Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4721 Postby **HockeyTx82** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:42 pm

Does anyone know if the DFW Metroplex is under a Winter Storm Warning? I can't seem to find information about it. :spam:

Turtle · #4722 Postby **Turtle** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:43 pm

Dallas is in WSW now.

Seems like I'm the only one above I-20 not in any winter watches or anything. :cry:

#4723 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:43 pm

Told ya it would happen by afternoon package :ggreen:

This will be a BIG event across NTX.

Kelarie · #4724 Postby **Kelarie** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:44 pm

Turtle wrote:Dallas is in WSW now.

Seems like I'm the only one above I-20 not in any winter watches or anything.

Your not alone, us out here in East Texas aren't part of this party. Maybe Th/F we will be part of the fun.

#4725 Postby **Tireman4** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:44 pm

HGX AFD...Hummmm

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS STILL IN GOOD AGREEMENT REGARDING DROPPING A
TROF NEAR THE 4-CORNERS WED...INTO NRN MEXICO THURS...THEN
EJECTING EWD INTO TX THURS NIGHT & FRI. STILL SOME MINOR
DIFFERENCES IN TIMING WITH THE GFS BEING AROUND 6 HOURS FASTER
THAN THE ECMWF/CANADIAN. WILL SEE INCREASING ISENTROPIC LIFT AND MOISTURE
OVER THE COLD LLVLS BEGINNING THURS. THERE IS INCREASING CONFIDENCE
THAT WE COULD SE SOME WINTERY PRECIP WITH THIS SYSTEM (MOST LIKELY
SNOW ATTM) AS HISTORICALLY IT IS A CLASSIC SETUP FOR THIS AREA.
WILL NUDGE CHANCES OF PRECIP UP TO 40% AREAWIDE THURS NT AND FRI
WITH THE EVENTUAL PLAN TO PIN DOWN TIMING/QPF AS IT BECOMES MORE
CLEAR AND INCREASE CHANCES (AS WARRANTED). FWIW THIS FAR OUT...MODEL
BASED ACCUMULATIONS SUGGEST ANYWHERE FROM A TRACE TO SEVERAL
INCHES.

Dustan78 · #4726 Postby **Dustan78** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:45 pm

CaptinCrunch wrote:Told ya it would happen by afternoon package

This will be a BIG event across NTX.

#4727 Postby **txagwxman** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:46 pm

Portastorm wrote:
txagwxman wrote:Going on a limb...Houston schools will be close Fri.

Speaking of bold predictions ... I'm assuming you've changed your call for Dallas tomorrow?

I told you I would change my mind by Sunday, and I changed it by Saturday.

WacoWx · #4728 Postby **WacoWx** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:46 pm

FINALLY Waco gets in on some winter weather advisory action. Now, if I can only get that shift you metroplexers just got!!!!

#4729 Postby **Tireman4** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:48 pm

WacoWx wrote:FINALLY Waco gets in on some winter weather advisory action. Now, if I can only get that shift you metroplexers just got!!!!

Where is that radar again...? Humm it is around here somewhere....LOL

iorange55 · #4730 Postby **iorange55** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:49 pm

It looks like on the latest nam most of our heavy precip will be after temps are below freezing. Not all snow, though. Could be a lot of sleet beforehand.

#4731 Postby **Portastorm** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:49 pm

The afternoon AFD out of NWSFO Austin/San Antonio says no freezing precip tomorrow (I didn't expect any anyhow) and only 1/4 to 1/2 inch snow for the southeastern counties (La Grange to Karnes City and points south) later this week.

Obviously those forecasters did not see the PWC briefing today! :cheesy:

#4732 Postby **gboudx** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:50 pm

iorange55 wrote:It looks like on the latest nam most of our heavy precip will be after temps are below freezing. Not all snow, though. Could be a lot of sleet beforehand.

What's the timeframe? Any chance pre-dawn hours so that the knuckleheads at the ISD's don't send kids to school in this mess?

txtiff · #4733 Postby **txtiff** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:50 pm

iorange55 wrote:
gboudx wrote:Metroplex under a Winter Storm Warning now.

It was only a matter of time.

Does anyone think there will be a watch or warning issued for kaufman county? I am only about 30 miles from dallas. I asked earlier but somehow my question was skipped.

iorange55 · #4734 Postby **iorange55** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:53 pm

gboudx wrote:
iorange55 wrote:It looks like on the latest nam most of our heavy precip will be after temps are below freezing. Not all snow, though. Could be a lot of sleet beforehand.

What's the timeframe? Any chance pre-dawn hours so that the knuckleheads at the ISD's don't send kids to school in this mess?

I'm thinking before any Schools start in most of the area. I think just as a precaution they should cancel if they see early it's gonna be bad.

iorange55 · #4735 Postby **iorange55** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:54 pm

txtiff wrote:
iorange55 wrote:
gboudx wrote:Metroplex under a Winter Storm Warning now.

It was only a matter of time.

Does anyone think there will be a watch or warning issued for kaufman county? I am only about 30 miles from dallas. I asked earlier but somehow my question was skipped.

Could be an advisory the way things are going. Have to wait and see.

#4736 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:56 pm

quote]Does anyone think there will be a watch or warning issued for kaufman county? I am only about 30 miles from dallas. I asked earlier but somehow my question was skipped.[/quote]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
336 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011

.DISCUSSION...A WINTER STORM WARNINS IS IN EFFECT ALONG AND NORTH
OF A LINE GOLDTHWAITE...TO HAMILTON...TO CLEBURNE..TO ROCKWALL. A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE
WINTER STORM WARNING AREA. THE ONLY AREA THAT DOES NOT HAVE A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS THE REGION SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
KILLEEN TO ATHENS.

TXZ093-103-104-117>120-130>133-141-010545-
/O.UPG.KFWD.WS.A.0002.110201T0600Z-110201T2100Z/
/O.EXB.KFWD.WS.W.0002.110201T0900Z-110201T2100Z/
GRAYSON-DENTON-COLLIN-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-ROCKWALL-ERATH-HOOD-
SOMERVELL-JOHNSON-COMANCHE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SHERMAN...DENISON...DENTON...
LEWISVILLE...FLOWER MOUND...THE COLONY...PLANO...WEATHERFORD...
BRIAR...FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...DALLAS...ROCKWALL...
STEPHENVILLE...DUBLIN...GRANBURY...OAK TRAIL SHORES...GLEN ROSE...
CLEBURNE...BURLESON...COMANCHE...DE LEON
336 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST TUESDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SLEET...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST TUESDAY.

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS TONIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY AND WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN TO THE AREA. AN ARCTIC COLD
FRONT WILL ARRIVE EARLY TUESDAY. BETWEEN 3 AM AND 6 AM...
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING AND THE RAIN WILL CHANGE
OVER TO SLEET AND SNOW. AROUND 1/3 INCH OF SLEET IS EXPECTED. AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES
WILL FALL INTO THE 20S AND LINGERING PRECIPITATION AND MOISTURE IS
EXPECTED TO FREEZE ON ALL ROAD SURFACES BY MIDDAY...MAKING TRAVEL
TREACHEROUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

iorange55 · #4737 Postby **iorange55** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:56 pm

Ah there already is an advisory.

txtiff · #4738 Postby **txtiff** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:58 pm

Thanks guys!! Fingers crossed for just one more push to southeast......

I knew there was an advisory. I am looking to included in the "warning". Would like some snow.

#4739 Postby **Ntxw** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:59 pm

18z GFS just upped the ante 2-4 Dallas proper westward into Denton and Tarrant counties (3" line crossing the airport). Probably 4-8 West side of FW up to Decatur.

downsouthman1 · #4740 Postby **downsouthman1** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:59 pm

txtiff wrote:Thanks guys!! Fingers crossed for just one more push to southeast......

I'm in the same boat as you. Bell County is currently under nothing.

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