Texas Winter 2010-2011

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Ntxw
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6561 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:07 pm

This will go down as one of the most historic Februaries in Texas. You have snow all over the place, south Texas virtually shut down and everyone is freezing away. Hard to believe experts are predicting next winter to be one of the worst in memory...not to stir up any climate chatter, but I'm thinking the chill will be more expensive and strain the economy more so than a warm up. Next week could be just as atrocious...GFS is already looking cold!
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6562 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:08 pm

How rare is it to have snow come at us here in NTX from the south? Just looks strange. Quite impressive returns and it's moving rather quick.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6563 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:11 pm

More is building sw. I'm re-adjusting my busted forecast for NTX. 3+ areawide...lol

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6564 Postby SouthernMet » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:11 pm

Latest from NWS FTW

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
959 PM CST THU FEB 3 2011

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-040600-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
959 PM CST THU FEB 3 2011

.NOW...
AREAS OF SNOW AND SNOW GRAINS HAVE DEVELOPED SOUTH OF I-20...WHERE
ACCUMULATIONS MAY EXCEED ONE INCH BEFORE MIDNIGHT. THE ACTIVITY
WILL CONTINUE SPREADING NORTH...WITH ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF SNOW
OVERNIGHT.
WITH TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW FREEZING...THE SNOW WILL
ACCUMULATE...EVEN ON MAIN ROAD SURFACES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
THROUGH MIDDAY FRIDAY MAY EXCEED 3 INCHES
IN AREAS SOUTH OF I-20
AND EAST OF I-35.

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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6565 Postby Turtle » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:12 pm

.DISCUSSION...
WILL MAKE A FEW CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THIS EVENING. WITH SNOW
ALREADY DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL TEXAS AND NEW NAM RUN INDICATING A
LITTLE MORE QPF FURTHER NORTH INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WILL RAISE
POPS FOR MOST AREAS THAT WERE NOT ALREADY CATEGORICAL. ALSO...WITH
MORE PRECIPITATION...LOOKS LIKE DEWPOINTS WILL BE ON THE RISE...SO
HAVE ADJUSTED TO FIT THE EVENT. WILL NOT CHANGE THE WARNING OR
ADVISORY AREAS...BUT MUCH OF NORTHEAST TX INTO SOUTHEAST OK
NOT IN THE ADVISORY AREA COULD SEE UP TO ONE INCH OF SNOW.

SHV EVENING SOUNDING SHOWING ALL SNOW AS TYPE...SO WILL DROP
MENTION OF SLEET IN ZONES ALONG A EL DORADO TO JACKSONVILLE LINE
FOR TONIGHT. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW STILL ENOUGH TO CONTINUE
THE ADVISORY WITHOUT THE SLEET.

Tonight's snow bumped up to 70% for me.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6566 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:14 pm

This is a complete disaster. I'm not going to get a flake of snow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6567 Postby wxman22 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:14 pm

Here in San Antonio the ground is starting to ice over I almost slipped on the cement lol btw San Antonio is now in a Winterstorm Warning!
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#6568 Postby kb75007 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:17 pm

Can anyone answer why San Antonio is getting icy but i havent really seen anything on the radar?
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Re:

#6569 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:18 pm

kb75007 wrote:Can anyone answer why San Antonio is getting icy but i havent really seen anything on the radar?


Freezing drizzle. Doesn't show up well on radar, but the stuff is nasty when it falls for a long period of time.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6570 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:19 pm

With our temps as cold as they are top to bottom I wonder if that played any role in the fact that the models had a hard time picking up the snow for NTX tonight?
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Re:

#6571 Postby Portastorm » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:19 pm

kb75007 wrote:Can anyone answer why San Antonio is getting icy but i havent really seen anything on the radar?


There is a thin layer of warm air ... some call it a warm tongue of air ... just above the surface layer. That is preventing the precip from being all snow. The precip is too light to show up on radar but freezes on contact on the surface due to the surface temp. There's a lot of times when drizzle doesn't show up on a radar unless the radar is switched to a very sensitive mode.
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#6572 Postby kb75007 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:19 pm

Are there any reports of anything around Waco I haven't really heard much?
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Re:

#6573 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:21 pm

kb75007 wrote:Are there any reports of anything around Waco I haven't really heard much?


CBS11 just said reports out of Waco has half an inch of snow on grassy areas.
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#6574 Postby Anthony » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:21 pm

Apparently it's icing over here in San Antonio. Haven't seen anything from my window, but I gotta go to work at 11P so I will let you know what it looks like then.
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Re:

#6575 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:21 pm

kb75007 wrote:Are there any reports of anything around Waco I haven't really heard much?


Light Snow!

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... 7.1832&e=0
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Re: Re:

#6576 Postby kb75007 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:23 pm

Ntxw wrote:
kb75007 wrote:Are there any reports of anything around Waco I haven't really heard much?


CBS11 just said reports out of Waco has half an inch of snow on grassy areas.


Is it only grassy areas because of the ground temperatures? I notice on some of the forecasts for snow in Dallas earlier it said half an inch possible in grassy areas. It seems like it would stick to everything it falls on since we've been well below freezing for almost four days.
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Re: Re:

#6577 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:25 pm

kb75007 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Is it only grassy areas because of the ground temperatures? I notice on some of the forecasts for snow in Dallas earlier it said half an inch possible in grassy areas. It seems like it would stick to everything it falls on since we've been well below freezing for almost four days.


North Texas is in the teens and low 20s. It will stick like glue on any surface.
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Re: Re:

#6578 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:25 pm

Portastorm wrote:
kb75007 wrote:Can anyone answer why San Antonio is getting icy but i havent really seen anything on the radar?


There is a thin layer of warm air ... some call it a warm tongue of air ... just above the surface layer. That is preventing the precip from being all snow. The precip is too light to show up on radar but freezes on contact on the surface due to the surface temp. There's a lot of times when drizzle doesn't show up on a radar unless the radar is switched to a very sensitive mode.


Porta how much snow are you guys expected to get up there?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6579 Postby iorange55 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:26 pm

A few flurries here extreme Southwestern Dallas. Looks like it's about to pick up though.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6580 Postby blaurence » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:27 pm

I have very tiny flakes here in far North Harris county. I am just south of the Woodlands. Any word on adjusted totals for Houston?
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