Severe Weather Event Thanksgiving Week.

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
johnmarkthom
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 24
Joined: Wed Apr 21, 2010 7:47 am
Location: Joplin, MO

Re: Severe Weather Event Thanksgiving Week.

#41 Postby johnmarkthom » Wed Nov 24, 2010 2:21 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2075
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1224 PM CST WED NOV 24 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/NE OK...SE KS...SW MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 241824Z - 242000Z

A SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS STORMS
INITIATE AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS CNTRL/NE OK...SE KS AND SW
MO. AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE
WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY. A WW SHOULD BECOME NECESSARY ONCE
STORMS DEVELOP AND BEGIN TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY.

THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PARTIAL CLEARING FROM OKC
NEWD TO TULSA WHERE THE CUMULUS IS AGITATED AND A FEW CELLS ARE
TRYING TO INITIATE. THE CAPPING INVERSION IS ALREADY GONE ON THE 18Z
NORMAN SOUNDING AND SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS SLIGHTLY CONVERGENCE FLOW
WHERE SFC TEMPS HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 70S F. THIS TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE RESULTING IN MODERATE INSTABILITY ACROSS NE OK INTO SE KS
AND SW MO BY MID-AFTERNOON. SFC-BASED THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR LIKELY TO
INITIATE ACROSS THE MCD AREA BY 20Z AS IS SUGGESTED BY SEVERAL
SHORT-TERM MODELS. IN ADDITION...WSR-88D VWPS ALONG WITH THE 18Z
SOUNDINGS FROM NORMAN AND SPRINGFIELD SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR OF 75 TO 80
KT POINTING TO A FAVORABLE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT FOR SEVERE STORMS. THE
GREATEST THREATS IN THE INITIAL STAGES OF STORM DEVELOPMENT SHOULD
BE HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE. HOWEVER...A TORNADO THREAT SHOULD
EVENTUALLY DEVELOP AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET BECOMES MORE FOCUSED AND THE
STORMS TAKE ON SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

..BROYLES.. 11/24/2010


ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON 37689495 36829398 35799549 35249656 35449723 35959726
36659665 37689495
0 likes   

User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 41
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:

#42 Postby wx247 » Wed Nov 24, 2010 2:35 pm

Looks like the first cell is firing west of Columbus, KS.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

johnmarkthom
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 24
Joined: Wed Apr 21, 2010 7:47 am
Location: Joplin, MO

Re:

#43 Postby johnmarkthom » Wed Nov 24, 2010 2:49 pm

wx247 wrote:Looks like the first cell is firing west of Columbus, KS.


Another right over Coffeyville as well. SPC says once they start firing, they would likely issue a WW. FYI I am on MO/KS line @ 66
0 likes   

User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

#44 Postby TwisterFanatic » Wed Nov 24, 2010 3:16 pm

EHI getting pretty high here in Eastern OK. I see all the way up to 5.

1500+ CAPE here also.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 41
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:

Re: Re:

#45 Postby wx247 » Wed Nov 24, 2010 3:19 pm

johnmarkthom wrote:
wx247 wrote:Looks like the first cell is firing west of Columbus, KS.


Another right over Coffeyville as well. SPC says once they start firing, they would likely issue a WW. FYI I am on MO/KS line @ 66


Okay, so you aren't that far from the West 7th Supercenter. :)

Keep a look out and if you see pieces of Downstream Casino in the air, you will know a twister is headed your way. ;)
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

johnmarkthom
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 24
Joined: Wed Apr 21, 2010 7:47 am
Location: Joplin, MO

Re: Re:

#46 Postby johnmarkthom » Wed Nov 24, 2010 3:29 pm

wx247 wrote:
johnmarkthom wrote:
wx247 wrote:Looks like the first cell is firing west of Columbus, KS.


Another right over Coffeyville as well. SPC says once they start firing, they would likely issue a WW. FYI I am on MO/KS line @ 66


Okay, so you aren't that far from the West 7th Supercenter. :)

Keep a look out and if you see pieces of Downstream Casino in the air, you will know a twister is headed your way. ;)


Further West...If you know the area...My office is on Blackcat Road. Maybe a twister will do what I haven't been able to do at downstream and redistribute some of the money my way.
0 likes   

johnmarkthom
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 24
Joined: Wed Apr 21, 2010 7:47 am
Location: Joplin, MO

Re: Severe Weather Event Thanksgiving Week.

#47 Postby johnmarkthom » Wed Nov 24, 2010 3:30 pm

Tornado Watch
0 likes   

johnmarkthom
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 24
Joined: Wed Apr 21, 2010 7:47 am
Location: Joplin, MO

Re: Severe Weather Event Thanksgiving Week.

#48 Postby johnmarkthom » Wed Nov 24, 2010 3:32 pm

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 750
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CST WED NOV 24 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SMALL PART OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH OF FORT
LEONARD WOOD MISSOURI TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF CHANUTE
KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER AND
INTENSITY ACROSS THE WATCH AREA AS NWD MOVING WARM FRONT HAS ALLOWED
AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MDTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO FLOW INTO AREA.
VERY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES IN PLACE AND WITH CINH NEARLY
GONE...STRONG UPDRAFTS COULD DEVELOP INTO SUPERCELLS THRU THE
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING
WINDS...TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUPERCELL THAT FORMS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
0 likes   

User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

#49 Postby TwisterFanatic » Wed Nov 24, 2010 3:51 pm

Looks like the storm in SE Kansas are trying to take on Supercell characteristics. The cell SE of Independence is looking the best.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

johnmarkthom
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 24
Joined: Wed Apr 21, 2010 7:47 am
Location: Joplin, MO

Re:

#50 Postby johnmarkthom » Wed Nov 24, 2010 4:02 pm

TwisterFanatic wrote:Looks like the storm in SE Kansas are trying to take on Supercell characteristics. The cell SE of Independence is looking the best.

Also on the MO/KS line North of Joplin and to the NW of Springfield
0 likes   

johnmarkthom
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 24
Joined: Wed Apr 21, 2010 7:47 am
Location: Joplin, MO

Re: Re:

#51 Postby johnmarkthom » Wed Nov 24, 2010 4:24 pm

johnmarkthom wrote:
TwisterFanatic wrote:Looks like the storm in SE Kansas are trying to take on Supercell characteristics. The cell SE of Independence is looking the best.

Also on the MO/KS line North of Joplin and to the NW of Springfield

The One to The NW of Springfield is now Tornadic
0 likes   

User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

Re: Re:

#52 Postby TwisterFanatic » Wed Nov 24, 2010 4:32 pm

johnmarkthom wrote:
johnmarkthom wrote:
TwisterFanatic wrote:Looks like the storm in SE Kansas are trying to take on Supercell characteristics. The cell SE of Independence is looking the best.

Also on the MO/KS line North of Joplin and to the NW of Springfield

The One to The NW of Springfield is now Tornadic


Watching that one on Radar. Looks very good.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

johnmarkthom
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 24
Joined: Wed Apr 21, 2010 7:47 am
Location: Joplin, MO

Re: Severe Weather Event Thanksgiving Week.

#53 Postby johnmarkthom » Wed Nov 24, 2010 4:44 pm

Another Tornadic Cell to the South of Nevada MO
0 likes   

User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

#54 Postby TwisterFanatic » Wed Nov 24, 2010 5:02 pm

Storms now erupting north of Tulsa.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

johnmarkthom
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 24
Joined: Wed Apr 21, 2010 7:47 am
Location: Joplin, MO

Re:

#55 Postby johnmarkthom » Wed Nov 24, 2010 5:04 pm

TwisterFanatic wrote:Storms now erupting north of Tulsa.

Those are the ones that are of great concern to me living in Joplin
0 likes   

User avatar
srainhoutx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6919
Age: 67
Joined: Sun Jan 14, 2007 11:34 am
Location: Haywood County, NC
Contact:

Re: Severe Weather Event Thanksgiving Week.

#56 Postby srainhoutx » Wed Nov 24, 2010 9:27 pm

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 751
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
825 PM CST WED NOV 24 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI
EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 825 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
MCALESTER OKLAHOMA TO 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VICHY MISSOURI. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 750. WATCH NUMBER 750 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
825 PM CST.

DISCUSSION...A BAND OF OCCASIONALLY SEVERE STORMS WILL PERSIST
OVERNIGHT ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM NE OK INTO SRN MO. WEAK
SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY AND STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES. CONVECTION SHOULD GRADUALLY BECOME
MORE LINEAR LATER TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT OVERTAKES THE
PRE-FRONTAL BAND.
0 likes   
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Wx Infinity Forums
http://wxinfinity.com/index.php

Facebook.com/WeatherInfinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity

User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 61
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:

#57 Postby Aquawind » Wed Nov 24, 2010 10:30 pm

Wow from tornados to sleet in a matter of hours for MO.
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 74
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#58 Postby Dave » Thu Nov 25, 2010 12:29 am

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1115 PM CST WED NOV 24 2010

MOC009-250545-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0060.000000T0000Z-101125T0545Z/
BARRY MO-
1115 PM CST WED NOV 24 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN BARRY COUNTY...

AT 1110 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO NEAR PLEASANT RIDGE...OR 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
MONETT...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL GENERALLY REMAIN OVER RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN
BARRY COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CST THURSDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 74
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#59 Postby Dave » Thu Nov 25, 2010 12:30 am

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1126 PM CST WED NOV 24 2010

ILC133-163-MOC099-186-187-221-250545-
/O.CON.KLSX.TO.W.0075.000000T0000Z-101125T0545Z/
MONROE IL-ST. CLAIR IL-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-
WASHINGTON MO-JEFFERSON MO-
1126 PM CST WED NOV 24 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON...
EAST CENTRAL WASHINGTON...NORTHWESTERN STE. GENEVIEVE...ST.
FRANCOIS...CENTRAL ST. CLAIR AND MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 PM CST...

AT 1123 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERAL
TORNADOES. THESE DANGEROUS STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM COLUMBIA TO OLYMPIAN VILLAGE TO MINERAL
POINT...MOVING EAST AT 40 TO 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WATERLOO...MILLSTADT...BONNE TERRE...FREEBURG...NEW DESIGN...
SMITHTON...BLOOMSDALE...FOSTER POND...MONROE CITY...MADONNAVILLE...
CHALFIN BRIDGE...VALLES MILL...WARTBURG...MAEYSTOWN...BARR...
BURKSVILLE...FULTS...FLORAVILLE...PADERBORN AND RENAULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 74
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#60 Postby Dave » Thu Nov 25, 2010 12:30 am

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1122 PM CST WED NOV 24 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN DENT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST.

* AT 1119 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO NEAR SALEM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE SALEM.
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 47 guests