ATL : EX TOMAS - Discussion

[expat2carib]

Hi Hurakan, when do you think it will reach St. Lucia?

Many thanks in advance.

[HURAKAN]

anyone know when the next recon reaches tomas?

Plane departs from ST Croix at 12:30 AM EDT.

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71
A. 31/0600Z
B. AFXXX 0321A CYCLONE
C. 31/0430Z
D. 13.2N 64.0W
E. 31/0530Z TO 31/0930Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

That's for tomorrow night. Today is the 29th. Flight leaves tomorrow at 09z

FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 30/1200,1800Z
B. AFXXX 0221A CYCLONE
C. 30/0900Z
D. 11.5N 61.0W
E. 30/1030Z TO 30/1800Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

[cycloneye]

anyone know when the next recon reaches tomas?

Plane departs from ST Croix at 12:30 AM EDT.

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71
A. 31/0600Z
B. AFXXX 0321A CYCLONE
C. 31/0430Z
D. 13.2N 64.0W
E. 31/0530Z TO 31/0930Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

That's for tomorrow night. Today is the 29th. Flight leaves tomorrow at 09z

FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 30/1200,1800Z
B. AFXXX 0221A CYCLONE
C. 30/0900Z
D. 11.5N 61.0W
E. 30/1030Z TO 30/1800Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

Thank you Sandy for the clarification. Nobody is perfect.

[HURAKAN]

Hi Hurakan, when do you think it will reach St. Lucia?

Many thanks in advance.

If it follows the track, St. Lucia will be in the northern quadrant by Saturday morning to noon. Good luck.

Try to stay in a safe place

[TheBurn]

[HURAKAN]

Thank you Sandy for the clarification. Nobody is perfect.

I noticed the error because HenkL wrote in Tomás' RECON thread that the next flight leaves tomorrow at 09z and then went to the NHC website to verify. I think the NHC wasn't expecting Tomás to intensify this fast.

[expat2carib]

Hi Hurakan, when do you think it will reach St. Lucia?

Many thanks in advance.

If it follows the track, St. Lucia will be in the northern quadrant by Saturday morning to noon. Good luck.

Try to stay in a safe place

Thanks a lot. Appreciated.

[Ptarmigan]

Tomas looks impressive on satellite. I would not be surprised if Tomas is undergoing RI.

[HURAKAN]

Hi Hurakan, when do you think it will reach St. Lucia?

Many thanks in advance.

If it follows the track, St. Lucia will be in the northern quadrant by Saturday morning to noon. Good luck.

Try to stay in a safe place

Thanks a lot. Appreciated.

The only good news is that it's moving fast and that should limit the damage potential. Can't say the same for the people that may face it later next week.

[TheBurn]

[HURAKAN]

very impressive

[Vortex]

it appears in that microwave image the partial beginnings of an eye wall...

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[cycloneye]

It looks like is a little north from the NHC forecast track.

[Crackbone]

:uarrow: it appears in that microwave image the partial beginnings of an eye wall...

Yep, looks like it's getting ready to blow up.

Hope everyone in the path is ok.

[Vortex]

Lets hope Tomas is nothing like Flora.....






http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Flora

[HURAKAN]

It has written trouble all over it

[HURAKAN]

Lets hope Tomas is nothing like Flora.....

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Flora

A few hours ago I was talking to one of the parents of the baseball team I couch that he's Dominican and I mentioned that it's track could be close to Flora or Emily, 1987.

[andrewsurvivor]

I've seen a lot of storms and this is too impressive too quick so close to the islands. My prayers to all in the path. Hopefully everyone takes this seriously and stays safe. Looking at satellite it's hard to believe it's almost November!

[Dean4Storms]

Actually looks as if the center is down at the very SW edge of the ball of convection. If so this storm is tilted through the atmosphere from SW to NE for now and no RI will occur.