OFFICIAL advisory #1 on TD#9

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cycloneye
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OFFICIAL advisory #1 on TD#9

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 21, 2003 3:39 pm

http://www.hwn.org/haft24us.htm
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#2 Postby Air Force Met » Thu Aug 21, 2003 3:40 pm

Looks like I beat you by a nanosecond;-)
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 21, 2003 3:46 pm

LOL that's ok.

Here is the public advisory.

http://www.hwn.org/hapt34us.htm
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#4 Postby Johnny » Thu Aug 21, 2003 3:46 pm

Thanks for posting Air Force Met and Cycloneye.
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quick

#5 Postby zoeyann » Thu Aug 21, 2003 3:50 pm

:o You guys have the scoop almost faster than the NHC gets it out. I am immpressed!
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 21, 2003 4:13 pm

http://www.hwn.org/hadt44us.htm

Here is the discussion.Those in Florida will have to watch this system closely.
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#7 Postby wx247 » Thu Aug 21, 2003 5:17 pm

Interesting discussion. I assume the reason that the forecast calls for it to remain 50 knots from 36 to 72 hrs. is due to land interaction?
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ColdFront77

#8 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Aug 21, 2003 6:30 pm

Garrett, it appears that way. 19.0ºN, 74.0ºW is near the Windward Passage between the eastern coast of Cuba and the western coast of the island of Hispaniola, (Haiti).

It will be very interesting to see what portion of either island it moves over. The central portions of the countries are obviously more mountainous than the coasts.
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Rainband

#9 Postby Rainband » Thu Aug 21, 2003 6:48 pm

cycloneye wrote:http://www.hwn.org/hadt44us.htm

Here is the discussion.Those in Florida will have to watch this system closely.
IF it does cross florida..into the GOM it won't be that strong yet will it?? I guess I am asking due to the light steering and the discussion I posted from the NWS..about the gfs model.. Could this thing sit off the east or west coast of florida for a while??? Thanks for the input!! :wink:
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definitely

#10 Postby wxman57 » Thu Aug 21, 2003 6:51 pm

Rainband wrote:
cycloneye wrote:http://www.hwn.org/hadt44us.htm

Here is the discussion.Those in Florida will have to watch this system closely.
IF it does cross florida..into the GOM it won't be that strong yet will it?? I guess I am asking due to the light steering and the discussion I posted from the NWS..about the gfs model.. Could this thing sit off the east or west coast of florida for a while??? Thanks for the input!! :wink:


Definitely, RB. It could remain nearly stationary near either side of the lower peninsula for a while. But the peninsula is very narrow, and it may not weaken much - particularly if the center is offshore. In fact, it could be strengthening.
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