Texas Winter 2010-2011

[Ntxw]

I'm hoping it's during the daylight this time. I don't know if I can make it through another night again, lol.

That will probably hold down amount a little bit. But it is showing 538-530 thicknesses. So during the snow we'll be falling to about near 20.

Unfortunately EC also shows virtually no snow for Texarkana, it looks more like the Ukmet.

[iorange55]

I'm hoping it's during the daylight this time. I don't know if I can make it through another night again, lol.

That will probably hold down amount a little bit. But it is showing 538-530 thicknesses. So during the snow we'll be falling to about near 20.

I believe our foot of snow was during the day, right? Morning into the day? If I'm remembering correctly.

[Brandon8181]

Not a bad run. I think tonight has been a tad bit better than last night. GFS showing a decent snow storm and so is the Euro.

Euro does have it as an afternoon event after 18z.

I'm hoping it's during the daylight this time. I don't know if I can make it through another night again, lol.

lol. sure you can, you've pulled plenty of weather allnighters lol

[Ntxw]

I believe our foot of snow was during the day, right? Morning into the day? If I'm remembering correctly.

It was! But like 2-3 inches of it was before daylight which helped. Then you just keep adding to the cold layer lol. I don't think it will be a problem. The isobars look tight on the GFS. Need to keep that in mind for wind.

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

A winter storm watch for all of Eastern Oklahoma now!

[johnbasham]

I wanted to post a portion of our client forecast for Wednesday (across Texas) where others could see it. I'll try to allow access to more of these over the next few days so folks can get as many different forecast thoughts as possible.

There is a client weather update posted on this page:

http://www.stormspotter.com/client/texas/WinterWeather.php

For those who don;t want to read our text product there, here is a look at the forecast graphics:

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

Winter Storm Watch for a lot all of NTX!
I-20 North..

[WeatherDuck]

Long-time lurker, first-time poster.

How real does the ice threat look to be for the area between Austin and Temple this week?

[Mattie]

Winter Storm Watch for a lot all of NTX!
I-20 North..

I think they used last week's forecast for accumulation predictions.......will we get another 6 inches or just 2?

[srainhoutx]

Folks in W/Central/ and even parts of SE TX may need to watch closley if the Euro verifies. This appears to have the makings of a close call for some areas.

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

Winter Storm Watch for a lot all of NTX!
I-20 North..

I think they used last week's forecast for accumulation predictions.......will we get another 6 inches or just 2?

Haha! Yes, there's no telling what we're in store for!
Something interesting I'm sure.

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

Folks in W/Central/ and even parts of SE TX may need to watch closley if the Euro verifies. This appears to have the makings of a close call for some areas.

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

What's the Euro showing??

[srainhoutx]

Folks in W/Central/ and even parts of SE TX may need to watch closley if the Euro verifies. This appears to have the makings of a close call for some areas.

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

What's the Euro showing??

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

Folks in W/Central/ and even parts of SE TX may need to watch closley if the Euro verifies. This appears to have the makings of a close call for some areas.

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

What's the Euro showing??

http://i228.photobucket.com/albums/ee29 ... urof72.gif

Thank you! How much precip would that be for NTX and NCTX?

[chrisdanger76]

One thing w/ the winter systems this year ive noticed is they either miss and under perform or hit and dump more than expected...it has me, for once, hoping spring storm season would start up soon

[wxman57]

Euro ends precip across SE TX by around 00Z Thu with temps well above freezing, so no ice there. It does have some light snow into Lufkin as the precip ends.

But the best part is what happens AFTER this week. 850mb freeze line shoots up to central Canada as a low deepens off the West Coast, signaling the big thaw across the southern and central U.S. I think we'll see temps near (or above) 80 in Houston/Dallas and 90s in the Valley next week. Snow line moves from NE TX to the Dakotas in 10-12 days.

[txagwxman]

Euro ends precip across SE TX by around 00Z Thu with temps well above freezing, so no ice there. It does have some light snow into Lufkin as the precip ends.

Maybe a flurry Huntsville...bummer.

That is it---La Nina will roar in for the next 2 weeks.

[srainhoutx]

The 12Z suite has started. There were some issues with balloon data from Shreveport and Lake Charles...

NCEP Operational Status Message
Mon Feb 7 13:37:50 2011 GMT
NOUS42 KWNO 071337
ADMNFD

SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS CAMP SPRINGS MD
1333Z MON FEB 07 2011
THE 12Z NCEP MODEL PRODUCTION HAS STARTED AND IS RUNNING ON TIME.
OBSERVATIONS AVAILABLE FOR NAM INGEST INCLUDED 14 ALASKAN...32
CANADIAN...69 CONUS...13 MEXICAN...AND 8 CARIBBEAN STATIONS.
12Z NAM RAOB RECAP...
CHS/72208 - GROUND EQUIPMENT FAILURE...10142.
SHV/72248 - GROUND EQUIPMENT FAILURE...10142.
PPG/91765 - GROUND EQUIPMENT FAILURE...10142.
MZT/76458 - CODE 10159.
YVP/71906 - SHORT TO 755 MB.
SJU/78526 - PURGED ALL MOISTURE DATA...SPURIOUS VALUES.
MFR/72597 - PURGED TEMPS/MOISTURE 758-731 MB...WET BULB EFFECT.
LCH/72240 - PURGED TEMP/MOISTURE AT 249 MB...SUPER ADIABATIC.
CRITICAL WEATHER DAY STATUS...
THE ONGOING CWD WILL EXPIRE AT 17Z TODAY. NCEP DOES NOT ANTICIPATE
AN ADDITIONAL CWD DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS.
$$
HANDEL/SDM/NCO/NCEP

[jerryh421]

Really need to watch closely espeacially north part of SE Texas. NWS has temp at 44 and dropping was 52 for here. Should increase chances for Dallas!

[Portastorm]

Long-time lurker, first-time poster.

How real does the ice threat look to be for the area between Austin and Temple this week?

WeatherDuck, welcome to Storm2K! Nice to have another Central Texas poster on board.

Right now, the threat for ice in the area between Austin and Temple looks quite real. The 0z GFS run last night came in colder as did the 0z European. The NWS forecast discussion out of Austin/San Antonio highlighted that there will be several hours of post-frontal precip which will likely be of the freezing nature. Whether it is sleet or freezing rain or snow flurries or a mix, remains to be seen. But there is definitely a threat for icy conditions in the area you mention.