Texas Winter 2010-2011

[iorange55]

I was confused by that too and I just figured they were talking about the one before it.

[Ntxw]

18z GFS shows the cutoff low coming in and taking over the previous energy as the cold air is settled into TX at 192. 1044 high fueling the cold.

[srainhoutx]

FYI: Winter RECON schedule for tomorrow and beyond...

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE -- NOAA49--
A. P77/ 37.6N 171.8E (DROP 11)/ 24/1200Z
B. NOAA9 09WSW TRACK77
C. 24/0800Z
D. 20 DROPS AS SHOWN ON TRACK
E. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 24/1800Z



NOUS42 KNHC 231730
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1230 PM EST SUN 23 JANUARY 2011
SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z JANUARY 2011
WSPOD NUMBER.....10-054

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70 --
A. A66/ 28.2N 91.5W (DROP 10)/ 25/1200Z
B. AFXXX 12WSA TRACK66
C. 25/0645Z
D. 10 DROPS AS SHOWN ON TRACK
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 25/1400Z

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. A64/ 30.3N 75.0W (DROP 10)/ 26/0000Z
B. A64/ 30.3N 75.0W (DROP 10)/ 26/1200Z

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE -- NOAA49--
A. P73/ 43.9N 172.3E (DROP 11)/ 25/1200Z
B. NOAA9 10WSW TRACK73
C. 25/0800Z
D. 20 DROPS AS SHOWN ON TRACK
E. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 25/1800Z

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.

[Ntxw]

After 192 you have a Texas winter storm. Low res so not worth posting at this time . For laughs, February arctic/snow outbreak part deux is on it's heels.

[iorange55]

And then after that another cold blast is coming down. Even last year we didn't have this many potential cold blasts. It's basically every run now showing a big area of cold air coming down.

[Rgv20]

At least the GFS has been consistent on the cold air combine with the moisture.........the question is how much....

[Ntxw]

And then after that another cold blast is coming down. Even last year we didn't have this many potential cold blasts. It's basically every run now showing a big area of cold air coming down.

Canada/Alaska was hardly cold last year. We made due with the barely enough we had from up there. Most of it was mainly lots of cloud cover and system after system keeping things damp. I'm still waiting for a grand finale that looks like this .

Dec 1989


Looks like that might take awhile, +PNA not giving up.

[Texas2Florida]

12z ECMWF much more bullish for DFW Monday/Tuesday with sleet/snow/fz rain.

Houston just too far south for now.

Would that be this coming Monday/Tuesday like in 2 days from now? Asking because I'm outside of the USA, and would be traveling back to DFW on Tuesday..and they come to a complete standstill when there is bad weather so may need to adjust my flights.

[utweather]

And then after that another cold blast is coming down. Even last year we didn't have this many potential cold blasts. It's basically every run now showing a big area of cold air coming down.

When you say cold blasts.. Are we talking air temperature that is the coldest we have seen this year and is each blast yet even colder or have we seen the coldest air already depicted by the models compared to the cold weather outcome we had 2 weeks ago?

[iorange55]

And then after that another cold blast is coming down. Even last year we didn't have this many potential cold blasts. It's basically every run now showing a big area of cold air coming down.

When you say cold blasts.. Are we talking air temperature that is the coldest we have seen this year and is each blast yet even colder or have we seen the coldest air already depicted by the models compared to the cold weather outcome we had 2 weeks ago?

Well we won't know till we get closer to the event. I wouldn't say we have seen the coldest this season, though. Still a lot of cold air up there and the big blast probably hasn't come down yet.

[srainhoutx]

12z ECMWF much more bullish for DFW Monday/Tuesday with sleet/snow/fz rain.

Houston just too far south for now.

Would that be this coming Monday/Tuesday like in 2 days from now? Asking because I'm outside of the USA, and would be traveling back to DFW on Tuesday..and they come to a complete standstill when there is bad weather so may need to adjust my flights.

We are talking about January 29 into early February, Texas2Florida. It will be a bit chilly in Dallas this coming Tuesday, but your travels should be fine.

[Metalicwx220]

No 14-16 inches of snow iin mexico. Somewhat consistent about snow in norht and central texas and around houston.

[Texas2Florida]

Well crud..I'm traveling that weekend to Daytona for races..Hoping it will hold off to the 31st Jan/1 Feb...then I'll be safely home.

[wxman57]

Well crud..I'm traveling that weekend to Daytona for races..Hoping it will hold off to the 31st Jan/1 Feb...then I'll be safely home.

You'll be back home long before the real fun begins.

[Rgv20]

Just sit back and take in this images.

[Ntxw]

Breaking News: Upon seeing those maps there has been sightings of Mr Wxman57 stocking up on milk and bread at a local HEB store in Houston, TX. Also he was spotted with a nuclear reactor to generate power of the sun for his bunker.

[benrayrog]

I can't say I can interpret all the maps and graphics, but they look most impressive.

[somethingfunny]

Let's hold off on the 7-10 day forecast for alittle bit. The models are trending back to a bit better moisture availability for tomorrow. Remember, the snowstorm? For this Monday?

It shouldn't be anything more than flurries but I'm hoping for a surprise!

[HockeyTx82]

Breaking News: Upon seeing those maps there has been sightings of Mr Wxman57 stocking up on milk and bread at a local HEB store in Houston, TX. Also he was spotted with a nuclear reactor to generate power of the sun for his bunker.

What do those maps show us? What date range are they? I am not sure what I am looking at.

[Ntxw]

^ ECMWF ensembles continues the support of everything we have talked about beginning of Feb. Cold and storm.