WPAC: MEGI (1013/15W) - Tropical Depression

[phwxenthusiast]

I have never seen TWC cover a typhoon like this before. Talked about it for three minutes at the beginning of the newscast.

whoa thanks for posting that i just turned it on and they do have a "Super Typhoon Megi Continuing Coverage"... this storm is really getting some attention due to its strength

[supercane]

Latest microwave:

[phwxenthusiast]

TWC just interviewed Graciano Yumul from PAGASA... amazing coverage even here in the US... just really really scary...

[KWT]

Not at all surprised this is getting huge coverage, even for the WPAC this is a brutal storm that is coming into landfall, its going to be very similar to Zeb apart from perhaps even a smidge stronger at landfall...the system still showing no real sings of weakening into landfall so gotta assume its gonna make landfall as a 145-150kts system...just doesn't happen very often at all!

[Florida1118]

I cant even Imagine...We pray for you here in Florida.

[oaba09]

Considering how close megi is to land, it's amazing how it's eye is still so well defined.....Because of the recent WSW movement of megi, central luzon will be placed at signal # 2 later according to PAGASA....

[srainhoutx]

[SouthDadeFish]

What central pressure do yall think recon will find on the first pass?

[euro6208]

I am so excited about Megi. I really wish this was headed to Guam instead.

[SouthDadeFish]

I am so excited about Megi. I really wish this was headed to Guam instead.

No you don't. I don't know why anyone would want this. You might want to reconsider a statement like this.

[euro6208]

What central pressure do yall think recon will find on the first pass?

when is the next recon scheduled? I think there are 2 more flights for Megi but it will be after landfall...sucks!

[Battlebrick]

What central pressure do yall think recon will find on the first pass?

I don't know when they are coming out but..

If it was right now, around 885 mb. 200 kts FL.

[SouthDadeFish]

Oh I heard they are taking off shortly, at 8 pm EST. Not sure about that though.

[CrazyC83]

I think they will find a slightly weaker but still amazing system. Probably supporting around 165 kt.

[Battlebrick]

Are they departing from Guam, and can someone confirm the 8 pm est flight? If so, how long is the flight to the storm?

[SouthDadeFish]

I think they will find a slightly weaker but still amazing system. Probably supporting around 165 kt.

I agree. I wish this could just be a fish storm.

[supercane]

There will be no further recon flights into Megi, apart from one to examine the cold wake left after the storm. From ITOP, the research project that has been providing recon coverage:
PGUA 17/0100
WEATHER RESEARCH FLIGHTS
ITOP10 GUAM OPERATIONS CENTER, MARRIOTT HOTEL, TUMON, GUAM
1100 AM ChST MON 18 OCTOBER 2010
SUBJECT: ITOP10 WPAC TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (WPTCPOD)
Valid: 18/1200Z (2200 ChST) TO 19/1159Z
WPTCPoD Number.....WP10-060a
I.- WPAC Requirements
Day 1 (AC#1) - ITOP30 MEGI WAKE I | FLT2 (AC#2) - NEGATIVE REQUIREMENTS
[A] 18/0400Z | [A]
[B] AF307 0930W MEGI | [B]
[C] 18/00Z | [C]
[D] 20.0N 125.8E EP | [D]
[E] 18/0400Z TO 18/0800Z | [E]
[F] 7,500 FT | [F]
[G] Science Crew: Heather Hornick, Pete Black, Robert Lee; Fly rear-inflow boundary layer AXCTD module across typhoon wake with six N-S 100 nm legs separated by 30 nm, oriented across cold wake; drop sondes, AXCTDs, AXCPS and AXBTs at 20 nm intervals from 7,500 ft; maintain IAS of 180 kt or less; 36 sondes, 24 AXCTDs, 7 AXCPs and 6 Hermes AXBTs in total: EP 28 20N, 125 50E; XP 28 20N, 128 20E (deg and min) | [G]
Succeeding Day OUTLOOK
Day 2 (AC#1)- ITOP30 MEGI WAKE II | FLT2 (AC#2)- NEGATIVE REQUIREMENTS
[A] 19/0400Z | [A]
[B] AF304 1030W MEGI | [B]
[C] 19/00Z | [C]
[D] 28.33N 125.83E EP | [D]
[E] 19/0400Z TO 19/0800Z | [E]
[F] 7,500 FT | [F]
[G] Science Crew: Heather Hornick, Bob Creasey; deploy 31 AXBTs in wake deployment flight with same pattern as 0930W flight. | [G]
Long Term Outlook:

GO HOME

PGUA 17/0100
WEATHER RESEARCH FLIGHTS
ITOP10 GUAM OPERATIONS CENTER, MARRIOTT HOTEL, TUMON, GUAM
1100 AM ChST MON 18 OCTOBER 2010
SUBJECT: ITOP10 WPAC TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (WPTCPOD)
Valid: 18/1200Z (2200 ChST) TO 19/1159Z
WPTCPoD Number.....WP10-061
I.- WPAC Requirements
Day 1 (AC#1) - ITOP30 MEGI WAKE II | FLT2 (AC#2) - NEGATIVE REQUIREMENTS
[A] 19/0400Z | [A]
[B] AF304 1030W MEGI | [B]
[C] 19/00Z | [C]
[D] 20.0N 125.8E EP | [D]
[E] 19/0400Z TO 19/0800Z | [E]
[F] 7,500 FT | [F]
[G] Science Crew: Heather Hornick, Bob Creasey; deploy 31 AXBTs in wake deployment flight with same pattern as 0930W flight. | [G]
Succeeding Day OUTLOOK
Day 2 (AC#1)- | FLT2 (AC#2)- NEGATIVE REQUIREMENTS
[A] | [A]
[B] | [B]
[C] | [C]
[D] | [D]
[E] | [E]
[F] | [F]
[G] | [G]
Long Term Outlook:

GO HOME

[Category 5]

Cheers guys, appreciate the comments.

It looks like we'll say in Aparri even if the storm tracks a little to the south. That way we'll be able to document any damage and aftermath on our travel back to Tuguegarao.

Smart move, heading for that core would be extremely risky.

Stay safe out there.

[euro6208]

aw no more recon

[SouthDadeFish]

Oh sorry for spreading that information. I got it from here:

http://twitter.com/#!/senorpepr

He posts on here.