ATL : Ex SHARY - Discussion

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cycloneye
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm SHARY - Discussion

#61 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 28, 2010 10:02 pm

Florida1118 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Shary will get some ACE units for the Atlantic to get closer to the hyperactive line of 153. Atlantic is at 146.

Can you change the title of the Adv. thread. I messed it up :oops:



I fixed the title. :)
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm SHARY - Discussion

#62 Postby Florida1118 » Fri Oct 29, 2010 1:12 am

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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm SHARY - Discussion

#63 Postby somethingfunny » Fri Oct 29, 2010 2:11 am

Tropical Storm Sheary. :roll: :lol:

I need to check my post history because I've got this crazy sense of deja vu right now.....
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#64 Postby neospaceblue » Fri Oct 29, 2010 5:16 am

It's odd to think that this season is at 'S' and we just had the 'E' storm dissipate early last month.

Comparison:
1995 - Erin dissipated on August 6. Sebastien formed on October 20.
2005 - Emily dissipated on July 21. Stan formed on October 1.
2010 - Earl dissipated on September 5. Shary forms on October 28.
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#65 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 6:58 am

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Latest
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#66 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 9:26 am

29/1145 UTC 29.0N 66.0W T3.0/3.0 SHARY -- Atlantic

45 knots
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#67 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 12:39 pm

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Sheary, I mean, Shary
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#68 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 12:46 pm

60 mph? wow Shary, you scary!!!
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#69 Postby SouthDadeFish » Fri Oct 29, 2010 12:51 pm

The NHC should have went with 45 knots at the 11 am, which is why they magically jump to 50 knots three hours later. Satellite estimates supported at least a 40 knot intensity, not sure why they didn't use that.
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#70 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 1:22 pm

18z

AL, 20, 2010102918, , BEST, 0, 302N, 658W, 50, 1000, TS

50 knots
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm SHARY - Discussion

#71 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Oct 29, 2010 1:27 pm

Convection looks weak and the center is exposed. I don't know understand why this is a 60mph TS and 91L is still just an invest.
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm SHARY - Discussion

#72 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 1:31 pm

Thunder44 wrote:Convection looks weak and the center is exposed. I don't know understand why this is a 60mph TS and 91L is still just an invest.


Image

Impressive ASCAT, it missed 91L
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm SHARY - Discussion

#73 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Oct 29, 2010 1:35 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:Convection looks weak and the center is exposed. I don't know understand why this is a 60mph TS and 91L is still just an invest.


Impressive ASCAT, it missed 91L


I didn't see that. But the highest barb I see there is 40-45kt.
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm SHARY - Discussion

#74 Postby dwsqos2 » Fri Oct 29, 2010 1:36 pm

ASCAT has a well-known low bias.
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#75 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 2:10 pm

Image

radar
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#76 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 3:29 pm

992.7 mb, extrapolated
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#77 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 3:39 pm

69 knots at FL, WOW
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Re: ATL : SHARY Tropical Storm - Discussion

#78 Postby Battlebrick » Fri Oct 29, 2010 3:47 pm

Possibly a hurricane per recon.
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#79 Postby SouthDadeFish » Fri Oct 29, 2010 3:57 pm

A little more ACE with Shary strengthening.
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Re:

#80 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Oct 29, 2010 4:02 pm

HURAKAN wrote:992.7 mb, extrapolated


Well I'm suprised. Higher winds than Tomas.
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