SE TX/SW LA Winter WX - 2011-2012
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- TexasSam
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- Location: Port Arthur, Texas
Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx-VERY COLD! POSS WINTER STORM THUR/FRI
Geeze I was just looking at the Houston Transtar traffic map, and there are accidents all over the place...
http://traffic.houstontranstar.org/layers/layers.aspx?cam=True#
http://traffic.houstontranstar.org/layers/layers.aspx?cam=True#
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx-VERY COLD! POSS WINTER STORM THUR/FRI
09Z SmartModel Run is out For TX and LA. Looks like a bit of snow for some area. http://smartwxmodel.net
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SmartModel Creator
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- southerngale
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- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
413 AM CST FRI FEB 4 2011
...ICY CONDITIONS REPORTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...
...NO CHANGES IN CURRENT WINTER STORM WARNING...
.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW HAS MOVED INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS. STRONG VORT MAX
ROTATING AROUND THIS UPPER LOW IS NEARING THE FORECAST AREA WHICH
IN TURN IS AIDING IN LIFT. THIS IS HELPING EXPAND PRECIPITATION
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH BEST COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SEEN ON
THE RADAR SO FAR. BELOW FREEZING WET BULB TEMPERATURES ARE ROUGHLY
NOTED NORTH OF A LINE FROM THE JEFFERSON COUNTY COAST TO NEW
IBERIA...AND ABOVE THIS LINE IS WHERE THE CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING
WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. FREEZING RAIN LOOKS TO BE THE PREDOMINATE TYPE AS 85 WET
BULB TEMPS ON LATEST LAPS ANALYSIS CONTINUE TO BE ABOVE
0C...ALTHOUGH SOME COOLING OF THE COLUMN MAY STILL OCCUR OVER
SOUTHEAST TEXAS ALLOWING FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW OR SLEET TO FALL.
UNFORTUNATELY PRECIP ACCUMULATED AT KAEX IS NOT WORKING...BUT
LOOKING AT KPOE AND KESF...NEARLY 1/4 OF AN OF FREEZING RAIN HAS
FALLEN TONIGHT AT THOSE LOCATIONS. REPORTS OF ICING ON ROADWAYS
AND BRIDGES BEING CLOSED HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN
ZONES...WITH ICY SPOTS ALL THE WAY TO I-10. HERE AT KLCH WE HAVE
RECEIVED ABOUT 0.07 OF AN INCH OF FREEZING RAIN...WITH SOME
GLAZING ON TREE LIMBS AND CARS OUTSIDE THE OFFICE. ANOTHER 1/10
TO 1/4 OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY EAST OF A LEESVILLE TO
LAKE CHARLES LINE...AND NORTH OF A LAKE CHARLES TO LAFAYETTE LINE.
WITH THE REPORTS OF SOME TRAVEL PROBLEMS AND THE EXPECTED
CONTINUATION OF THE FREEZING RAIN FOR A FEW MORE HOURS...AND THE
EXPECTED INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS VORT MAX APPROACHES...WILL NOT MAKE ANY
CHANGES TO THE WINTER STORM WARNING...OR THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST INTO ARKANSAS
TODAY...DRY SLOT AS SEEN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOULD QUICKLY
BRING AN END TO THE PRECIPITATION DURING THE MORNING HOURS FROM WEST
TO EAST.
AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT TONIGHT...VERY COLD TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED WITH HARD FREEZE CONDITIONS DOWN TO I-10. WILL NOT ISSUE
NPW AT THIS TIME AS WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT FINE TUNE THE
TEMPERATURES AND WHAT EXACT LOCATIONS WILL BE NEEDED TO BE
INCLUDED IN THE WARNING. ALSO OF NOTE...ANY STANDING WATER ON
ELEVATED ROADWAYS WILL LIKELY RE-FREEZE WITH THESE TEMPERATURES
AND THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHES OF BLACK ICE. AGAIN WILL LET THE
NEXT SHIFT TAKE A LOOK AT THIS...BUT WILL ADD A MENTION OF IT TO
THE HWO.
TEMPERATURES WILL THEN GRADUALLY MODERATE OVER THE WEEKEND AS WEAK
RETURN FLOW BEGINS.
A QUICK LOOK AT THE EXTENDED...A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS ON SUNDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE RETURN LOOKS LIMITED SO WILL JUST
MENTION A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ITS PASSAGE.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE ACROSS ON WEDNESDAY. THIS FRONT
WILL BE A LITTLE STRONG AND MOISTURE SHOULD BE BETTER AHEAD OF IT
TO GIVE A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS. ONCE AGAIN VERY COLD
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS AIR MASS OF
ARCTIC REGION WILL MOVE IN.
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- PTrackerLA
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- Location: Lafayette, LA
Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx-VERY COLD! POSS WINTER STORM THUR/FRI
We've received at least a 1/4" of ice, trees are coasted quite well and numerous bridges have been closed.
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- JenBayles
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Not exactly a winter wonderland in west Harris County. What is the width of a gnat's eyebrow? That's about how much ice I've got. The freezing drizzle couldn't even make it under the live oak trees so most of my yard is dry as a bone. Dave said the drizzle "kind of" got started around 12:30 am. Glad I didn't spend the night out in the pumpkin patch! 

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- southerngale
- Retired Staff
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- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx-VERY COLD! POSS WINTER STORM THUR/FRI
Much of the state got surprise snow, and lots of it.
I got a rock.
Actually, lots of freezing rain and some scattered large white balls ? in the yard that I don't care enough about to investigate right now. I'm disappointed. I can't believe that I let myself get so excited about this. We were in the bullseye, or near it, for close to 2 weeks of stupid model runs and then get the shaft. I hate winter. 27F and freezing rain. pfft. Could spring get here already?
I got a rock.
Actually, lots of freezing rain and some scattered large white balls ? in the yard that I don't care enough about to investigate right now. I'm disappointed. I can't believe that I let myself get so excited about this. We were in the bullseye, or near it, for close to 2 weeks of stupid model runs and then get the shaft. I hate winter. 27F and freezing rain. pfft. Could spring get here already?
Latest on accidents, bridge and road closures
February 04, 2011 7:08 AM
Scott Lawrence
SOUTHEAST TEXAS - Beaumont Police are reporting 9 major crashes and 48 minor crashes.
Most city overpasses are covered with ice. The Maury Meyers bridge, College at Lindbergh, MLK and Lavaca, MLK at E. Virginia and Dowlen Road overpasses are closed.
Police are diverting traffic off the Eastex Freeway southbound at Tram because of ice. TxDOT crews are sanding the roads.
The Neches River Bridge is closed on the eastbound side but the westbound side is open and passable
The Rainbow, Veterans, Purple Heart Memorial Bridge and Causeway Bridge on Highway 82 from Port Arthur to Louisiana are closed.
The Trinity River Bridge is open but traffic is moving slowly.
Law enforcement officers advise drivers to stay off the streets and highways unless driving is absolutely necessary.
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx-VERY COLD! POSS WINTER STORM THUR/FRI
southerngale wrote:Much of the state got surprise snow, and lots of it.
I got a rock.
Actually, lots of freezing rain and some scattered large white balls ? in the yard that I don't care enough about to investigate right now. I'm disappointed. I can't believe that I let myself get so excited about this. We were in the bullseye, or near it, for close to 2 weeks of stupid model runs and then get the shaft. I hate winter. 27F and freezing rain. pfft. Could spring get here already?
I know! It sounds alot like huricane season. If we are in the "cone" early in the game then we can almost bet it ain't coming here.


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- southerngale
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- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
BPD: Stay off the roads
February 04, 2011 10:22 AM
BEAUMONT - Beaumont Police are urging drivers to stay off the roads and highways.
Police have worked dozens of accidents and say ice remains on roads, and in places where it melted, it's reforming and causing treacherous driving conditions.
It's still 26° here!!!
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx-VERY COLD! POSS WINTER STORM THUR/FRI
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SmartModel Creator
http://smartwxmodel.net
http://smartwxmodel.net
- vbhoutex
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx-VERY COLD! POSS WINTER STORM THUR/FRI
A lot of our ice has melted but still some to go. Not sure if it will all melt or not. 26f and cloudy again. Jen I do believe someone had moved the dome back to your area. Even my daughter in Copperfield had quite a bit of ice.
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- southerngale
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- vbhoutex
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx-VERY COLD! POSS WINTER STORM THUR/FRI
Looks like our melting is done for the day. Nothing coming off the roofs or trees anymore and it is 26.7f and still cloudy. It is going to have to hurry if we are going to get to freezing today.
Looking toward next week is not making me feel any warmer!! Models are showing the possibility of another round of below freezing weather along with some possible winter precip. in the Tues.-Thurs. time frame. Hopefully Wxman57 will address this soon. I saw it on the local KHOU forum.


Looking toward next week is not making me feel any warmer!! Models are showing the possibility of another round of below freezing weather along with some possible winter precip. in the Tues.-Thurs. time frame. Hopefully Wxman57 will address this soon. I saw it on the local KHOU forum.
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- srainhoutx
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx-VERY COLD! POSS WINTER STORM THUR/FRI
Oh joy...
HGX:
THE NEXT LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL DIG SOUTH ACROSS THE ROCKIES ON
TUESDAY...WITH AN ARCTIC FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS.
ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY WITH A
DEVELOPING 30-40 KT LOW LEVEL JET TRANSPORTING DEEPER MOISTURE
INTO THE AREA. EXPECT AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND WARMER
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOPING
TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE WARM ADVECTION PATTERN. THE MODELS CONTINUE
TO SHOW VAST TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH THE ARCTIC FRONT...WITH THE
GFS SHOWING A FROPA TUESDAY NIGHT ABOUT 24 HOURS FASTER THAN THE
ECMWF. THINK A FASTER SOLUTION IS WARRANTED GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF
THE AIRMASS...AND LEANED TOWARD AN EARLY WEDNESDAY FROPA SIMILAR
TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. HAVE KEPT CHANCE POPS GOING IN THE
FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY WITH SE TX STILL EAST OF THE TROUGH AXIS
AND SOME POST-FRONTAL STRATIFORM PRECIP DEVELOPING. GFS BUFR
SOUNDINGS DO SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION
WEDNESDAY OVER OUR NRN ZONES...BUT HAVE LEFT OUT OF THE FORECAST
GIVEN THE ALL THE MODEL DISAGREEMENT. OF HIGHER CONFIDENCE WILL BE
ANOTHER ROUND OF VERY COLD TEMPERATURES LATE NEXT WEEK FOLLOWING
THIS FRONT. MODELS SHOW 850 MB TEMPS AS LOW AS -6C OVER THE
AREA. A HARD FREEZE APPEARS LIKELY ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN
THURSDAY NIGHT

HGX:
THE NEXT LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL DIG SOUTH ACROSS THE ROCKIES ON
TUESDAY...WITH AN ARCTIC FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS.
ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY WITH A
DEVELOPING 30-40 KT LOW LEVEL JET TRANSPORTING DEEPER MOISTURE
INTO THE AREA. EXPECT AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND WARMER
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOPING
TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE WARM ADVECTION PATTERN. THE MODELS CONTINUE
TO SHOW VAST TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH THE ARCTIC FRONT...WITH THE
GFS SHOWING A FROPA TUESDAY NIGHT ABOUT 24 HOURS FASTER THAN THE
ECMWF. THINK A FASTER SOLUTION IS WARRANTED GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF
THE AIRMASS...AND LEANED TOWARD AN EARLY WEDNESDAY FROPA SIMILAR
TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. HAVE KEPT CHANCE POPS GOING IN THE
FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY WITH SE TX STILL EAST OF THE TROUGH AXIS
AND SOME POST-FRONTAL STRATIFORM PRECIP DEVELOPING. GFS BUFR
SOUNDINGS DO SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION
WEDNESDAY OVER OUR NRN ZONES...BUT HAVE LEFT OUT OF THE FORECAST
GIVEN THE ALL THE MODEL DISAGREEMENT. OF HIGHER CONFIDENCE WILL BE
ANOTHER ROUND OF VERY COLD TEMPERATURES LATE NEXT WEEK FOLLOWING
THIS FRONT. MODELS SHOW 850 MB TEMPS AS LOW AS -6C OVER THE
AREA. A HARD FREEZE APPEARS LIKELY ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN
THURSDAY NIGHT
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Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Ike/Harvey
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Member: National Weather Association
Wx Infinity Forums
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Twitter @WeatherInfinity
- southerngale
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- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx-VERY COLD! POSS WINTER STORM THUR/FRI
vbhoutex wrote:Looks like our melting is done for the day. Nothing coming off the roofs or trees anymore and it is 26.7f and still cloudy. It is going to have to hurry if we are going to get to freezing today.![]()
![]()
Looking toward next week is not making me feel any warmer!! Models are showing the possibility of another round of below freezing weather along with some possible winter precip. in the Tues.-Thurs. time frame. Hopefully Wxman57 will address this soon. I saw it on the local KHOU forum.

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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx-VERY COLD! POSS WINTER STORM THUR/FRI
GO OUTSIDE SOUTHERNGALE!! VERY LIGHT SNOWFLAKES!!
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- southerngale
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx-VERY COLD! POSS WINTER STORM THUR/FRI
Nederlander wrote:GO OUTSIDE SOUTHERNGALE!! VERY LIGHT SNOWFLAKES!!
You see them too?

I posted it on FB a little while ago. Won't be building any snowmen, but hey.... still pretty to watch fall.
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- S2K Supporter
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx-VERY COLD! POSS WINTER STORM THUR/FRI
If you step outside you can see the fine snow blowing in Ned/PTA
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- southerngale
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
502 PM CST FRI FEB 4 2011
.UPDATE...MINOR UPDATE TO ZONES. HAVE NOW RECEIVED SEVERAL REPORTS
OF FLURRIES OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS. DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO BE
ALIGNED WITH 850 MB TROF AXIS ADVANCING ACROSS THE AREA. WENT
AHEAD AND UPDATED ZONES/GRIDS MENTIONING POSSIBLE FLURRIES DURING THE
EVENING HOURS.
&&
MARCOTTE
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- Tropical Depression
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx-VERY COLD! POSS WINTER STORM THUR/FRI
Just got 23Z SmartModel Run. Concentrating on the next system Feb 7/8 for more snow and ice.
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