ATL : EX TOMAS - Discussion

[gixxer]

i guess i am confused, following this since the begining and from then it was said that this thing would get beat up a bit and sometime tuesday have a good chance and a fair amount of time to ramp back up, so i am not sure why everyone is so quick to put a fork in this storm, granted he is taking more of a pounding then i expected, and i hope for haiti that he does die but to call this event over i think is slightly nieve.


just my opinion, thx.

[GCANE]

i guess i am confused, following this since the begining and from then it was said that this thing would get beat up a bit and sometime tuesday have a good chance and a fair amount of time to ramp back up, so i am not sure why everyone is so quick to put a fork in this storm, granted he is taking more of a pounding then i expected, and i hope for haiti that he does die but to call this event over i think is slightly nieve.


just my opinion, thx.

A lot can happen in 96 hours.

[GCANE]

[HURAKAN]

sheared to an inch of its life

[GCANE]

Looks like some hot-towers SE of the LLC.

[GCANE]

Core has dropped to 1C.

Boundary-layer inversion at 2C.

[WeatherGuesser]

Weird that you can see the spin of the waves at water level but the clods are so far off center.

Or is that what I'm looking at?

[cycloneye]

Is amazing that this has been shreded in a matter of hours from a 100 mph hurricane to a wimpy TD. Yes I call it a TD right now.

Will it ramp up again when upper conditions will be better? Or even when things turn more favorable,there may not be anything left? Those are very important questions that will be answered in the next 72 hours.

[Gustywind]

Here is news from Guadeloupe after TOMAS, hopefully no real damages to report here and no fatalities in this. Translation to english.
http://www.guadeloupe.franceantilles.fr ... -99769.php

Weather. Back to green for Guadeloupe
E.L. franceantilles.fr 31.10.2010

Tomas category 1 hurricane away permanently the coasts of the Lesser Antilles and continues its road in the direction of Haiti or the Jamaica. For Guadeloupe, this translates an improvement of the time, even though the sky remains still loaded with a few low-intensity rainfall. Offshore and nearshore wave are less tall, sign that danger is discarded.
It remains that for weather episode that particularly affected South of the archipelago, heavy rains have been recorded: 119 mm at Saint-Claude, 76 mm to 75 mm in Basse-Terre, 64 mm to Sainte-Anne, 54 mm 42 mm at Saint-François and Baillif and Baie-Mahault, Pointe-Noire. The winds blew also strong: 94 km/h at Baillif, 83 km/h at la Desirade, 61 km/h at Sainte-Anne and 79 km/h at the Raizet. 5.5 M troughs have been observed at Grande Vigie.
To deal with these difficult conditions routes of Guadeloupe mobilized some 30 men, as soon as Saturday afternoon. They responded 40 times, especially in the South of the Basse-Terre and the Leeward coast for clearing branches, trees and posts on the pavement. No landslide was recorded on the route of the crossing was opened. In contrast, RD 11 (the yellow Bains) was closed a few hours.
Due to intensive, winds causing falls trees on wires, a few homes were denied a few hours of electricity. For the same reasons, the firefighters intervened repeatedly. A sailboat is found in difficulty between ïlet pig and Petit-Bourg. The persons on board, three Martinique, wounded in the head, were recovered and evacuated to the hospital.

[GCANE]

Moving into very unstable air.

Latest sounding at 15N 70W
CAPE = 3300
LI = -5

[wxman57]

Weird that you can see the spin of the waves at water level but the clods are so far off center.

Or is that what I'm looking at?

The spin you're seeing is the low clouds rotating around Tomas' center. Those are not waves. The brighter clouds about 150 miles to the east of Tomas' center are the remaining squalls.

[cycloneye]

12z Best Track

AL, 21, 2010110112, , BEST, 0, 136N, 682W, 40, 1005, TS

[Gustywind]

Some news of our friends of Martinica... Translation to english.

http://www.martinique.franceantilles.fr ... -90714.php

Still 8000 customer FLSA private electricity Sunday at 18.00
franceantilles.fr 30.10.2010

"Further to the passage of Hurricane TOMAS approximately 60,000 clients saw their power disturbed between Saturday and Sunday" Announces EDF.

Sunday, "end of the day, about 8,000 clients remained private electricity (35 000 to 7 h 00 this morning)." To save time on these recent repairs to engage, EDF Martinique requested human augmentation by mobilizing the FIRE * Antilles-Guyane. Guadeloupe archipelago EDF 6 technicians arrive in Martinique tonight at 2230, and 10 others from EDF Guyane land airport Aimé Césaire tomorrow at 1: 30 pm. "

According to EDF, the municipalities affected by the cuts are:
-Southern: Diamond / Sainte Luce / Les Anses d'Arlets / river pilot / Salt River / Le Vauclin.
-Northern&Centre: Main St. Denis / Morne Rouge / Gros Morne / St. Peter / the Robert / St. Joseph.
-There are still scattered "pockets" of clients on different communes (Fort of France Ducos, Lamentin,...).


Back should touch under any pretext lines on the ground to avoid any accident.

[WeatherGuesser]

Weird that you can see the spin of the waves at water level but the clods are so far off center.

Or is that what I'm looking at?

The spin you're seeing is the low clouds rotating around Tomas' center. Those are not waves. The brighter clouds about 150 miles to the east of Tomas' center are the remaining squalls.

Yeah, I thought it might be low clouds also.

[guyclaude08]

Can Tomas slow down and go on R I ? To be honest with you guys I'm still impress with Tomas it's a fighter I think he has time to ramp it up maybe tonight you never know and I also know that you guys love to tell when a storm doesn't ramp back up but it's always the unexpected that happens so to me Tomas is still here,tropical depression means a lot.so will it slow down and fired up ? Or will it dissipate ?

[GCANE]

A couple small cells are firing close to the center.

One to the north and one to the east.


http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/satelli ... .5&lon=-68

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[Blown Away]

Actually pretty cool how quickly Tomas declined. November storms usually have a few curve balls to throw at forcasters. IMO, if Tomas moved over Haiti rate now there would be some breezy conditions w/ very little rain, let's hope it stays that way.

[tolakram]