Deep South Winterwx Discussion 2015-2016

[BigB0882]

It has begun to drizzle here in Baton Rouge. Cold, wet and miserable. I need a drink....lol

[JSDS]

And along with the rain, our temperature has started dropping. At my house on the south side of Denham Springs, it was 40 when I left for church, 41 when I got home a little over an hour ago, and is now down to 38.

[Brent]

[NDG]

Is that image still to be believed with all of the ice/sleet changes we've been hearing about by the local ATL mets?

Cheers and looking forward to snow vs. ice!

Don't pay too much attention to the snow accumulation maps by the models, they have been doing a horrible job. In many areas that they show snow will most likely be sleet/freezing rain accumulations.

[m_ru]

I think I am just going to stay put. It would be dumb and try to travel back to Pensacola tonight. Never been in an ice storm, but I know up to a half inch is dangerous. I am hoping for a miracle and it will mostly be snow, unfortunately, this looks like an extremely dangerous ice storm.

Ivan, I have a feeling you would really enjoy and ice storm. They were my favorite growing up and I haven't been one in ages. Something to behold. Just don't drive...and don't stand under pine trees!

It's all fun and games until the power goes out.

...and then it's still fun and games for me. I have a generator and enjoy power outages due to nasty weather. Unfortunately, the ice will stay to my north. I'll just have to hope for something later this month.

[SunnyThoughts]

Starkville Mississippi webcam pretty snowy

http://www.mstraffic.com/streamcam.aspx?cam=MS182_Res_W

[Raebie]

To each his own. However, I think you're insane.

[Brent]

Ugh, work is forcing me to come in tonight. Hopefully I can get off by 8-9pm before the worst comes in. This SUCKS.

[Ivanhater]

Starting to sleet in Auburn. Very light so far, but the atmosphere is getting saturated enough to start hitting the ground.

[bella_may]

Sleeting pretty good here just north of montgomery!!

[m_ru]

To each his own. However, I think you're insane.

Oh, I probably am.

It is sitting at 41 F here at my house with a good northeast wind. Bleh. This is very frustrating. The NOAA products show the "iceline" setting up right on the border of my county to the north. It's very unfortunate that from my house I can almost see the that border!!!! Lame.

[Ivanhater]

Tallahassee Florida has issued a Winter storm warning. Amazing.



URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
302 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

...A WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTH
GEORGIA...

.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
THROUGH MONDAY. RAINFALL WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM WEST TO
EAST TONIGHT. AT THE SAME TIME...AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO DELIVER A SHALLOW COLD AND DRY AIR MASS INTO THE
REGION. AS THE RAIN FALLS INTO THIS AIR...TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL AND RESULT IN THE RAIN CHANGING TO A PERIOD OF
FREEZING RAIN TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. ICE ACCUMULATIONS
BETWEEN ONE TENTH AND ONE QUARTER INCH ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>146-101400-
/O.UPG.KTAE.WS.A.0001.110110T0600Z-110110T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.WS.W.0001.110110T0600Z-110110T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ENTERPRISE...OZARK...FORT RUCKER...
DALEVILLE...HEADLAND...ABBEVILLE...GENEVA...HARTFORD...SAMSON...
SLOCOMB...MALVERN...TAYLOR...ASHFORD...DOTHAN...KINSEY...
COWARTS...WEBB...COTTONWOOD...REHOBETH...GEORGETOWN...
FORT GAINES...CUTHBERT...SHELLMAN...ARLINGTON...MORGAN...EDISON...
LEARY...DAWSON...ALBANY...LEESBURG...SMITHVILLE...SYLVESTER...
ASHBURN...TIFTON...FITZGERALD...OCILLA...DOUGLASVILLE...BLAKELY...
COLQUITT...NEWTON...CAMILLA...PELHAM...MOULTRIE
302 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011 /202 PM CST SUN JAN 9 2011/

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/ TO
9 AM EST /8 AM CST/ MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST
/MIDNIGHT CST/ TO 9 AM EST /8 AM CST/ MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
THROUGH MONDAY. RAINFALL WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM WEST TO
EAST TONIGHT. AT THE SAME TIME...AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO DELIVER A SHALLOW COLD AND DRY AIR MASS INTO THE
REGION. AS THE RAIN FALLS INTO THIS AIR... TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL AND RESULT IN THE RAIN CHANGING TO A PERIOD OF
FREEZING RAIN TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. ICE ACCUMULATIONS
BETWEEN ONE TENTH AND ONE QUARTER INCH ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.


Look at how large this winter storm is. Virtually the entire South east approaching the coast.

[SunnyThoughts]

Its sleeting here in Pace just to the east of pensacola, just opened the door and looked...bouncing off the rails of the deck.

[Ivanhater]

Its sleeting here in Pace just to the east of pensacola, just opened the door and looked...bouncing off the rails of the deck.

Amazing storm Sunny. Wintry precip in Florida. That is twice so far this winter. La Nina....

[SunnyThoughts]

So what does that mean for you guys farther north...if its actually sleeting close to the coast...does that mean better or worse for more snow than ice for you guys farther north?

[Ivanhater]

So what does that mean for you guys farther north...if its actually sleeting close to the coast...does that mean better or worse for more snow than ice for you guys farther north?

From what I'm gathering, the boundary layer is pretty much the same here with mainly a big ice storm. It should start off as snow here, but quickly change over to freezing rain. Keep us updated with the wintry precip on the Gulf coast.

[Ntxw]

Thought I'd make a post for our friends to the southeast. It looks like the 850mb temps are going to be a bugger. I-20 and south looks predominantly ice (freezing rain/sleet) throughout the event including areas 50 or so miles either side of the interstate. Might have some snow mixed in but chances look low until you get to higher terrain in AL/GA. So if it isn't already snowing, probably won't see much of it throughout the system. Accidents reported in MS/AR/LA already. Stay safe!

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

[BigB0882]

This storm seems like it is going to bring a lot less QPF than I thought, to my area, atleast. There isn't a lot of rain left and it has hardly rained, just a light drizzle. Some models were forecasting 1-2" of rain. Not even close!

The temps have dropped though, was 44 at noon and is now down to 39.

[Ivanhater]

Thought I'd make a post for our friends to the southeast. It looks like the 850mb temps are going to be a bugger. I-20 and south looks predominantly ice (freezing rain/sleet) throughout the event including areas 50 or so miles either side of the interstate. Might have some snow mixed in but chances look low until you get to higher terrain in AL/GA. So if it isn't already snowing, probably won't see much of it throughout the system. Stay safe!

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

If there is snow, it should be at the start. Snowing pretty nicely in Tuscaloosa, Alabama

Here is the cam

http://www.abc3340.com/Global/Category.asp?c=192128

[Cristina]

What can we expect 40 miles north of Atlanta? Thanks for any input.......

You are going to have all snow this evening through tonight into tomorrow morning according to the latest GFS & NAM models as the heights start rising in your area you may go to sleet/freezing rain during the day tomorrow, so be careful when traveling around tomorrow afternoon.

Thank you!