Texas Winter 2010-2011

[txagwxman]

Severe weather outbreak Houston into LA/MS on Tue...dewpoints mid 60s in Houston would be enough instability for supercells and a few tornadoes in the early morning, then spreads into LA/MS during the day. Vertical wind profiles look insane. Watch out N. LA/MS just east of the surface low.

[iorange55]

1052 on the NAM at 66hr




That is some cooooold air


84hr

1058

[BigB0882]

Will the severe weather move Eastward or NorthEast along the front? If I can't have winter weather, cold OR severe weather then I am just going to feel really left out.

[Metalicwx220]

Bust or no bust. Whenever I come on here the threads are quiet or either there is nothing to track or discuss.

[newtotex]

On a side not and since it not busy at moment. Is there a forum on S2K for severe weather in Texas?

[gboudx]

Stick around during tropical season Metalic. It gets better. "It's a Texas landfall, no it's a Florida landfall." "I stared the sat image to death and see a Northerly wobble." "No I saw it west wobble." "No you see the MLC, not the LLC." Oh the fun never ends.

On a side not and since it not busy at moment. Is there a forum on S2K for severe weather in Texas?

That's discussed in the USA & Caribbean Weather Forum.

[iorange55]

I thought the NAM looked decent. At least to me it still gave me some hope, but like a god cliffhanger it ends too soon.

Either way the cold thats coming down is impressive by itself. If we hadn't of gotten hyped for a big storm we'd probably be all over this extremely cold air.

[Turtle]

I thought the NAM looked decent. At least to me it still gave me some hope, but like a god cliffhanger it ends too soon.

Either way the cold thats coming down is impressive by itself. If we hadn't of gotten hyped for a big storm we'd probably be all over this extremely cold air.

Where? NWS is forecasting 1-2 days with highs in the upper 40s and lows around 30 for I-20 East Texas. I know west of us should be colder, but it's hard to believe that we don't get 'cold'.

[BigB0882]

Someone is going to get cold but this storm is looking more and more like all the other "big ones" that never materialized. We have had so much cold up in Canada for so long but somehow it hasn't managed to make it's way down. Maybe later but running out of time, soon.

[iorange55]

I thought the NAM looked decent. At least to me it still gave me some hope, but like a god cliffhanger it ends too soon.

Either way the cold thats coming down is impressive by itself. If we hadn't of gotten hyped for a big storm we'd probably be all over this extremely cold air.

Where? NWS is forecasting 1-2 days with highs in the upper 40s and lows around 30 for I-20 East Texas. I know west of us should be colder, but it's hard to believe that we don't get 'cold'.

I think it will be colder than that. Probably just going on the safe side for right now. We'll see it just seems like a lot a lot a lot of cold air coming down. The models haven't been our friend the past day, but we'll see what comes out tonight.

Then track the cold air coming down and all that jazz.

[Ntxw]

Look at the baroclinic zone in the southern plains 84 NAM lol. That is incredible, you never see something that tight this far south. Very rare indeed. You go from 40s-50s to teens very sharply.

[iorange55]

Look at the baroclinic zone in the southern plains 84 NAM lol. That is incredible, you never see something that tight this far south. Very rare indeed. You go from 40s-50s to teens very sharply.

Just feels like this might be bigger than some people think now (cold wise) I've given up on even try to predict precip with this storm. The models seem pretty strong with this cold air, though. Stronger than I've seen with it only be 3-5 days out now.

[Rgv20]

Cant wait until we get into the NAM range so we can have a better idea of what is going to happen.

oh btw forecast for my area by the NWS

Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.

Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy and breezy, with a high near 55.

I guess its subject to change haha

[Metalicwx220]

Stick around during tropical season Metalic. It gets better. "It's a Texas landfall, no it's a Florida landfall." "I stared the sat image to death and see a Northerly wobble." "No I saw it west wobble." "No you see the MLC, not the LLC." Oh the fun never ends.

On a side not and since it not busy at moment. Is there a forum on S2K for severe weather in Texas?

That's discussed in the USA & Caribbean Weather Forum.

lols can't wait.

[wall_cloud]

Cant wait until we get into the NAM range so we can have a better idea of what is going to happen.

oh btw forecast for my area by the NWS

Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.

Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy and breezy, with a high near 55.

I guess its subject to change haha

that typically signifies falling temps throughout the day. The high and the low both occur at 14Z (8 AM).

[BigB0882]

Cant wait until we get into the NAM range so we can have a better idea of what is going to happen.

oh btw forecast for my area by the NWS

Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.

Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy and breezy, with a high near 55.

I guess its subject to change haha

I would assume it will be 55 degrees and falling on Wednesday. The fact that the low the night before is the same as the high the next day must mean that both occur right around midnight. You could fall into the 40's or lower as the day goes on. Not sure exactly where you are.

[Ntxw]

Not a lot of changes with the GFS. Doesn't bleed us much more. Everything seems to ride on the baroclinic zone. The stronger the push of cold air, the better our chances of it sitting overhead. Vortmax never really swings past so this will be important. Lets hope it's under doing the front by 200 miles or more lol.

[Rgv20]

^Oh I'm sure its going to fall through out the day Wednesday they usually indicate falling temps but I guess they don't want to get until details that far out.

And I'm from the Beautiful Rio Grande Valley the envy of many because of Christmas 2004

[Ntxw]

Hmm things starting to look interesting...as soon as the first storm passes. GFS doesn't bury it into the baja, instead snow is breaking out from NM into the western panhandle.

[South Texas Storms]

That snow in the panhandle can move southeast! Please and thank you Mr. GFS!