Deep South Winterwx Discussion 2015-2016

[Ivanhater]

Nice tidbit

AREAS SOUTH OF A WIGGINS TO CITRONELLE TO BREWTON TO ANDALUSIA
LINE CAN EXPECT MAINLY RAIN...ALTHOUGH THE LATEST TREND HAS BEEN TO
ADJUST THIS FURTHER SOUTH.

[BigB0882]

NWS has now updated Baton Rouge's forecast to call for a slim chance of sleet on Sunday night. The trend is certainly in our favor down south. They are also calling for rain to move in over night Saturday, wonder if there may be any surprises with that precip.

[Brent]

[Metalicwx220]

I like the ice better than the snow. Sleet really doesnt matter to me. Hope the trend continues may be lesser amounts to the north, but really.... They see snow every year.

[Ivanhater]

Nws Mobile/Pensacola

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...POTENTIALLY MAJOR
WINTER EVENT APPROACHING FOR THE FORECAST AREA. DRY AND COOLER
CONDITIONS FOLLOW FOR TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AS SURFACE RIDGE
BUILDS INTO THE REGION WHILE A STRONG SHORTWAVE ADVANCES ACROSS THE
SOUTHWESTERN STATES. A STRONG SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO AND CONTINUES TO BE SET TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN
GULF THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. PER COORDINATION WITH HPC AND AREA
OFFICES...THIS SETS THE STAGE FOR A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION FOR
MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH THE HEAVIEST QPF AMOUNTS EXPECTED
SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE SURFACE LOW PASSES SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.
MODELS HAVE TRENDED COLDER WITH THIS ISSUANCE INCREASING THE
LIKELIHOOD OF WINTRY WEATHER FOR THE AREA. MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE
FAIRLY COLD SATURDAY NIGHT WHILE THE OVERRUNNING FLOW BRINGS IN THE
BEGINNING LIGHT PRECIP AMOUNTS. WILL HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA BUT EXPECT THAT PRECIP AMOUNTS WILL
BE FAIRLY LIGHT. POPS INCREASE ON SUNDAY WITH MODEL SOUNDINGS AND
1000-850 MB THICKNESSES...PER A BLEND OF ECMWF/GFS/NAM...INDICATING
A MIX OF RAIN SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE INLAND COUNTIES.
WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING SUNDAY NIGHT AND HIGH POPS FOR MOST OF
THE AREA...WILL HAVE MIXED PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE INLAND
COUNTIES...AND A MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHERNMOST
ZONES. THE PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF ON MONDAY AS THE SURFACE LOW
EXITS TO THE EAST. OF CONCERN IS THAT THE GFS MODEL WAS COLDER AND
SHOULD THIS COLDER SOLUTION PAN OUT...THIS WILL PORTEND MORE
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET OVER THE AREA WITH POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER
GLACE/ICE ACCUMULATION OVER INLAND AREAS. PER COORDINATION WITH
AREA OFFICES...HAVE ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE INLAND
COUNTIES IN EFFECT FROM 18Z SUNDAY THROUGH 18Z MONDAY.

[Brent]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
409 PM CST FRI JAN 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...

RUNNING LATE...SO WILL HAVE TO KEEP IT RATHER SHORT.

THE BHM CWA SEEMS TO BE IN A TOUGH SPOT THIS GO AROUND AS EVERY TYPE
OF PRECIP FROM JUST PLAIN RAIN TO MODERATE AND HEAVY SNOW ARE IN
THE FORECAST. THE DETAILS ARE BEGINNING TO CLEAR JUST A BIT AS THE
LATEST MODELS ARE TRENDING COLDER THROUGHOUT THE
PROFILE..SUGGESTING THAT A MAJORITY OF FOLKS WILL SEE THE
PREDOMINANT P-TYPE OF SNOW.

TIMING SEEMED TO BE THE EASIEST FORECAST ITEM TO PIN DOWN...AS
PRECIP SHOULD BEGIN IN THE SOUTHWEST CLOSE TO OR JUST AFTER
LUNCHTIME ON SUNDAY. THE PRECIP SHIELD WILL RATHER QUICKLY
TRANSLATE NORTHEAST TO COVER MOST OR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA BY 6PM
SUNDAY EVENING. FROM 6PM THROUGH 3AM...LOOKS TO BE THE SWEET
SPOT AS THE BEST FRONTOGENESIS AND EVEN SOME SLANTWISE INSTABILITY
WORKS FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THIS CONTINUES TO BE A
FAVORITE TIME FOR THE MODERATE TO PERHAPS A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW
TO DEVELOP...LIKELY RIGHT ACROSS THE HEART OR NORTHERN-THIRD OF
THE CWA. PLEASE CONTINUE TO FOLLOW OUR HOME WEBPAGE GRAPHICAST FOR
THE LATEST ON AMOUNTS.

MEANWHILE...THE PRECIP TYPE CONTINUES TO BE RATHER PROBLEMATIC.
THE IDEA OF TRENDING COLDER IS MAKING IT AN EASIER
CALL...HOWEVER...WE WILL LIKELY BE ON THE THRESHOLD OF HAVING
SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT ACROSS THE NORTHERN-THIRD...WHILE THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ICING EXISTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ONE
QUARTER OF THE AREA. TO COMPLICATE IT FURTHER...WE MAY ACTUALLY
TRANSITION P-TYPES SEVERAL TIMES THROUGH OUT THE
EVENT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE HWY 80 CORRIDOR. THE
P-TYPE BATTLE IS SET BETWEEN STRONG ADVECTION OF BOTH DRIER
CONTINENTAL AND GULF AIR...WHICH SEEMINGLY KEEPS THE WET BULB
EFFECT ON GOING AND CLOSER TO THE FREEZING LINE BETWEEN THE SURFACE AND
700MB. THE IDEA OF THE DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT SHOULD KEEP THE SNOW
FANS HAPPY...ESPECIALLY AS YOU GET FURTHER FROM THE IMMEDIATE GULF
COAST REGION. IN SOME RESPECTS...THE GUIDANCE IS SIMPLY NOT
FOLLOWING THE NORMAL PARADIGM AS THE UNDERCUTTING DRY AIR...DEPTH
AND AMOUNT...WILL MAKE OR BREAK THE SNOW/ICE LINE. IT IS SHALLOW
AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE CHALLENGE WITH SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS.
UNDERGLIDE WOULD BE THE PROPER TERM. IT IS ALSO WORTH MENTIONING
THAT ONCE THE PRECIPITATION PROCESSES START...THE MODELS STINK AT
THERMAL PROFILING...SO KEEP THAT IN THE BACK OF YOUR MIND.

ALL THIS SAID...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE VERY END OF THE
EVENT...WE ARE LOOKING AT A MAJOR WINTER STORM EVENT FOR ALL OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA. TAKE ANY AND ALL PRECAUTIONS NOW AND BE PREPARED
FOR SNOW AND OR ICE WITH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS FROM MIDDAY
SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST MIDDAY MONDAY.

17/KLAWS

&&

[Stormcenter]

A little bit of everything (rain,wind,sleet,freezing rain) possible this weekend per the NWS out of N.O.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
422 PM CST FRI JAN 7 2011

...A RETURN TO WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT
ALONG WITH STRONG ONSHORE WINDS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL
FLOODING...

.SYNOPSIS...
SURFACE MAP SHOWS LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN PLAINS AND SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LOW PERSISTS OVER THE GREAT LAKES
REGION...BUT THE SHARP UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC
WHILE A PROGRESSIVE RIDGE ADVANCES EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
OUR NEXT FEATURE OF INTEREST IS AN UPPER LOW THAT IS SPINNING AND
NUDGING EAST OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA/NORTHERN BAJA COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
HAVE ADDED MENTION OF SLEET TO THE FORECAST STARTING LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHERN ZONES AT
VARIOUS TIMES. THIS FORECAST PACKAGE ALSO INCLUDES THE ISSUANCE OF
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH AND GALE WATCH FOR MOST OF THE COASTAL
AREAS. REFER TO THE MARINE SECTION FOR DETAILS ON THE COASTAL
FLOOD AND GALE WATCHES.

UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE EAST LEAVING BEHIND
CONVERGENT UPPER FLOW OVER THE EASTERN CONUS BY SUNDAY. THE UPPER
LOW OFF THE WEST COAST WILL MAINTAIN A FAIRLY DEEP TROUGH AXIS AS IT
MOVES EAST NEAR THE U.S./MEXICAN BORDER AND ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO
THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN THE UPPER SYSTEM WILL SHIFT SOME ITS ENERGY
FARTHER NORTH AS IT MOVES EAST THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TOWARDS
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUNDAY. THE SURFACE LOW TRACK AND
TIMING OF PRECIPITATION IS CRITICAL TO DETERMINE PRECIPITATION TYPE.
LOOKING AT THE 12Z MODEL RUNS TODAY...THERE IS PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH THE SURFACE LOW TRACKING FROM THE LOWER/MID TEXAS COAST ON
SUNDAY MORNING TO THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...AND THEN EAST TO EAST-NORTHEAST POSSIBLY BRUSHING THE
EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI RIVER DELTA SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE MOVING
EAST ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GULF MONDAY.

LIQUID PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY IN THE
1 TO 2 INCH RANGE...POSSIBLY A BIT HIGHER WITH SOME 3 TO 4 INCH
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST. REGARDING
PRECIPITATION TYPE...WET-BULB TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW FREEZING
ACROSS AREAS NORTH OF I-10/12 CORRIDOR AT THE ONSET OF PRECIP LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. THIS COULD LEAD TO A MIX OF RAIN
AND SLEET OVER SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND SOME ADJACENT AREAS OF EAST
CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA BEFORE LATENT HEAT WARMS MOST OF THE AIR
COLUMN ABOVE FREEZING SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

THE MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE A ELEVATED WARM LAYER OF +2 TO +5C AT
850 MB DURING THE PERIODS OF MEASURABLE PRECIP. THIS SHOULD CAUSE
MOST OF THE SNOW TO COMPLETELY MELT LEAVING THE LOWEST LEVEL
TEMPERATURES TO DETERMINE WHETHER THE PRECIP FALLS AS
RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...OR SLEET. GIVEN THE FORECAST SURFACE
TEMPERATURES MOSTLY ABOVE FREEZING...THIS LEAVES MAINLY RAIN AND
SLEET. THE AMOUNT OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION FALLING IS
CAUSE FOR CONCERN IF SOME OF THE NORTHERN AREAS BECOMES MOSTLY
SLEET. EVEN WITH A RELATIVELY WARM GROUND...A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED
MODERATE TO HEAVY SLEET COULD TRY TO ACCUMULATE ON SOME ELEVATED
ROADS AND BRIDGES. CONFIDENCE IN THIS SCENARIO IS STILL SLIGHTLY
TOO LOW TO ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT
THAT COULD BECOME NECESSARY LATER TONIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING IF THE
MODELS CONTINUE TRENDING THE WAY THEY DID TODAY.
NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE SURFACE LOW TRACK...THERE WILL BE SOME
INSTABILITY...POSSIBLY SURFACE BASED...OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS MAINLY WEST AND SOUTH/SOUTHEAST OF SOUTHWEST PASS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT SOME ELEVATED...EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTH IN THE COLD AIR. TRIMMED
BACK MENTION OF THUNDER TO NEAR NEW ORLEANS.

[Ivanhater]

[PTrackerLA]

Just a heavy rain event for my area, which is fine with me given the drought we're in. Good luck to those to my north and east at seeing snow!

[SunnyThoughts]

Good luck everybody...hope everyone who wants to see the white stuff gets in on the action. A few flakes would be nice for me!

[BigB0882]

That is so close to Baton Rouge. If this can track 50 miles south then we are probably in for at least something! It is still possible...

I must say, even though this event hasn't panned out to be historic cold, we are still forecast to have 4-5 days of high in the 40's. That is unusual and definitely not something we see very often.

I also think our high on Sunday will be lower than they say, unless it comes very early in the day. We always bust on the highs when there is a big rain event but the lows are usually right so I'm not saying temps will be colder all around and get us in on the ice/snow but I bet it is a really cold and rainy day.

[sherry]

According to some info for the piedmont of NC they have changed from Heavy snow amounts to moderate snow amounts. But when the Christmas storm came thru it did the same thing it went from heavy to moderate. The local mets were just calling for 3 inches and then that morning they changed back to 6 inches. Which we did get the 6 inches. As long as it stays snow that's fine I just don't want ICE.

I figure by Sunday Morning they should hopefully be able to predict what's happening. We went to the store today just in case they change it back and the stores are slammed Sunday

[zippity]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
321 PM CST FRI JAN 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...
IN THE SHORT TERM...A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO TOMORROW. LOBES OF 500MB VORTICITY CONTINUE TO WORK THEIR WAY AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROF...SPARKING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND SOUTHWARD INTO TN. SOME OF THIS
WILL BE ENHANCED BY UPSLOPE FLOW ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS AND BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW IN THE NE PORTION OF THE CWA. DO NOT EXPECT TO SEE ANY ACCUMULATIONS IN OUR REGION AS MOISTURE DOES NOT LOOK TO BE ROBUST THIS FAR SW.

LATE THIS WEEKEND...A WINTER WEATHER EVENT LOOKS PROBABLE FOR THE SOUTHEAST AS A LOW PUSHES ACROSS THE SW AND ALONG THE GULF COAST. COMBINED WITH UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FROM THE TRAILING TROF AXIS BRINGING IN A STRONG SHOT OF COLD AIR...SNOW AND ICE LOOK TO IMPACT THE SOUTHEAST SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. FOR N AL AND S MIDDLE TN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACKS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IN THE SUNDAY NIGHT TO EARLY MONDAY MORNING TIME FRAME.
STRONG 500-300MB Q VECTOR DIVERGENCE AROUND 06Z...A POSSIBLE TROWAL STRUCTURE...AND GOOD FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING WITH A MOIST ATM IN THE LOW LEVELS COULD LEAD TO MODERATE SNOWFALL RATES OVERNIGHT SUNDAY.
EXPECTED QPF AMOUNTS AND SNOW-LIQUID RATIOS LIKELY IN THE 9 TO 1 RANGE GIVE A RANGE OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOWFALL FOR THE ENTIRE CWA WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE SHOULD BANDING OCCUR OVER THE AREA. THE FLY IN THE OINTMENT AT THIS POINT COULD BE THAT THE MOST
RECENT MODEL RUNS HAVE TAKEN THE TRACK OF THE GULF LOW SLIGHTLY FURTHER SOUTH. SHOULD THIS TREND CONTINUE...AMOUNTS MAY NEED TO BE TAPERED BACK SLIGHTLY. DUE TO THIS POSSIBILITY...ARE ISSUING ONLY A WINTER WEATHER OUTLOOK AND LEAVING THE ISSUANCE OF ANY MORE ELEVATED WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS TO THE NEXT SHIFT OR TWO...IN HOPES THAT ANOTHER MODEL RUN OR TWO MAY INCREASE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST TRACK OF THIS LOW.

AS PRECIPITATION TRAILS OFF ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...SOME PRECIP MAY BEGIN TO CHANGE OVER TO FRZG RAIN OR DRIZZLE AS MOISTURE BECOMES SIGNIFICANTLY MORE SHALLOW. EVEN THOUGH MUCH OF THE COLUMN MAY REMAIN BELOW FREEZING...THE CLOUD TOP LAYERS AFTER 06-12Z TUESDAY ARE NOT COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT THE PRODUCTION OF ICE CRYSTALS. VERY LITTLE IN ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED AS THE COLUMN DRIES OUT MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD CAN BE SUMMED UP IN ONE WORD...COLD. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR FREEZING THROUGH FRIDAY AND LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE MID TEENS AS A STRONG RIDGE REGAINS CONTROL OF THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS.

[Ivanhater]

18z Nam snowfall map

[srainhoutx]

You folks stay safe. Ouch...

[Dean4Storms]

I really don't know what might transpire here along the western Panhandle coast with this. If this Low tracks any further south than the latest model trends we could see some ice Sunday night, it wouldn't take much.

[bella_may]

The snow line just keeps getting closer and closer to the coast! Although the weather people are saying it will just be rain and MAYBE a little ice

[Ntxw]

So much for La Nada . Just to show no matter how much we think we know, we know little . Been a wonderful past two winters for the deep south!

[Brent]

and the last NWS office in this area finally budges...

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
637 PM CST FRI JAN 7 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA LATE SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY...

.A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
OF MEXICO LATE SUNDAY EVENING INTO MONDAY. THIS...COUPLED WITH A
SUFFICIENTLY COLD AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION AND ADVANCING
GULF MOISTURE...WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A PERIOD OF WINTRY WEATHER. AT
THIS TIME...IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL
OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST DURING THE EVENING
HOURS ON SUNDAY. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
MONDAY BEFORE POSSIBLY TRANSITIONING TO A MIX OF LIGHT SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN BY MIDDAY MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCT SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-080845-
/O.NEW.KHUN.WS.A.0001.110110T0000Z-110111T0000Z/
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MUSCLE SHOALS...
RUSSELLVILLE...MOULTON...ATHENS...HUNTSVILLE...DECATUR...
GUNTERSVILLE...SCOTTSBORO...FORT PAYNE...CULLMAN...LYNCHBURG...
FAYETTEVILLE...WINCHESTER
637 PM CST FRI JAN 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON.


* TIMING AND AREAS AFFECTED: SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...IS EXPECTED TO
OVERSPREAD THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST INTO THE MORNING HOURS
ON MONDAY. A CHANGEOVER TO LIGHT SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE
BY MIDDAY MONDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS: SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH
ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

* OTHER HAZARDS: THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY SNOWFALL
MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY...MAKING DRIVING CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL WILL DETERIORATE QUICKLY SUNDAY NIGHT WITH MANY
ROADWAYS LIKELY BECOMING SNOW COVERED OVERNIGHT. TRAVEL ON MONDAY
MAY BE VERY DIFFICULT AT BEST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

[Jag95]

I can't wait to see what the next model run is gonna look like. Chances say it'll be all liquid on the coast where I'm at, but watching these model runs of heavy snow in the deep South is very entertaining.