Caribbean on the satellite pictures this morning. A cluster of thunderstorms did develop near to Aruba overnight and dropped 7.6mm of rain to the airport there, but that too was moving away westwards.
The first cooler air (not rain-enhanced) of the young new season brought comfortably cooler air to Havana, Cuba 64F ( 17.5C) and to Nassau, Bahamas 69F (20.8C) overnight.
-justin-
0 likes
- Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
tropicana wrote:Interesting reads on Guadeloupe and in Puerto Rico, and thanks for the translations.
I am glad to see the general improvement of weather conditions across the Caribbean on the satellite pictures this morning. A cluster of thunderstorms did develop near to Aruba overnight and dropped 7.6mm of rain to the airport there, but that too was moving away westwards.
The first cooler air (not rain-enhanced) of the young new season brought comfortably cooler air to Havana, Cuba 64F ( 17.5C) and to Nassau, Bahamas 69F (20.8C) overnight.
-justin-
No problem my friend but glad to see that i appreciate! Very nice job as usual by Cycloneye thanks to him i have a nice link to keep to translate and by the way share you the best infos in the Butterfly island


0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145308
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
Nice change from cloudy rainy days to this,right Barbara?
All the cams posted at the first post of thread show sunny conditions in the Caribbean.



0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 11 guests