Texas Winter 2010-2011

[southerngale]

NWS LCH doesn't think much of it, either. They've put freezing rain in my forecast, on and off, for a few days now. Currently, just rain is forecast for me, but a town less than 10 miles north of me, as the crow flies, has freezing rain forecast. Either way, it looks to be no big deal.


A snippet from their afternoon AFD:

THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF WITH PASSAGE OF FRONT. FREEZING DRIZZLE IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LAKES REGION AND PINEY HILLS BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING. NO ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.


Btw, the town north of me isn't in the lakes region. *shrugs*

[northtxboy]

I still think this storm is going to be a monster,,,,we are in for a big surprise

[CaptinCrunch]

Channel 8's Pete Delkus is going with the 2-4" with some areas in the metroplex seeing 5"+ of snow and saying he cant see the school's being open Wednesday and maybe even Thursday due to temp's remaining below freezing.

[txtiff]

I still think this storm is going to be a monster,,,,we are in for a big surprise

Why do you think we are in for a big surprise??

[Texas2Florida]

Channel 8's Pete Delkus is going with the 2-4" with some areas in the metroplex seeing 5"+ of snow and saying he cant see the school's being open Wednesday and maybe even Thursday due to temp's remaining below freezing.

Big change from what they were saying at noon, That little guy on channel 8 at noon was like "well there will be a little bit of snow".

[txagwxman]

I still think this storm is going to be a monster,,,,we are in for a big surprise

Why do you think we are in for a big surprise??

Looking at soundings from the GFS, it almost totally saturated from 500 mb - 700 mb, -10C to -15C, which is probably 11-14 x prate.

I would expect 3-5"...maybe more in spots.

[CaptinCrunch]

Channel 8's Pete Delkus is going with the 2-4" with some areas in the metroplex seeing 5"+ of snow and saying he cant see the school's being open Wednesday and maybe even Thursday due to temp's remaining below freezing.

Big change from what they were saying at noon, That little guy on channel 8 at noon was like "well there will be a little bit of snow".

You mean Greg Fields...LOL, yeah he never goes out on a limb with any forecast, guess thats why he's on the early morning crew...lol

[cheezyWXguy]

I still think this storm is going to be a monster,,,,we are in for a big surprise

Why do you think we are in for a big surprise??

He always says that lol. Unless he has concrete evidence to back it, its not much more than a wishcast. On the other hand I do think totals will be revised upwards. The gfs has consistently put out about 3-5 inches over dfw the past couple runs, and the 18z has about .5in qpf (edit: over the NW third of NTX) when all is said and done, and assuming orangeblood's snow ratio of 14:1 is right, that would put the total at 7 inches, assuming it all falls as snow. As of right now, I cant see anyone waking up to any surprise amounts, but with what happened the last few events, anything is possible I suppose...

edit #2: figured Id post it to back my claim.

[txagwxman]

I am more interested in SE TX...DFW is going to get it, we already know that.

Rather see some ice pellets or something in Tomball/Spring/Magnolia.

[cheezyWXguy]

I am more interested in SE TX...DFW is going to get it, we already know that.

Rather see some ice pellets or something in Tomball/Spring/Magnolia.

Haha true, yall are due for something after last fridays bust. Hope you guys get some too

[Ntxw]

I am more interested in SE TX...DFW is going to get it, we already know that.

Rather see some ice pellets or something in Tomball/Spring/Magnolia.

I'm going to call for 30 mins of sleet in CLL! 15 mins for Navasota Lufkin might get a period of snow

[txagwxman]

I am more interested in SE TX...DFW is going to get it, we already know that.

Rather see some ice pellets or something in Tomball/Spring/Magnolia.

I'm going to call for 30 mins of sleet in CLL! 15 mins for Navasota Lufkin might get a period of snow

Ha ha... I will go for 2 ice pellets at my house.

[Portastorm]

txagwxman, earlier today you promised me 80 sleet pellets. I'm feeling generous tonight so I'm going to send half of those over to Tomball.

[cheezyWXguy]

txagwxman, earlier today you promised me 80 sleet pellets. I'm feeling generous tonight so I'm going to send half of those over to Tomball.

what a philanthropist

[Portastorm]

txagwxman, earlier today you promised me 80 sleet pellets. I'm feeling generous tonight so I'm going to send half of those over to Tomball.

what a philanthropist

50% wealth distribution ... yeah, you bet I am!

We need to somehow get txagwxman some winter weather so he can make up for last week with his son.

[South Texas Storms]

I am more interested in SE TX...DFW is going to get it, we already know that.

Rather see some ice pellets or something in Tomball/Spring/Magnolia.

I'm going to call for 30 mins of sleet in CLL! 15 mins for Navasota Lufkin might get a period of snow

Any chance of some snow here in CLL? I don't want class to be canceled here on Wednesday because I have an ATMO test then!

[Ntxw]

Any chance of some snow here in CLL? I don't want class to be canceled here on Wednesday because I have an ATMO test then!

Nothing really screams canceling classes in CLL. But the accumulating stuff won't be too far to the north so you just keep in touch with the NWS in case the cold air decides to come in with vengeance!

[Brandon8181]

I am more interested in SE TX...DFW is going to get it, we already know that.

Rather see some ice pellets or something in Tomball/Spring/Magnolia.

I'm going to call for 30 mins of sleet in CLL! 15 mins for Navasota Lufkin might get a period of snow

Ha ha... I will go for 2 ice pellets at my house.

I put three ice cubes in the mail for you, and sent them out priority mail today...

Enjoy

oh wait...they will be melted..

[South Texas Storms]

Nothing really screams canceling classes in CLL. But the accumulating stuff won't be too far to the north so you just keep in touch with the NWS in case the cold air decides to come in with vengeance!

Thanks Ntxw. I'm still a little worried because that cold air sometimes has a mind of its own and comes in much earlier than forecast.

[txagwxman]

Any chance of some snow here in CLL? I don't want class to be canceled here on Wednesday because I have an ATMO test then!

Nothing really screams canceling classes in CLL. But the accumulating stuff won't be too far to the north so you just keep in touch with the NWS in case the cold air decides to come in with vengeance!

Which subject?