ATL : EX TOMAS - Discussion

[FireRat]

IMO this big mutt is a Cape Verde type as it's been very impressive since trekking westward towards the Leewards without losing its shape, only getting better. We have a CV storm in practically November. Of all the storms I've watched develop this season, this one is the most impressive. Looks like 2010 is saving the "best" for last.

[cycloneye]

Michael, more prove this emerged West Africa is this image I saved by imageshack that shows the wave about to emerge on October 23rd.

[Ivanhater]

Wow Luis. I did not see that before. Amazing system. We are dangerously close to the Greek Alphabet.

[sunnyday]

It may be too early to ask this, but do any of you see any possibility of a US threat? I vote no, but this is not a prediction of any kind.

Thank you to those of you who are praying for this to miss Haiti.

[bvigal]

Excellent job, Luis!!! You are really on top of things!

[bvigal]

It may be too early to ask this, but do any of you see any possibility of a US threat? I vote no, but this is not a prediction of any kind.

Thank you to those of you who are praying for this to miss Haiti.

Don't worry yet! Plenty of time to wait and see what NHC predicts for track, and let the models catch up using good starting info.

[Ivanhater]

It may be too early to ask this, but do any of you see any possibility of a US threat? I vote no, but this is not a prediction of any kind.

Thank you to those of you who are praying for this to miss Haiti.

I don't think so but the possibility is still on the table. The latest Euro showed this missing the trough coming off the U.S east coast with ridging building in behind. It wasn't likely this would be named before the Caribbean but it is.

[Macrocane]

Future (or should I say present) Tomas has one of the best outflows I've seen this season, it's just beautiful.

[Evil Jeremy]

Ok, since it's not really a question of "if" now, when the first cone comes out, where do you think the cone will be in 5 days? I think the final point will be just below Port-Au-Prince. Close to the TCVN, but a little more west. A middle of models cone.

[HURAKAN]

AL, 91, 2010102918, , BEST, 0, 108N, 570W, 35, 1002, TS

Hola Tomás

[sunnyday]

Thank you for your answers. I'm not worried at all because the pattern has been to avoid the US all season, so why would it change now? (showing my ignorance, I'm afraid). Is anyone aware of another season (nearly) as busy as this when none of the storms hit the US? What can be the odds of that happening? (pretty good, I guess, since it just happened this season).

[Evil Jeremy]

AL, 91, 2010102918, , BEST, 0, 108N, 570W, 35, 1002, TS

Hola Tomás

How do you get it so fast lol? Are you constantly refreshing, or do you have updates on a RSS feed or something?

Anyways, I don't think this was there before. Does this mean that it has been a TD since earlier today?
AL, 91, 2010102912, , BEST, 0, 100N, 554W, 30, 1005, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 250, 90, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M

[HURAKAN]

AL, 91, 2010102918, , BEST, 0, 108N, 570W, 35, 1002, TS

Hola Tomás

How do you get it so fast lol? Are you constantly refreshing, or do you have updates on a RSS feed or something?

Anyways, I don't think this was there before. Does this mean that it has been a TD since earlier today?
AL, 91, 2010102912, , BEST, 0, 100N, 554W, 30, 1005, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 250, 90, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M

F5 a few times per minute!!! lol

Seems they decided to make it a TD at 12z in the Best Track

[cycloneye]

Seems they decided to make it a TD at 12z in the Best Track

That will be added to the post season report on Tomas.

[HURAKAN]

So, we tied 1995. Wow!

[dwsqos2]

Technically, it isn't Tomas until it's renumbered. It's still 91L. However, it can't think of any good reason for it not to be called Tomas.

[HURAKAN]

Unfortunately, Halloween will be really scary for some of our friends in the Caribbean. Best of luck

[Ivanhater]

Amazing

[Hurricanehink]

STWO -

A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE...ACCOMPANIED BY A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM...IS LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS. DATA
FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE
SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON INDICATES A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH
WINDS TO TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE IS FORMING. IF THIS DEVELOPMENT TREND
CONTINUES...THEN ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED ON TROPICAL STORM
TOMAS AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WOULD ALSO
THEN BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THERE IS A
HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
15 TO 20 MPH.

[HURAKAN]

998.6 mb extrapolated, wow