Texas Winter 2010-2011

[Jarodm12]

where is the low currently located in texas? and which direction is it moving is there a map you can give me or a city or county its over?

[Jarodm12]

.DISCUSSION...
FRONT ROLLING THROUGH METROPLEX AS I WRITE THIS. RAIN CHANGING TO
FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONT...WITH DRY SLOT LIMITING
MOISTURE IN THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS JUST
BEHIND THE FRONT. HOWEVER...SOME OF THE SHOWERS SEEN IN RADAR ARE
GROWING DEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE SOME ICE NUCLEI AND PRODUCE
SNOW...SO A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN WITH SOME SNOW EXPECTED JUST
BEHIND FRONT. DEEPER MOISTURE IS SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGES TO OUR
NORTHWEST...NEAR WICHITA FALLS AT 3 AM...MOVING SOUTHEAST. IT
SHOULD OVERSPREAD COUNTIES NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 LATER THIS
MORNING AND TODAY...AND AND GIVE A SWITCH OVER TO MOSTLY SNOW
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. BECAUSE THE DRY SLOT IS LIMITING SNOW
JUST BEHIND THE FRONT...HAVE LOWERED THE SNOW TOTALS OVER NORTH
TEXAS A BIT...WITH GRIDS SHOWING 3-4 INCHES NEAR THE RED RIVER
AND 1 TO 3 METROPLEX.

GUIDANCE CONFINES MOISTURE BELOW DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20...WHICH MAKES PREVAILING PRECIP RAIN CHANGING TO
FREEZING RAIN WITH FROPA...WITH A LATER SWITCH OVER TO OR A MIX
WITH SLEET/SNOW GRAINS AS NEAR SURFACE LEVELS CONTINUE TO COOL
INTO THE LOW 20S/UPPER TEENS DURING THE DAY. AGAIN...A FEW
SHOWERS MAY GROW DEEP ENOUGH TO MAKE SOME BRIEF SNOW.

[ludosc]

definite freezing rain falling just west of downtown ftw...current temp shows 28 F...

[Jarodm12]

anybody awake?

[Jarodm12]

well latest gfs may be caughting os say .25 for dallas eastward and westward less perhaps we will still see quite a bit who knows models still on board

[MSUDawg]

I'm awake and it just turned to a mix of freezing rain here just south of DFW intl airport (360/183 intr)
Temp just fell 10 degrees and still falling....

[ludosc]

anybody awake?

[iorange55]

Front just came through here 10 minutes ago and had some sleet with it. It was letting up as I went inside so I'm not sure what its doing now.

Man it got real cold, fast.

[Night on the Sun]

Temps have dropped 4 degrees (33 to 29) here in Little Elm in the last 10 minutes. Light sleet falling. Off to work. Stay safe.

[srainhoutx]

HGX (Houston/Galveston) issues Winter Weather Advisory for all of SE TX forecast area except Galveston and Chambers Counties.

[Shoshana]

44 and light rain on and off here. Not expecting any snow. According to tv mets some ice possible.

[Jarodm12]

whatever cancel the winter storm warning we in north texas only need a special weather statment everybody goto work dont worry about the roads it seems as if the artic air has even stalled over dallas wouldnt be surprised if east dallas dosent get below freezing four 3 or more hours just do the speed limit what a bust next time nws commits i wont belive them. this sucks sorry im whining i really wanted snow but we probably wont even see on flurry or sleet pellt the roads iwll dry up with the stiff DRY wind have fun

[Jarodm12]

lol what a bust

[MSUDawg]

whatever cancel the winter storm warning we in north texas only need a special weather statment everybody goto work dont worry about the roads it seems as if the artic air has even stalled over dallas wouldnt be surprised if east dallas dosent get below freezing four 3 or more hours just do the speed limit what a bust next time nws commits i wont belive them. this sucks sorry im whining i really wanted snow but we probably wont even see on flurry or sleet pellt the roads iwll dry up with the stiff DRY wind have fun

Goodness you really are whining...dallas won't go below freezing FOR 3 or more hours? you better believe that has already started and will continue for another 24 hours..even if the moisture doesn't pan out the artic air is here and will continue to come in.

No need to cancel anyone warnings..if it's a bust it's a bust..but what moisture is to come hasn't even started yet in a frozen state.

I'll be happy with a dusting or a 1" if I get it today....one last chance to enjoy winter fun.

[srainhoutx]

Back on Topic, folks. The events of the day are still unfolding.

[Jarodm12]

if we see anything it wil be rain the roads will have no problems i bet it dosent even get cold as forecasted how crazy would it b if the artic front stops right over dallas with the west side of dalls in the teens and the east side in the 40s and 50 because thats how its been for the last hour and a half and they the the temp is droping 5 degrees every minut yea right

[MSUDawg]

Down to 25, nothing falling just south of DFW intl but everything on all cars and surfaces other than the ground has frozen solid quickly... wind still very strong out of the North. The building band from northeast to southwest is entering my area and dropping very light freezing rain..

[srainhoutx]

Official text out for Houston/Galveston...

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
522 AM CST WED FEB 9 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT TODAY...

.STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. THE
WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO END BY LATE AFTERNOON.

TXZ200-213-226-227-235>237-100000-
/O.EXB.KHGX.WW.Y.0001.110209T1800Z-110210T0000Z/
BRAZORIA-FORT BEND-HARRIS-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MATAGORDA-WHARTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALVIN...ANGLETON...BAY CITY...
CLEVELAND...DAYTON...EDNA...EL CAMPO...FREEPORT...HOUSTON...
HUMBLE...KATY...LAKE JACKSON...LIBERTY...MISSOURI CITY...
PALACIOS...PASADENA...PEARLAND...PIERCE...RICHMOND...ROSENBERG...
SUGAR LAND...TOMBALL...WHARTON
522 AM CST WED FEB 9 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING RAIN WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING.

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS
MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY FALL TO BELOW FREEZING BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. ANY LINGERING PRECIPITATION BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
LIKELY FREEZE ON CONTACT WITH THE SURFACE. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR ICE TO FORM...MAINLY ON ELEVATED ROADWAYS INCLUDING BRIDGES
AND OVERPASSES. ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. THE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BY LATE AFTERNOON.

TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE 20S.
ACCOMPANYING THE FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL BE NORTH WINDS GUSTING
BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH. THIS WIND AND TEMPERATURE COMBINATION WILL
CAUSE WIND CHILLS TO FALL INTO THE TEENS AND 20S. SOME LOCATIONS
MAY EVEN EXPERIENCE WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.

[Tejas89]

I'd be careful of using the "bust" word for Dallas at this point.. roads, especially bridges / overpasses, could be real dicey at rush hour.

Here by the big airport we've got light sleet and 26* on top of a thin layer of ice-on exposed surfaces, not roads yet. There appears to be a band of moderate precip moving in from the NW that will cover NE half of Tarrant, all of Dallas and certainly Collin county as it moves through. After that it looks like intermittent light to moderate spotty precip. Hard to tell if the radar is building anything heavier out west as of now. Either way, most ISD's may at least delay if not cancel. Probably a tough call after last week.

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

[BrokenGlass]

Update from the BrokenGlass Weather Center: 28.0 degrees, mix of freezing drizzle, sleet, and light snow falling at the moment, and the winds are howling. As of now, the the roads are fine...I was able to walk to the curb and get the paper. But conditions are deteriorating.