RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1013 MEGI (1013)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 160000UTC 17.2N 133.0E GOOD
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 200NM NORTHEAST 160NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 170000UTC 18.8N 128.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 180000UTC 18.2N 123.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 190000UTC 17.2N 118.0E 210NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 200000UTC 17.1N 116.6E 280NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
120HF 210000UTC 17.0N 115.2E 375NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY =

WTPQ20 BABJ 160600
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TY MEGI 1013 (1013) INITIAL TIME 160600 UTC
00HR 18.1N 131.6E 955HPA 40M/S
30KTS 300KM
50KTS 80KM
P12HR WNW 25KM/H
P+24HR 18.8N 126.1E 940HPA 50M/S
P+48HR 18.0N 122.0E 955HPA 40M/S
P+72HR 17.1N 118.6E 950HPA 42M/S
P+96HR 17.2N 115.5E 945HPA 45M/S
P+120HR 17.5N 113.7E 935HPA 48M/S=
WTKO20 RKSL 160600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 12
NAME TY 1013 MEGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 160600UTC 18.1N 131.6E
MOVEMENT WNW 16KT
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 80KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 170600UTC 18.9N 125.4E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
48HR
POSITION 180600UTC 17.8N 120.5E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
72HR
POSITION 190600UTC 16.9N 116.4E WITHIN 215NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 80KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.
Megi has less than 48hr to intensify by 40kt to reach super typhoon status before anticipated landfall. Satellite appearance is improving with better outflow on the west, so we'll see.